Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $184750.0000 (6.87%) ($181125.0000 - $186500.0000) on Mon. Sep. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.68% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $184750.0000(6.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    XOP(17%)    XLE(13%)    OIH(12%)    USO(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    VIXM(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.34% (StdDev 4.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $181674.75(1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $178686.69(3.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $184319.49(0.23%)
To recent high   -46.6%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 5.92% (three month std-dev: 4.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2014	254149.82	184319.49	178686.69	181674.75			184750(6.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	3	-56	0	35%	-0.64	-15.5	4.68%	0	0	47	0
2	Sep_12_2014	255787.58	183812.84	180705.19	180374.75			172875(0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-10	-10000	2	-47	0	38%	-0.73	-28.5	4.58%	0	-1	49	0
3	Sep_11_2014	257658.75	184594.72	183756.06	179524.75			172250(-8.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-0	-37	0	38%	-0.76	-31.9	4.98%	0	-1.1	46	0
4	Sep_10_2014	259638.34	185061.61	186406.38	179549.75			188125(-1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	6	-24	0	39%	-0.71	-39.5	4.89%	0	0.3	57	0
5	Sep_9_2014	261487.83	185608.89	186772.36	177049.75			190373.75(6.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	3	-30	0	38%	-0.65	-39.1	4.96%	0	0.4	54	0

6	Sep_8_2014	263197.03	186032.28	187053.6	175550			178250(5.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-14	-31	0	35%	-0.33	-34.5	4.89%	0	-0.7	56	0
7	Sep_5_2014	264072.77	187054.15	187564.63	181629.5			168625(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-16	-5	0	32%	-0.76	-11.7	4.84%	0	-1.6	51	0
8	Sep_4_2014	266089.52	188126.78	189567.43	188854.49			172375(-1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-11	23	0	32%	-0.58	8.7	4.85%	0	-1.4	45	0
9	Sep_3_2014	267653.96	189347.68	190517.83	194129.49			175625(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	6	-10000	-7	45	0	32%	-0.6	34	4.87%	0	-1.3	51	0
10	Sep_2_2014	269264.78	190075.69	191641.91	197504.49			182875(-12.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	9	-10000	-5	49	0	32%	-0.83	50.5	4.86%	0	-0.7	44	0

11	Aug_29_2014	271522.28	190126.57	190959.12	199779.49			208647.48(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	12	51	0	35%	-0.51	61.3	4.63%	0	1.8	52	0
12	Aug_28_2014	272918.74	188442.48	187388.92	194375			204749.98(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	8	13	0	39%	-0.47	51.2	4.62%	0	1.7	52	0
13	Aug_27_2014	274205.73	187170.21	185451.14	190650			198750(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	9	-1	0	41%	-0.47	40	4.72%	0	1.3	56	0
14	Aug_26_2014	275487.61	185850.08	183427.37	186636.75			192500(-0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	4	-29	0	41%	-0.44	28.6	4.75%	0	0.7	49	0
15	Aug_25_2014	276707	185177.25	183999.48	185036.75			194250(6.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	10	-25	0	41%	-0.4	25.3	4.79%	0	1	53	0

16	Aug_22_2014	277810.32	184052.56	184383.12	180836.75			181625(-2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	4	-33	0	38%	-0.45	5.2	4.71%	0	-0.3	52	0
17	Aug_21_2014	279053.94	183737.19	186027.76	179211.75			186125(4.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-8	-10000	-1	-27	0	38%	-0.38	-12	4.78%	0	0.3	57	0
18	Aug_20_2014	280116.44	183552.49	186203.98	179511.75			178683.75(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-0	-22	0	38%	-0.34	-20	4.76%	0	-0.5	52	0
19	Aug_19_2014	281085.23	183344.75	187916.76	179700			184500(6.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-8	-10	0	38%	-0.4	-42.9	4.79%	0	0.1	59	0
20	Aug_18_2014	282206.4	182881.98	188361.81	183025			173250(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-8	-10000	-12	6	0	35%	-0.51	-54.8	4.74%	0	-1	50	0

21	Aug_15_2014	283666.86	183584.05	189513.46	188575			173500(-7.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-11	35	0	35%	-0.53	-57.7	4.74%	0	-1	55	0
22	Aug_14_2014	285170.69	184850.14	190059.89	193700			187625(4.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	-0	63	0	37%	-0.39	-55.2	4.7%	0	0.3	59	0
23	Aug_13_2014	286280.38	185470.99	189455.77	193775			179625(-10.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-10000	-7	61	0	37%	-0.43	-50.7	4.66%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Aug_12_2014	287522.73	187558.84	188989.01	197000			201125(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	6	84	0	41%	-0.28	-42.5	4.51%	0	0.9	66	0
25	Aug_11_2014	288319.92	188326.52	186726.65	194475			201000(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	9	79	0	41%		-46.4	4.58%	0	0.7	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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