Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2530.0000 (1.52%) ($2422.0000 - $2604.9700) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.27% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $2530.0000(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(15%)    PEJ(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLE(13%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.135% (StdDev 8.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $2311.8(9.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2366.84(6.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2218.1(14.06%)
To recent high   -65.1%
To recent low   50.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 11.86% (three month std-dev: 8.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2016	4430.55	2218.1	2366.84	2311.8			2530(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	4	8	0.03	29%	-1.57	16	8.27%	0	1.2	64	0
2	Mar_29_2016	4501.29	2192.58	2350.58	2275.7			2492(7.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	6	16	0.05	29%	-1.5	6.1	8.33%	0	1.2	67	0
3	Mar_28_2016	4569.79	2163.04	2328.45	2218.7			2316(7.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-4	12	0.04	37%	-2.76	-11	8.32%	0	0.6	64	0
4	Mar_24_2016	4699.63	2157.83	2326.04	2255.7			2158(4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-9	29	0.03	37%	-1.43	-12.6	9.08%	0	0	66	0
5	Mar_23_2016	4767.78	2159.61	2337.21	2352.9			2063(-12.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	11	-10000	-7	64	0.05	39%	-1.42	-13.2	9.07%	0	-0.4	68	0

6	Mar_22_2016	4836.65	2176.78	2345.24	2425.1			2349.5(6.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-1	92	0.03	41%	-1.31	-19.6	9.07%	0	0.7	70	0
7	Mar_21_2016	4900.72	2177.04	2308.14	2433			2207(-11.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	23	-10000	-1	95	0.04	45%	-1.49	-29.7	9.04%	0	0.1	57	0
8	Mar_18_2016	4974.86	2190.87	2286.79	2447.6			2501(-5.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	4	102	0.04	46%	-1.25	-40	9.32%	0	1.1	68	0
9	Mar_17_2016	5037.61	2188.93	2217.95	2404.4			2644(9.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	7	85	0.05	46%	-1.3	-52.9	9.3%	0	1.5	58	0
10	Mar_16_2016	5103.82	2193.11	2121.38	2323.6			2424(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	57	0.04	46%	-1.51	-58.8	9.25%	0	0.6	56	0

11	Mar_15_2016	5181.96	2227.59	2057.72	2255.8			2389(4.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	9	27	0.06	44%	-1.5	-63.4	9.27%	0	0.4	49	0
12	Mar_14_2016	5260.72	2257.66	2018.65	2166			2280(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	7	-1	0.04	43%	-1.85	-76.1	9.42%	0	0.1	47	0
13	Mar_11_2016	5359.89	2305.49	1979.23	2099.5			2285(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	10	-28	0.02	43%	-2.04	-72.9	9.5%	0	-0	44	0
14	Mar_10_2016	5471.24	2359.24	1968.28	2001			2240(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	12	-50	0.02	42%	-2.08	-68.9	9.51%	0	-0.2	43	0
15	Mar_9_2016	5587.23	2428.46	1958.68	1889			2085(7.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	7	-85	0.02	42%	-2.28	-65.2	9.49%	0	-0.6	33	0

16	Mar_8_2016	5717.85	2516.11	1986.63	1831			1940(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-30	-10000	-2	-114	0.02	42%	-2.2	-59.8	9.43%	0	-0.8	24	0
17	Mar_7_2016	5846.34	2621.83	2029.33	1850.95			1947.5(8.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	1	-123	0.03	40%	-2.12	-56.1	9.43%	0	-0.9	28	0
18	Mar_4_2016	5973.19	2711.58	2083.46	1843.2			1792.5(6.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-10	-141	0.02	40%	-2.23	-63.1	9.52%	0	-1.2	20	0
19	Mar_3_2016	6109.21	2796.44	2157.14	1932.7			1680(-6.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-10000	-11	-147	0.04	40%	-2.34	-69.8	9.46%	0	-1.5	15	0
20	Mar_2_2016	6255.51	2904.15	2273.45	2036.7			1795(-12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-10000	-12	-148	0.03	39%	-2.21	-73.5	9.46%	0	-1.5	14	0

21	Mar_1_2016	6396.71	3004.39	2415.48	2162.7			2039.75(6.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-7	-142	0.02	40%	-2.21	-78.1	9.4%	0	-1.4	15	0
22	Feb_29_2016	6541.35	3123.37	2519.53	2234.75			1908.75(-14.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-11	-151	0.02	40%	-2.13	-75	9.27%	0	-1.7	9	0
23	Feb_26_2016	6683.44	3301.34	2663.34	2358			2240(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-5	-143	0.02	41%	-1.96	-59.3	9.15%	0	-1.3	22	0
24	Feb_25_2016	6816.88	3438.23	2784.46	2417			2200(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-11	-136	0.02	41%	-1.9	-54.7	9.22%	0	-1.4	30	0
25	Feb_24_2016	6949.17	3557.64	2937.55	2547			2425(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.01	42%		-53.4	9.16%	0	-1.3	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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