Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2525.0000 (-0.39%) ($2500.0000 - $2650.0000) on Mon. Feb. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.17% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $2525.0000(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -5.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -13.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(15%)    PEJ(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLE(13%)    IWD(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.585% (StdDev 9.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $3774.3
5 Day Moving Average   $2851.5(-11.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3260.33(-22.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3774.3(-33.1%)
To recent high   -65.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 20.69% (three month std-dev: 9.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2016	7203.86	3774.3	3260.33	2851.5			2525(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-12	-95	0.02	42%	-1.69	-49.1	9.17%	0	-1.6	26	0
2	Feb_19_2016	7327.82	3881.44	3389.85	3016.5			2535(-11.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-35	-10000	-13	-102	0.02	39%	-1.61	-48.1	9.29%	0	-1.8	21	0
3	Feb_18_2016	7447.77	3989.17	3491.71	3204.5			2850(-12.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-106	0.03	41%	-1.79	-52.1	9.28%	0	-1.7	31	0
4	Feb_17_2016	7583.44	4073.76	3591.82	3384.5			3250(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-9	-101	0.02	42%	-1.86	-56.2	9.19%	0	-1.3	40	0
5	Feb_16_2016	7726.93	4129.07	3644.67	3524.5			3097.5(-7.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-12	-103	0.02	42%	-3.33	-67.4	9.16%	0	-1.7	37	0

6	Feb_12_2016	7993.18	4201.3	3778.79	3735			3350(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-5	-84	0.01	44%	-1.96	-83.9	9.13%	0	-1.5	41	0
7	Feb_11_2016	8152.71	4272.49	3988.96	3820			3475(-7.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	0	-62	0.01	44%	-1.82	-97.9	9.13%	0	-1.5	41	0
8	Feb_10_2016	8303.74	4377.73	4140.44	3815			3750(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-57	0.01	44%	-1.76	-92.7	9.1%	0	-1.1	43	0
9	Feb_9_2016	8452.45	4460.99	4221.7	3825			3950(-4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	2	-54	0.01	43%	-1.72	-93.4	9.1%	0	-0.9	48	0
10	Feb_8_2016	8600.39	4575.43	4284.56	3785			4150(9.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-56	0.02	43%	-1.76	-77.6	9.11%	0	-0.6	52	0

11	Feb_5_2016	8754.52	4719.2	4317.36	3845			3775(9.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-19	-59	0.02	44%	-1.9	-55.4	9%	0	-1.1	45	0
12	Feb_4_2016	8923.85	4852.04	4404.18	4205			3450(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-15	-31	0.03	42%	-1.93	-41.1	9.08%	0	-1.5	37	0
13	Feb_3_2016	9099.62	4968.73	4529.23	4520			3800(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-7	-16	0.02	43%	-2	-37.4	9.02%	0	-1.3	33	0
14	Feb_2_2016	9284.93	5083.91	4604.07	4670			3750(-15.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0.04	42%	-2.02	-32.9	9.03%	0	-1.5	34	0
15	Feb_1_2016	9475.91	5193.07	4670.16	4835			4450(-20.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-0	-28	0.02	44%	-1.77	-23.4	8.88%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Jan_29_2016	9647.04	5275.51	4674.73	4840			5575(10.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	10	-58	0.01	48%	-1.59	-14.4	8.62%	0	0.4	34	0
17	Jan_28_2016	9802.71	5273.72	4577.97	4645			5025(10.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.02	45%	-1.58	-11.7	8.52%	0	-0.3	37	0
18	Jan_27_2016	9959.67	5328.36	4622.09	4560			4550(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-26	-10000	1	-105	0.01	43%	-1.72	-3.7	8.47%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Jan_26_2016	10134.41	5391.12	4705	4540			4575(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	-10000	3	-112	0.01	40%	-0.57	8.1	8.47%	0	-1	39	0
20	Jan_25_2016	10192.32	5396.09	4870.44	4480			4475(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	0	-108	0.01	40%	-1.6	12.7	8.66%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Jan_22_2016	10357.95	5398.76	5129.89	4475			4600(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	-1	-95	0.01	39%	-1.68	17.2	8.72%	0	-1	40	0
22	Jan_21_2016	10535.29	5375.33	5313.85	4500			4600(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-10	-88	0.02	38%	-1.5	21.1	8.72%	0	-0.9	45	0
23	Jan_20_2016	10695.71	5360.46	5429.89	4705			4450(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-9	-80	0.01	38%	-1.6	29	8.74%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	Jan_19_2016	10869.41	5322.33	5598.96	4905			4275(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-18	-69	0.01	38%	-2.59	29.2	8.73%	0	-1.2	42	0
25	Jan_15_2016	11157.87	5292.27	5770.93	5325			4450(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-22	-33	0.01	37%		33.3	8.67%	0	-0.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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