Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $26250.0000 (-6.67%) ($25875.0000 - $28000.0000) on Fri. Jun. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.62% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $26250.0000(-6.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(11%)    PEJ(11%)    USO(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.31% (StdDev 6.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.1%

Resistance Level   $28761.63
5 Day Moving Average   $27700(-5.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25765.66(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28761.63(-8.73%)
To recent high   -32%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 17.22% (three month std-dev: 6.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2015	31666.44	28761.63	25765.66	27700			26250(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	9	2	0	54%	-0.5	-28.3	6.62%	0	-0.5	39	0
2	Jun_11_2015	31827.16	29289.76	25561.26	26875			28125(-7.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	11	-47	0	58%	-0.59	-24.5	6.65%	0	-0.2	37	0
3	Jun_10_2015	32017.21	29601.93	25299.73	25925			30375(6.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	17	-85	0	60%	-0.43	-24.9	6.74%	0	0.1	42	0
4	Jun_9_2015	32154.96	29736.27	25130.22	24525			28625(13.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-25	-10000	9	-127	0.01	56%	-0.11	-29	6.7%	0	-0.2	36	0
5	Jun_8_2015	32191.35	29852.52	25178.02	23825			25125(13.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-37	-10000	3	-158	0	53%	-0.92	-32.6	6.73%	0	-0.9	23	0

6	Jun_5_2015	32491.61	30232.44	25823.9	23625			22125(-5.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-49	-10000	-5	-181	0	49%	-1.14	-32.6	6.5%	0	-1.5	11	0
7	Jun_4_2015	32866.61	30627.14	27103.3	24025			23375(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-48	-10000	-6	-175	0	49%	-1.28	-32.8	6.55%	0	-1.5	13	0
8	Jun_3_2015	33293.16	30994.98	28192.86	24525			23375(-6.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-54	-10000	-15	-170	0	49%	-0.78	-27.8	6.6%	0	-1.6	24	0
9	Jun_2_2015	33554.76	31388.71	29422.55	25800			25125(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-11	-147	0.01	51%	-0.55	-15.4	6.55%	0	-1.5	32	0
10	Jun_1_2015	33739.03	31722.16	30671.8	26775			24125(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-44	-10000	-18	-121	0	51%	-0.81	-0.5	6.53%	0	-1.9	38	0

11	May_29_2015	34013.52	32058.71	32038.63	28400			24125(-6.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-10000	-22	-88	0.01	51%	-0.77	19	6.58%	0	-2.2	35	0
12	May_28_2015	34277.69	32336.78	33412.6	30650			25875(-13.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-16	-35	0.01	53%	-0.63	47.3	6.58%	0	-1.9	49	0
13	May_27_2015	34495.48	32340.6	34383.01	32375			29750(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-10000	-11	4	0	58%	-0.61	58.3	6.42%	0	-0.7	55	0
14	May_26_2015	34706.82	32065.82	34825.94	33581.75			30000(-6.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-10000	-14	31	0	52%	-1.05	58.1	6.43%	0	-0.5	54	0
15	May_22_2015	35074.6	31745.4	35012.55	35156.75			32250(-8.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-9	57	0	54%	-0.08	59	6.67%	0	0.1	56	0

16	May_21_2015	35103.72	31373.52	35084.05	36231.75			35375(2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-3	87	0	57%	-0.42	60.9	6.63%	0	0.8	66	0
17	May_20_2015	35251.92	30839.56	34490.17	36631.75			34500(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	-0	100	0	60%	-0.75	60.2	6.68%	0	0.8	68	0
18	May_19_2015	35517.38	30432.33	34058.93	36681.75			35783.75(-5.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	4	119	0	60%	-0.83	61.2	6.84%	0	1.1	79	0
19	May_18_2015	35814.72	29904.22	33518.41	36225			37875(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	12	142	0	60%	-0.59	60.5	6.81%	0	1.7	85	0
20	May_15_2015	36027.35	29220.1	32798.9	34825			37625(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	9	148	0	60%	0.05	57.2	6.77%	0	1.9	86	0

21	May_14_2015	36010.7	28671.28	31979.67	33775			37375(7.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	-10000	16	155	0	60%	-0.65	60.4	6.82%	0	2.2	77	0
22	May_13_2015	36246.38	28186.75	31047.14	32075			34750(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	9	139	0	58%	-0.93	60.2	6.81%	0	1.9	74	0
23	May_12_2015	36587.53	27732.05	30028.73	31075			33500(8.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	6	117	0	58%	-1.01	54.6	6.84%	0	1.8	65	0
24	May_11_2015	36959.91	27264.09	29003.73	30425			30875(-4.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	-0	100	0	60%	-1.66	44.9	6.88%	0	1.2	64	0
25	May_8_2015	37584.91	26904.08	28193.56	30450			32375(12.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	5	97	0	60%		38.9	7.07%	0	1.9	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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