Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2644.0000 (9.08%) ($2299.0000 - $2701.0000) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.3% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $2644.0000(9.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(15%)    PEJ(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLE(13%)    IWD(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    XME(-5%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.65% (StdDev 9.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $2404.4(9.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2217.95(19.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2188.93(20.79%)
To recent high   -63.5%
To recent low   57.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 13.66% (three month std-dev: 9.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	5037.61	2188.93	2217.95	2404.4			2644(9.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	7	85	0.05	46%	-1.3	-52.9	9.3%	0	1.5	58	0
2	Mar_16_2016	5103.82	2193.11	2121.38	2323.6			2424(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	57	0.04	46%	-1.51	-58.8	9.25%	0	0.6	56	0
3	Mar_15_2016	5181.96	2227.59	2057.72	2255.8			2389(4.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	9	27	0.06	44%	-1.5	-63.4	9.27%	0	0.4	49	0
4	Mar_14_2016	5260.72	2257.66	2018.65	2166			2280(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	7	-1	0.04	43%	-1.85	-76.1	9.42%	0	0.1	47	0
5	Mar_11_2016	5359.89	2305.49	1979.23	2099.5			2285(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	10	-28	0.02	43%	-2.04	-72.9	9.5%	0	-0	44	0

6	Mar_10_2016	5471.24	2359.24	1968.28	2001			2240(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	12	-50	0.02	42%	-2.08	-68.9	9.51%	0	-0.2	43	0
7	Mar_9_2016	5587.23	2428.46	1958.68	1889			2085(7.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	7	-85	0.02	42%	-2.28	-65.2	9.49%	0	-0.6	33	0
8	Mar_8_2016	5717.85	2516.11	1986.63	1831			1940(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.2	-30	-10000	-2	-114	0.02	42%	-2.2	-59.8	9.43%	0	-0.8	24	0
9	Mar_7_2016	5846.34	2621.83	2029.33	1850.95			1947.5(8.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	1	-123	0.03	40%	-2.12	-56.1	9.43%	0	-0.9	28	0
10	Mar_4_2016	5973.19	2711.58	2083.46	1843.2			1792.5(6.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-10	-141	0.02	40%	-2.23	-63.1	9.52%	0	-1.2	20	0

11	Mar_3_2016	6109.21	2796.44	2157.14	1932.7			1680(-6.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-10000	-11	-147	0.04	40%	-2.34	-69.8	9.46%	0	-1.5	15	0
12	Mar_2_2016	6255.51	2904.15	2273.45	2036.7			1795(-12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-46	-10000	-12	-148	0.03	39%	-2.21	-73.5	9.46%	0	-1.5	14	0
13	Mar_1_2016	6396.71	3004.39	2415.48	2162.7			2039.75(6.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-7	-142	0.02	40%	-2.21	-78.1	9.4%	0	-1.4	15	0
14	Feb_29_2016	6541.35	3123.37	2519.53	2234.75			1908.75(-14.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-11	-151	0.02	40%	-2.13	-75	9.27%	0	-1.7	9	0
15	Feb_26_2016	6683.44	3301.34	2663.34	2358			2240(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-5	-143	0.02	41%	-1.96	-59.3	9.15%	0	-1.3	22	0

16	Feb_25_2016	6816.88	3438.23	2784.46	2417			2200(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-11	-136	0.02	41%	-1.9	-54.7	9.22%	0	-1.4	30	0
17	Feb_24_2016	6949.17	3557.64	2937.55	2547			2425(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.01	42%	-1.81	-53.4	9.16%	0	-1.3	29	0
18	Feb_23_2016	7077.3	3666.92	3086.85	2712			2400(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-11	-105	0.01	42%	-1.76	-49.8	9.16%	0	-1.5	30	0
19	Feb_22_2016	7203.86	3774.3	3260.33	2851.5			2525(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-12	-95	0.02	42%	-1.69	-49.1	9.17%	0	-1.6	26	0
20	Feb_19_2016	7327.82	3881.44	3389.85	3016.5			2535(-11.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-35	-10000	-13	-102	0.02	39%	-1.61	-48.1	9.29%	0	-1.8	21	0

21	Feb_18_2016	7447.77	3989.17	3491.71	3204.5			2850(-12.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-106	0.03	41%	-1.79	-52.1	9.28%	0	-1.7	31	0
22	Feb_17_2016	7583.44	4073.76	3591.82	3384.5			3250(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-9	-101	0.02	42%	-1.86	-56.2	9.19%	0	-1.3	40	0
23	Feb_16_2016	7726.93	4129.07	3644.67	3524.5			3097.5(-7.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-12	-103	0.02	42%	-3.33	-67.4	9.16%	0	-1.7	37	0
24	Feb_12_2016	7993.18	4201.3	3778.79	3735			3350(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-5	-84	0.01	44%	-1.96	-83.9	9.13%	0	-1.5	41	0
25	Feb_11_2016	8152.71	4272.49	3988.96	3820			3475(-7.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	0	-62	0.01	44%		-97.9	9.13%	0	-1.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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