Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jan. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $280625.0000 (1.68%) ($257625.0000 - $292875.0000) on Sat. Jan. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.04% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $280625.0000(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.52% (StdDev 5.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

Resistance Level   $287917.96
5 Day Moving Average   $283149.75(-0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $298585.86(-6.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $287917.96(-2.53%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   81.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 6.94% (three month std-dev: 5.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2014	220928.61	287917.96	298585.86	283149.75			280625(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0	53%	0.41	77.1	5.04%	0	-0.4	49	0
2	Jan_2_2014	220022.68	285351.59	298911.96	290099.75			276000(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-10	-3	0	52%	0.65	85.3	5.06%	0	-0.4	50	0
3	Dec_31_2013	218610.46	283033.08	299765.52	297699.75			267250(-12.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-10000	-15	16	0	52%	0.43	76.9	5.11%	0	-0.5	54	0
4	Dec_30_2013	217674.23	281128.37	301180.08	309349.75			304373.75(5.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-2	54	0	56%	0.66	87.1	4.86%	0	0.7	65	0
5	Dec_27_2013	216246.95	276852.47	300489.29	311150			287500(-8.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-6	79	0	54%	0.52	88.6	4.85%	0	0.3	67	0

6	Dec_26_2013	215121.95	273306.55	301359.62	315975			315375(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	38	-10000	10	123	0	57%	0.87	97.4	4.7%	0	1.2	77	0
7	Dec_24_2013	213259.61	267889.06	298568.13	308825			314000(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	10	138	0	54%	0.63	90.2	4.67%	0	1.2	82	0
8	Dec_23_2013	211931.33	262358.75	294259.89	301975			325500(3.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	14	144	0	52%	0.68	87.5	4.78%	0	1.6	86	0
9	Dec_20_2013	210496.98	255943.8	288363.46	291875			313375(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	-10000	4	137	0	52%	0.59	84.1	4.86%	0	1.5	85	0
10	Dec_19_2013	209257.08	249566.84	281987.36	288725			311625(11.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	5	151	0	52%	0.54	83.6	4.86%	0	1.6	86	0

11	Dec_18_2013	208123.24	243065.92	275744.51	285225			279625(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	41	-10000	-2	171	0	48%	0.39	84.7	4.67%	0	1	84	0
12	Dec_17_2013	207323.99	237591.1	270418.13	286900			279750(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	52	-10000	3	197	0	48%	0.35	80.9	4.67%	0	1.1	85	0
13	Dec_16_2013	206596.72	232455.37	264995.33	284975			275000(-7.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	-10000	2	211	0	50%	0.25	80	4.67%	0	1.1	85	0
14	Dec_13_2013	206085.35	227745.54	259888.3	283550			297625(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	-10000	15	238	0	52%	0.28	81.5	4.6%	0	1.7	99	0
15	Dec_12_2013	205505.81	221491.85	251574.84	273800			294125(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	-10000	15	233	0	54%	0.21	80.4	4.61%	0	1.9	99	0

16	Dec_11_2013	205075.25	215086.44	243145.45	264925			288000(6.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	-10000	23	231	0	54%	0.15	80.2	4.66%	0	2.1	99	0
17	Dec_10_2013	204769.7	209423.84	234668.91	251650			270125(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	-10000	17	217	0	52%	0.11	80.3	4.6%	0	1.9	99	0
18	Dec_9_2013	204543.69	204268.29	227754.91	242050			267875(7.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	64	-10000	17	206	0	54%	-0	80.2	4.61%	0	2.2	88	0
19	Dec_6_2013	204553.79	199160.81	220579.26	232700.25			248875(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-10000	13	189	0	52%	-0.12	80.8	4.6%	0	2	81	0
20	Dec_5_2013	204789.9	194774.11	214236.02	225925.25			249750(12.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	-10000	15	177	0	49%	0.06	76.6	4.63%	0	2.3	83	0

21	Dec_4_2013	204672.47	190196.32	207351.57	218250.25			221625(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	7	165	0	44%	-0.13	71.4	4.48%	0	1.5	81	0
22	Dec_3_2013	204943.94	187016.05	202085.81	214975.5			222125(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	8	149	0	44%	-0.12	62.6	4.48%	0	1.7	70	0
23	Dec_2_2013	205180.05	183577.28	197465.93	211025.5			221126.25(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	10	142	0	44%	-0.1	51.1	4.52%	0	1.9	74	0
24	Nov_29_2013	205382.06	180609.85	193295.9	206465.25			215000.02(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	13	137	0	44%	-0.31	36.1	4.51%	0	2	73	0
25	Nov_27_2013	206015.74	178355.68	189262.28	200590.25			211375(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	13	125	0	44%		22.1	4.49%	0	2.2	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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