Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $171125.0000 (-9.16%) ($168750.0000 - $174625.0000) on Mon. Oct. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.97% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $171125.0000(-9.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    XOP(17%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    VIXM(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.485% (StdDev 4.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $184100.01
5 Day Moving Average   $185775(-7.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $185254.4(-7.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $184100.01(-7.05%)
To recent high   -30.6%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 5.2% (three month std-dev: 4.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2014	231424.06	184100.01	185254.4	185775			171125(-9.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-9	-10000	-12	1	0	41%	-0.51	25.6	4.97%	0	-1.4	41	0
2	Oct_3_2014	232617.93	184561.75	185789.01	191700			188375(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	-0	21	0	44%	-0.46	28.4	4.89%	0	0.4	53	0
3	Oct_2_2014	233698.29	183634.13	184350.55	191725			179500(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-3	21	0	40%	-0.45	11.6	4.85%	0	-0.4	56	0
4	Oct_1_2014	234751.86	183358.64	184785.71	192975			187625(-7.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	4	36	0	40%	-0.4	3.3	4.86%	0	0.4	60	0
5	Sep_30_2014	235690.64	182771.28	185546.15	191075			202250(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	15	40	0	42%	-0.39	-9.5	4.79%	0	1.9	56	0

6	Sep_29_2014	236606.45	181685.65	184417.31	184625			200750(6.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	13	16	0	42%	-0.49	-35.1	4.8%	0	2.1	54	0
7	Sep_26_2014	237763.34	181826.36	182615.93	179200			188500(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	7	-3	0	38%	-0.58	-35.1	4.72%	0	0.7	56	0
8	Sep_25_2014	239148.55	182480.58	181082.42	176125			185750(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	1	-14	0	38%	-0.74	-32.3	4.8%	0	0.3	60	0
9	Sep_24_2014	240939.36	183028.73	179766.48	175625			178125(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-9	-21	0	38%	-0.83	-24.9	4.77%	0	-0.4	55	0
10	Sep_23_2014	242961.05	183729.85	180706.04	179375			170000(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10000	-11	1	0	34%	-0.76	-13.5	4.76%	0	-1.2	50	0

11	Sep_22_2014	244818.19	184970.61	182780.93	184150			173625(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-5	27	0	34%	-0.73	5.6	4.82%	0	-1	47	0
12	Sep_19_2014	246625.59	185457.5	183401.81	186375			173125(-5.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	5	-10000	0	19	0	34%	-0.75	14.6	4.82%	0	-1.1	37	0
13	Sep_18_2014	248489.11	186178.09	183221.59	186325			183250(-6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	3	-10000	5	-2	0	36%	-0.78	14.6	4.8%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Sep_17_2014	250436.81	186007.87	182234.49	184125			196875(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	4	-27	0	37%	-0.76	8.6	4.75%	0	1	49	0
15	Sep_16_2014	252352.63	185335.12	179989.16	182375			193875(4.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	2	-45	0	37%	-0.71	-2.6	4.74%	0	0.8	51	0

16	Sep_15_2014	254149.82	184319.49	178686.69	181674.75			184750(6.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	3	-56	0	35%	-0.64	-15.5	4.68%	0	0	47	0
17	Sep_12_2014	255787.58	183812.84	180705.19	180374.75			172875(0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-10	-10000	2	-47	0	38%	-0.73	-28.5	4.58%	0	-1	49	0
18	Sep_11_2014	257658.75	184594.72	183756.06	179524.75			172250(-8.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-0	-37	0	38%	-0.76	-31.9	4.98%	0	-1.1	46	0
19	Sep_10_2014	259638.34	185061.61	186406.38	179549.75			188125(-1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	6	-24	0	39%	-0.71	-39.5	4.89%	0	0.3	57	0
20	Sep_9_2014	261487.83	185608.89	186772.36	177049.75			190373.75(6.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	3	-30	0	38%	-0.65	-39.1	4.96%	0	0.4	54	0

21	Sep_8_2014	263197.03	186032.28	187053.6	175550			178250(5.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-14	-31	0	35%	-0.33	-34.5	4.89%	0	-0.7	56	0
22	Sep_5_2014	264072.77	187054.15	187564.63	181629.5			168625(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-16	-5	0	32%	-0.76	-11.7	4.84%	0	-1.6	51	0
23	Sep_4_2014	266089.52	188126.78	189567.43	188854.49			172375(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-11	23	0	32%	-0.58	8.7	4.85%	0	-1.4	45	0
24	Sep_3_2014	267653.96	189347.68	190517.83	194129.49			175625(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	6	-10000	-7	45	0	32%	-0.6	34	4.87%	0	-1.3	51	0
25	Sep_2_2014	269264.78	190075.69	191641.91	197504.49			182875(-12.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	9	-10000	-5	49	0	32%		50.5	4.86%	0	-0.7	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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