Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $58500.0000 (-2.5%) ($55375.0000 - $59250.0000) on Fri. Dec. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.92% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $58500.0000(-2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -12.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -19.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(16%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)    IVE(10%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    VIXM(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.96% (StdDev 7.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $104898.65
5 Day Moving Average   $69224.75(-15.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88405.36(-33.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104898.65(-44.23%)
To recent high   -74.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 25.42% (three month std-dev: 7.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2014	164537.14	104898.65	88405.36	69224.75			58500(-2.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-10000	-32	-164	0	37%	-0.98	-91.7	7.92%	0	-1.7	19	0
2	Dec_24_2014	166160.5	111245.79	93564.83	79174.75			60000(-11.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-10000	-28	-127	0	38%	-0.78	-80.8	7.9%	0	-1.7	30	0
3	Dec_23_2014	167458.48	118050.93	98979.53	88899.75			67500(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-20	-96	0	40%	-0.69	-69.6	7.83%	0	-1.5	29	0
4	Dec_22_2014	168617.58	123775.96	103193.94	96349.75			69248.75(-23.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-21	-84	0	40%	-0.63	-67.4	7.83%	0	-1.6	28	0
5	Dec_19_2014	169692.08	130194.16	107185.15	105075			90875(-16.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-13	-78	0	42%	-0.53	-59.4	7.29%	0	-1.2	30	0

6	Dec_18_2014	170596.12	136786.11	110385.56	110259.75			108250(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	0	-81	0	44%	-0.38	-45.1	7.06%	0	-0.7	29	0
7	Dec_17_2014	171241.33	142014.39	110468.66	110237.25			108624.99(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-2	-126	0	44%	-0.41	-40.1	7.11%	0	-0.8	26	0
8	Dec_16_2014	171953.45	146308.76	111873.47	110837.25			104750(-7.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	-10000	-1	-160	0	45%	-0.39	-39.6	7.09%	0	-1	23	0
9	Dec_15_2014	172626.43	151046.51	114444.2	111162.25			112875(-3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-42	-10000	4	-179	0	47%	-0.36	-40.3	7.08%	0	-0.9	31	0
10	Dec_12_2014	173243.85	154219.81	117548.46	109612.25			116798.75(8.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-53	-10000	-3	-204	0	47%	-0.38	-46.1	7.13%	0	-0.9	29	0

11	Dec_11_2014	173908.76	156777.07	122056.04	110727.5			108137.5(-3.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-0	-222	0	44%	-0.37	-52.3	7.05%	0	-1.2	22	0
12	Dec_10_2014	174562.68	160878.66	129626.1	110825			111625(4.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-61	-10000	-6	-226	0	44%	-0.36	-55.1	7.11%	0	-1.3	26	0
13	Dec_9_2014	175197.78	165137.02	137928.02	113250			106375(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-63	-10000	-12	-217	0	45%	-0.46	-55.6	7.08%	0	-1.6	31	0
14	Dec_8_2014	176008.38	170220.58	145523.62	118275			105125(-14.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-66	-10000	-18	-209	0	46%	-0.54	-53	7.13%	0	-1.8	30	0
15	Dec_5_2014	176960.4	176004.56	154890.93	126625			122375(12.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-60	-10000	-19	-184	0	49%	-0.45	-44.4	6.97%	0	-1.6	41	0

16	Dec_4_2014	177767.22	181167.95	165166.21	135450			108624.99(-12.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-10000	-31	-148	0	46%	-0.66	-30.9	6.78%	0	-2.2	40	0
17	Dec_3_2014	178941.46	185733.98	176268.68	151425			123749.99(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-10000	-27	-99	0	48%	-0.55	-14.5	6.62%	0	-2.2	39	0
18	Dec_2_2014	179930.1	189233.77	183955.22	166475			131500(-10.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-27	-10000	-17	-57	0	46%	-0.56	9.1	6.6%	0	-2.4	39	0
19	Dec_1_2014	180937.68	191653.25	191291.76	176675			146875(-11.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-21	-10000	-17	-33	0	48%	-0.46	35.8	6.65%	0	-2.2	40	0
20	Nov_28_2014	181769.52	192419.96	194712.09	187050			166500(-11.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-10000	-19	-26	0	50%	-0.61	58.1	6.49%	0	-1.3	41	0

21	Nov_26_2014	182886.82	191876.73	195124.45	199350			188500(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0	53%	-0.3	69.6	6.3%	0	-0.1	43	0
22	Nov_25_2014	183441.82	189894.27	195149.45	205150			199000(9.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	-10000	1	2	0	54%	-0.26	72.3	6.26%	0	0.4	54	0
23	Nov_24_2014	183918.07	187054.9	194614.29	204500			182500(-8.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-4	-10000	-5	1	0	52%	-0.01	64.1	6.22%	0	-0.2	53	0
24	Nov_21_2014	183932.4	184610.29	196897.8	207950			198750(-12.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	8	32	0	54%	-0.4	62.2	6.15%	0	0.5	60	0
25	Nov_20_2014	184667.25	181541.51	198569.51	202950			228000(4.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	23	56	0	57%		52.4	5.94%	0	1.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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