Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $28373.7500 (16.41%) ($23625.0000 - $29625.0000) on Thu. Apr. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.15% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $28373.7500(16.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)    PEJ(11%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    JETS(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.575% (StdDev 7.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 18.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25369.71(-10.59%)
5 Day Moving Average   $24449.75(16.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25042.45(13.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25825.35(9.87%)
To recent high   -35.3%
To recent low   26.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 8.45% (three month std-dev: 7.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2015	42558.2	25825.35	25042.45	24449.75			28373.75(16.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	-10000	9	-15	0.01	56%	-2	-43.1	7.15%	0	1.2	61	0
2	Apr_29_2015	43425.4	25742.06	25003.57	23675			24375(5.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0	47%	-1.93	-63	6.84%	0	-0.6	51	0
3	Apr_28_2015	44279.57	25925.97	25188.46	24075			23000(2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-6	-20	0	47%	-1.9	-69.4	6.99%	0	-1.4	40	0
4	Apr_27_2015	45135.04	26199.86	25373.9	24550			22375(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.01	47%	-2.26	-74.5	7%	0	-1.8	35	0
5	Apr_24_2015	46176.71	26522.79	25565.11	25000			24125(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-8	-31	0	49%	-1.87	-86.8	6.98%	0	-1.2	40	0

6	Apr_23_2015	47056.91	26801.86	25596.98	25675			24500(-7.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-37	0	49%	-2.15	-88.8	7.03%	0	-1.2	37	0
7	Apr_22_2015	48090.77	27158.22	25654.4	26525			26375(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	0	-26	0	48%	-2.23	-84.3	7.07%	0	-0.4	50	0
8	Apr_21_2015	49185.82	27514.71	25727.75	26500			25375(3.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	2	-28	0	48%	-2.51	-74.3	7.15%	0	-0.8	45	0
9	Apr_20_2015	50451.45	27864.16	26050.55	26325			24625(-10.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-6	-10000	2	-30	0	42%	-2.85	-72.7	7.2%	0	-1.2	43	0
10	Apr_17_2015	51929.31	28332.18	26420.05	26150			27500(-4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	7	-30	0	45%	-0.49	-68.3	7.46%	0	-0.3	48	0

11	Apr_16_2015	52186.46	28684.25	26655.77	25475			28750(9.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	8	-39	0	45%	-3.12	-65.2	7.51%	0	0	47	0
12	Apr_15_2015	53868.04	29125.91	26464.84	24700			26250(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-2	-67	0	39%	-3.27	-58.1	7.44%	0	-0.7	35	0
13	Apr_14_2015	55686.46	29618.91	26640.66	24925			24500(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-9	-81	0	50%	-2.9	-50.9	7.44%	0	-1.2	25	0
14	Apr_13_2015	57349.62	30053.01	27039.29	25800			23750(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-8	-69	0	53%	-3.11	-46.9	8.59%	0	-1.6	28	0
15	Apr_10_2015	59191.72	30533.59	27553.02	26725			24125(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-10	-67	0	49%	-3.5	-49.2	8.9%	0	-1.7	27	0

16	Apr_9_2015	61337.78	31017.86	28136.81	27975			24875(-9.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-4	-60	0	49%	-3.2	-50	8.97%	0	-1.8	26	0
17	Apr_8_2015	63365.41	31602.4	28840.38	28425			27375(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-66	0	51%	-2.72	-47.6	8.91%	0	-1.3	25	0
18	Apr_7_2015	65137.78	31891.58	29481.87	28575			28875(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	1	-67	0	51%	-2.69	-49.5	8.93%	0	-1	34	0
19	Apr_6_2015	66936.46	32055.27	29834.89	28475			28375(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-0	-70	0	51%	-3.64	-53.2	8.96%	0	-1.2	43	0
20	Apr_2_2015	69463.16	32500.17	30398.63	28525			30375(11.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	1	-68	0	51%	-2.3	-45.1	8.86%	0	-0.7	47	0

21	Apr_1_2015	71097.28	32849.63	30829.95	28400			27125(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-7	-70	0	48%	-2.39	-40.3	8.73%	0	-1.8	37	0
22	Mar_31_2015	72836.86	33266.98	31948.33	29350			28125(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-9	-57	0	44%	-2.47	-42.5	8.79%	0	-1.7	33	0
23	Mar_30_2015	74679.31	33537.79	32791.39	30550			28375(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-6	-36	0	44%	-2.58	-46.8	9.05%	0	-1.9	45	0
24	Mar_27_2015	76653.27	33780.48	33298.18	31400			28625(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	0	47%	-2.59	-56.3	9.12%	0	-2.1	48	0
25	Mar_26_2015	78689.73	34033.88	33786.85	32525			29750(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0	47%		-71.1	9.19%	0	-2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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