Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $15050.0000 (1.01%) ($14950.0000 - $15675.0000) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.88% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $15050.0000(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -10.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    PEJ(12%)    IWD(11%)    OIH(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.44% (StdDev 4.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $17625.91
5 Day Moving Average   $14730(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15650.55(-3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17625.91(-14.61%)
To recent high   -47.2%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 14.51% (three month std-dev: 4.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2015	23776.79	17625.91	15650.55	14730			15050(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	6	-130	0.01	28%	-0.83	-56.7	4.88%	0	-1	28	0
2	Oct_7_2015	23975.26	17907.79	16005.55	14530			14900(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-10000	-5	-148	0.01	28%	-0.88	-59	4.89%	0	-1.2	24	0
3	Oct_6_2015	24188.35	18182.13	16322.58	14725			14725(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-10000	-12	-157	0	28%	-0.97	-59.5	4.91%	0	-1.4	22	0
4	Oct_5_2015	24424.58	18525.12	16670.82	15185			14550(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-57	-10000	-21	-163	0.01	28%	-0.95	-57.4	4.96%	0	-1.6	18	0
5	Oct_2_2015	24660.04	18831.28	17057.53	16020			14425(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-10000	-17	-154	0	28%	-0.94	-56	4.99%	0	-2	17	0

6	Oct_1_2015	24894.22	19203.58	17538.57	16720			14050(-11.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-52	-10000	-22	-143	0.01	28%	-0.84	-52.2	5.02%	0	-2.5	23	0
7	Sep_30_2015	25105.45	19528.05	18171.04	17675			15875(-6.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-10000	-10	-114	0.01	30%	-0.71	-53.7	4.86%	0	-2.2	29	0
8	Sep_29_2015	25285.29	19804.32	18639.51	18125			17025(-9.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-5	-97	0.01	32%	-0.56	-55.5	4.81%	0	-1.9	36	0
9	Sep_28_2015	25426.62	20024.92	19104.12	18355			18725(4.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	2	-87	0.01	35%	-0.54	-56.3	4.7%	0	-1	37	0
10	Sep_25_2015	25565.91	20180.95	19433.68	18270			17925(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-5	-83	0	36%	-0.44	-57.1	4.74%	0	-1.7	40	0

11	Sep_24_2015	25677.64	20344.21	19750.33	18505			18825(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-6	-78	0.01	38%	-0.43	-66.2	4.81%	0	-1.2	38	0
12	Sep_23_2015	25789.12	20470.14	19939.18	18780			18125(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-10	-68	0	38%	-0.48	-68	4.8%	0	-1.9	45	0
13	Sep_22_2015	25912.84	20653.25	20172.25	19255			18175(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-15	-60	0	36%	-0.5	-69.7	4.8%	0	-2.3	40	0
14	Sep_21_2015	26043.71	20807.53	20517.03	19975			18300(-4.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-10000	-16	-36	0.01	36%	-0.45	-73.9	4.87%	0	-2.7	40	0
15	Sep_18_2015	26160.55	20984.36	20753.74	20770			19100(-5.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-10	-10000	-8	-15	0.01	33%	-0.36	-87	4.86%	0	-2.5	40	0

16	Sep_17_2015	26255.18	21207.9	21017.97	21160			20200(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.01	35%	-0.16	-75.6	4.92%	0	-1.2	49	0
17	Sep_16_2015	26297.78	21327.8	21018.02	21255			20500(-5.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	1	-10000	1	1	0.01	35%	-0.1	-101.3	4.93%	0	-1	48	0
18	Sep_15_2015	26323.29	21449.09	21085.38	21205			21775(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	1	-3	0	43%	-0.02	-113.8	4.88%	0	0.4	51	0
19	Sep_14_2015	26329.41	21522.98	21022.47	21150			22275(5.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	7	-1	0	43%	-0.07	-115.9	5.2%	0	0.8	56	0
20	Sep_11_2015	26348.29	21653.84	20958.68	20770			21050(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0	37%	-0.13	-96.6	5.21%	0	-0.5	48	0

21	Sep_10_2015	26383.49	21843.58	20952.47	20885			20675(2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	2	-23	0.01	37%	-0.22	-84	5.28%	0	-0.8	38	0
22	Sep_9_2015	26441.66	22207.53	21010.71	20750			20250(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-3	-35	0	42%	-0.2	-56.3	5.33%	0	-1	42	0
23	Sep_8_2015	26493.95	22504.42	21151.65	20925			21500(5.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	1	-34	0	48%	-0.16	-49.6	5.57%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Sep_4_2015	26535.68	22729.35	21099.18	20875			20375(-5.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0	48%	-0.32	-43.9	5.78%	0	-1	37	0
25	Sep_3_2015	26620.28	22969.34	21228.02	21175			21625(8.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	2	-53	0.01	48%		-38.1	5.73%	0	-0.6	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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