Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $6075.0000 (3.85%) ($5525.0000 - $6200.0000) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.82% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $6075.0000(3.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 30.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(15%)    XLE(13%)    LIT(12%)    PEJ(12%)    IVE(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.91% (StdDev 7.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $5960(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $5276.54(15.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4729.05(28.46%)
To recent high   -61.9%
To recent low   81.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 20.67% (three month std-dev: 7.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2016	12494.72	4729.05	5276.54	5960			6075(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	-10000	3	237	0.01	37%	-1.42	3.2	7.82%	0	1.4	69	0
2	Jan_4_2016	12674.36	4709.36	5014.62	5895			5850(-4.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	68	-10000	13	231	0.01	37%	-2.51	-0.9	7.8%	0	1.2	62	0
3	Dec_31_2015	13000.64	4704.4	4769.73	5620			6100(8.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	-10000	18	185	0.02	35%	-1.73	-13.4	7.81%	0	1.5	61	0
4	Dec_30_2015	13229.21	4678.89	4509.34	5260			5600(-9.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-10000	18	121	0.01	33%	-1.58	-29.3	7.81%	0	1	55	0
5	Dec_29_2015	13441.2	4704.64	4283.65	4915			6175(7.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	24	56	0.03	33%	-1.5	-39.8	7.78%	0	1.5	57	0

6	Dec_28_2015	13646.05	4697.63	4038.15	4495			5750(28.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	-10000	30	-5	0.02	33%	-2.25	-51.5	7.76%	0	1	55	0
7	Dec_24_2015	13960.23	4717.8	3875.9	4020			4475(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	18	-95	0.01	24%	-1.45	-64.7	6.76%	0	-0.2	36	0
8	Dec_23_2015	14166.29	4836.36	3873.82	3795			4300(10.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	12	-142	0.01	24%	-1.48	-68.9	6.75%	0	-0.5	34	0
9	Dec_22_2015	14379.17	4972.82	3927.66	3645			3875(-4.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	9	-174	0.01	21%	-1.39	-72.7	6.56%	0	-0.9	29	0
10	Dec_21_2015	14581.19	5139.07	4038.57	3545.05			4075(20.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-48	-10000	3	-201	0.02	21%	-1.32	-76.8	6.55%	0	-0.8	28	0

11	Dec_18_2015	14776.14	5284.86	4126.34	3515.05			3375(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-77	-10000	-18	-252	0.01	13%	-1.45	-82	5.89%	0	-1.4	12	0
12	Dec_17_2015	14993.31	5518.36	4378.08	3715.05			3350(-5.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-75	-10000	-21	-237	0.02	13%	-1.56	-79.9	5.89%	0	-1.6	11	0
13	Dec_16_2015	15230.94	5799.49	4642.83	3965.05			3550(5.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-74	-10000	-23	-225	0.01	13%	-1.45	-72.8	5.88%	0	-1.5	10	0
14	Dec_15_2015	15455.18	6093.87	4877.53	4255.05			3375.25(-14.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-74	-10000	-26	-218	0.01	13%	-1.4	-65.4	5.81%	0	-1.7	5	0
15	Dec_14_2015	15674.88	6399.09	5184.23	4597.5			3925(-10.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-63	-10000	-17	-200	0.01	16%	-1.34	-60.6	5.63%	0	-1.5	6	0

16	Dec_11_2015	15887.76	6682.6	5433.71	4822.5			4375(-4.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-64	-10000	-22	-189	0.01	17%	-1.36	-57.6	5.64%	0	-1.4	13	0
17	Dec_10_2015	16107.45	6910.59	5644.89	5142.5			4600(-8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-60	-10000	-19	-181	0.01	17%	-1.46	-57.6	5.65%	0	-1.5	11	0
18	Dec_9_2015	16346.34	7126.28	5889.48	5427.5			5000(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	-10000	-11	-178	0.01	17%	-1.4	-56.2	5.63%	0	-1.4	10	0
19	Dec_8_2015	16578.66	7340.99	6108.13	5602.5			5087.5(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-10000	-16	-191	0.01	17%	-1.28	-54.1	5.65%	0	-1.5	10	0
20	Dec_7_2015	16793.69	7541.99	6330.82	5865			5050(-15.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-59	-10000	-15	-192	0.01	17%	-1.35	-51.9	5.71%	0	-1.7	10	0

21	Dec_4_2015	17024.24	7770.73	6540.05	6130			5975(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-6	-204	0	18%	-1.25	-50.3	5.5%	0	-1.3	11	0
22	Dec_3_2015	17240.41	7963.76	6744.64	6225			6025(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-10000	-12	-206	0.01	21%	-1.29	-45.9	5.52%	0	-1.4	24	0
23	Dec_2_2015	17466.16	8105.77	7036.12	6430			5875(-8.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-10000	-14	-185	0.01	21%	-1.19	-46.3	5.63%	0	-1.7	23	0
24	Dec_1_2015	17675.76	8256.52	7393.92	6695			6400(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10000	-9	-162	0.01	22%	-1.18	-49.9	5.59%	0	-1.6	23	0
25	Nov_30_2015	17886.37	8371.68	7696.45	6875			6375(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-7	-145	0.01	22%		-55.5	5.55%	0	-1.8	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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