Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $25000.0000 (3.63%) ($24750.0000 - $26000.0000) on Fri. Jul. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.55% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $25000.0000(3.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(11%)    PEJ(11%)    USO(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.275% (StdDev 6.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $26182.32
5 Day Moving Average   $24225(3.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25126.92(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26182.32(-4.52%)
To recent high   -34%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 6.98% (three month std-dev: 6.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2015	29644.76	26182.32	25126.92	24225			25000(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.01	50%	-0.48	-38.8	6.55%	0	-0.6	43	0
2	Jul_9_2015	29788.89	26336.19	25378.57	24575			24125(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-30	0.01	48%	-0.48	-22.8	6.55%	0	-1.2	43	0
3	Jul_8_2015	29933.02	26641.3	25565.38	24850			23125(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-8	-37	0	48%	-0.47	-2	6.63%	0	-1.8	34	0
4	Jul_7_2015	30074.6	26927.35	25800.55	25550			23875(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-5	-37	0.01	48%	-0.21	17.4	6.65%	0	-1.7	33	0
5	Jul_6_2015	30138.52	27017.96	25978.57	26000			25000(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-1	-41	0.01	48%	-0.57	28.9	6.63%	0	-1.2	35	0

6	Jul_2_2015	30310.57	26912.22	26214.01	26125			26750(4.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-2	-37	0.01	50%	-0.4	21.5	6.63%	0	-0.1	54	0
7	Jul_1_2015	30433.02	26763.19	26202.2	26325			25500(-4.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-1	-37	0	50%	-0.28	17.9	6.77%	0	-0.6	45	0
8	Jun_30_2015	30519.76	26682.04	26544.51	26400			26625(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	3	-38	0.01	50%	-0.15	5.9	6.72%	0	-0	42	0
9	Jun_29_2015	30565.68	26615.26	26847.53	26100			26125(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10000	2	-41	0	50%	-0.13	-7.5	6.71%	0	-0.2	46	0
10	Jun_26_2015	30606.49	26530.8	27214.01	25950			25625(-7.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0	50%	-0.18	-24.3	6.73%	0	-0.4	55	0

11	Jun_25_2015	30661.34	26473.14	27307.14	26300			27750(7.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.01	52%	-0.18	-41.1	6.71%	0	0.5	66	0
12	Jun_24_2015	30717.46	26374.38	27332.42	26100			25875(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-7	-7	0	50%	-0.36	-56.7	6.69%	0	-0.2	59	0
13	Jun_23_2015	30829.71	26552.62	27771.43	26750			25125(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-10	25	0	50%	-0.3	-58	6.71%	0	-0.6	58	0
14	Jun_22_2015	30921.54	26786.05	28146.7	27725			25375(-7.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-10	56	0.01	50%	-0.29	-60.6	6.73%	0	-0.6	54	0
15	Jun_19_2015	31012.1	27108.91	28186.26	28650			27375(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	2	85	0	52%	-0.27	-55.6	6.68%	0	0.1	60	0

16	Jun_18_2015	31096.29	27463.81	27730.77	28425			26750(-8.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-3	74	0.01	52%	-0.47	-51.3	6.76%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	Jun_17_2015	31244.25	27818.85	27446.43	28700			29125(-2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-3	74	0	57%	-0.46	-45.7	6.73%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Jun_16_2015	31389.66	28103.1	26888.46	28950			30000(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-10000	3	62	0	57%	-0.38	-38.2	6.86%	0	0.5	51	0
19	Jun_15_2015	31509.55	28435.78	26377.47	28675			30000(14.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	10	46	0	57%	-0.5	-29.7	6.86%	0	0.3	50	0
20	Jun_12_2015	31666.44	28761.63	25765.66	27700			26250(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	9	2	0	54%	-0.5	-28.3	6.62%	0	-0.5	39	0

21	Jun_11_2015	31827.16	29289.76	25561.26	26875			28125(-7.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	11	-47	0	58%	-0.59	-24.5	6.65%	0	-0.2	37	0
22	Jun_10_2015	32017.21	29601.93	25299.73	25925			30375(6.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	17	-85	0	60%	-0.43	-24.9	6.74%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Jun_9_2015	32154.96	29736.27	25130.22	24525			28625(13.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-25	-10000	9	-127	0.01	56%	-0.11	-29	6.7%	0	-0.2	36	0
24	Jun_8_2015	32191.35	29852.52	25178.02	23825			25125(13.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	3	-158	0	53%	-0.92	-32.6	6.73%	0	-0.9	23	0
25	Jun_5_2015	32491.61	30232.44	25823.9	23625			22125(-5.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-49	-10000	-5	-181	0	49%		-32.6	6.5%	0	-1.5	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.