Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $25500.0000 (-4.23%) ($25000.0000 - $26625.0000) on Wed. Jul. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.77% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $25500.0000(-4.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(11%)    PEJ(11%)    USO(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.385% (StdDev 6.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

Resistance Level   $26763.19
5 Day Moving Average   $26325(-3.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26202.2(-2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26763.19(-4.72%)
To recent high   -32.7%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 8.23% (three month std-dev: 6.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2015	30433.02	26763.19	26202.2	26325			25500(-4.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-1	-37	0	50%	-0.28	17.9	6.77%	0	-0.6	45	0
2	Jun_30_2015	30519.76	26682.04	26544.51	26400			26625(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	3	-38	0.01	50%	-0.15	5.9	6.72%	0	-0	42	0
3	Jun_29_2015	30565.68	26615.26	26847.53	26100			26125(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10000	2	-41	0	50%	-0.13	-7.5	6.71%	0	-0.2	46	0
4	Jun_26_2015	30606.49	26530.8	27214.01	25950			25625(-7.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0	50%	-0.18	-24.3	6.73%	0	-0.4	55	0
5	Jun_25_2015	30661.34	26473.14	27307.14	26300			27750(7.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.01	52%	-0.18	-41.1	6.71%	0	0.5	66	0

6	Jun_24_2015	30717.46	26374.38	27332.42	26100			25875(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-7	-7	0	50%	-0.36	-56.7	6.69%	0	-0.2	59	0
7	Jun_23_2015	30829.71	26552.62	27771.43	26750			25125(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-10	25	0	50%	-0.3	-58	6.71%	0	-0.6	58	0
8	Jun_22_2015	30921.54	26786.05	28146.7	27725			25375(-7.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-10	56	0.01	50%	-0.29	-60.6	6.73%	0	-0.6	54	0
9	Jun_19_2015	31012.1	27108.91	28186.26	28650			27375(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	2	85	0	52%	-0.27	-55.6	6.68%	0	0.1	60	0
10	Jun_18_2015	31096.29	27463.81	27730.77	28425			26750(-8.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-3	74	0.01	52%	-0.47	-51.3	6.76%	0	-0.2	59	0

11	Jun_17_2015	31244.25	27818.85	27446.43	28700			29125(-2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-3	74	0	57%	-0.46	-45.7	6.73%	0	0.4	58	0
12	Jun_16_2015	31389.66	28103.1	26888.46	28950			30000(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-10000	3	62	0	57%	-0.38	-38.2	6.86%	0	0.5	51	0
13	Jun_15_2015	31509.55	28435.78	26377.47	28675			30000(14.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	10	46	0	57%	-0.5	-29.7	6.86%	0	0.3	50	0
14	Jun_12_2015	31666.44	28761.63	25765.66	27700			26250(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	9	2	0	54%	-0.5	-28.3	6.62%	0	-0.5	39	0
15	Jun_11_2015	31827.16	29289.76	25561.26	26875			28125(-7.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	11	-47	0	58%	-0.59	-24.5	6.65%	0	-0.2	37	0

16	Jun_10_2015	32017.21	29601.93	25299.73	25925			30375(6.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	17	-85	0	60%	-0.43	-24.9	6.74%	0	0.1	42	0
17	Jun_9_2015	32154.96	29736.27	25130.22	24525			28625(13.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-25	-10000	9	-127	0.01	56%	-0.11	-29	6.7%	0	-0.2	36	0
18	Jun_8_2015	32191.35	29852.52	25178.02	23825			25125(13.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	3	-158	0	53%	-0.92	-32.6	6.73%	0	-0.9	23	0
19	Jun_5_2015	32491.61	30232.44	25823.9	23625			22125(-5.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-49	-10000	-5	-181	0	49%	-1.14	-32.6	6.5%	0	-1.5	11	0
20	Jun_4_2015	32866.61	30627.14	27103.3	24025			23375(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-48	-10000	-6	-175	0	49%	-1.28	-32.8	6.55%	0	-1.5	13	0

21	Jun_3_2015	33293.16	30994.98	28192.86	24525			23375(-6.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-54	-10000	-15	-170	0	49%	-0.78	-27.8	6.6%	0	-1.6	24	0
22	Jun_2_2015	33554.76	31388.71	29422.55	25800			25125(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-11	-147	0.01	51%	-0.55	-15.4	6.55%	0	-1.5	32	0
23	Jun_1_2015	33739.03	31722.16	30671.8	26775			24125(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-44	-10000	-18	-121	0	51%	-0.81	-0.5	6.53%	0	-1.9	38	0
24	May_29_2015	34013.52	32058.71	32038.63	28400			24125(-6.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-10000	-22	-88	0.01	51%	-0.77	19	6.58%	0	-2.2	35	0
25	May_28_2015	34277.69	32336.78	33412.6	30650			25875(-13.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-16	-35	0.01	53%		47.3	6.58%	0	-1.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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