Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 17, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $279750.0000 (1.73%) ($263375.0000 - $288500.0000) on Tue. Dec. 17, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.67% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $279750.0000(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 15.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.335% (StdDev 4.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $286900(-2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $270418.13(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $237591.1(17.74%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   81.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 16.63% (three month std-dev: 4.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2013	207323.99	237591.1	270418.13	286900			279750(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	52	-10000	3	197	0	48%	0.35	80.9	4.67%	0	1.1	85	0
2	Dec_16_2013	206596.72	232455.37	264995.33	284975			275000(-7.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	54	-10000	2	211	0	50%	0.25	80	4.67%	0	1.1	85	0
3	Dec_13_2013	206085.35	227745.54	259888.3	283550			297625(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	-10000	15	238	0	52%	0.28	81.5	4.6%	0	1.7	99	0
4	Dec_12_2013	205505.81	221491.85	251574.84	273800			294125(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	-10000	15	233	0	54%	0.21	80.4	4.61%	0	1.9	99	0
5	Dec_11_2013	205075.25	215086.44	243145.45	264925			288000(6.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	-10000	23	231	0	54%	0.15	80.2	4.66%	0	2.1	99	0

6	Dec_10_2013	204769.7	209423.84	234668.91	251650			270125(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	-10000	17	217	0	52%	0.11	80.3	4.6%	0	1.9	99	0
7	Dec_9_2013	204543.69	204268.29	227754.91	242050			267875(7.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	64	-10000	17	206	0	54%	-0	80.2	4.61%	0	2.2	88	0
8	Dec_6_2013	204553.79	199160.81	220579.26	232700.25			248875(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-10000	13	189	0	52%	-0.12	80.8	4.6%	0	2	81	0
9	Dec_5_2013	204789.9	194774.11	214236.02	225925.25			249750(12.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	-10000	15	177	0	49%	0.06	76.6	4.63%	0	2.3	83	0
10	Dec_4_2013	204672.47	190196.32	207351.57	218250.25			221625(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	7	165	0	44%	-0.13	71.4	4.48%	0	1.5	81	0

11	Dec_3_2013	204943.94	187016.05	202085.81	214975.5			222125(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	8	149	0	44%	-0.12	62.6	4.48%	0	1.7	70	0
12	Dec_2_2013	205180.05	183577.28	197465.93	211025.5			221126.25(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	10	142	0	44%	-0.1	51.1	4.52%	0	1.9	74	0
13	Nov_29_2013	205382.06	180609.85	193295.9	206465.25			215000.02(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	13	137	0	44%	-0.31	36.1	4.51%	0	2	73	0
14	Nov_27_2013	206015.74	178355.68	189262.28	200590.25			211375(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	13	125	0	44%	-0.17	22.1	4.49%	0	2.2	74	0
15	Nov_26_2013	206365.74	176577.26	184985.52	194765.25			205251.23(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	18	111	0	44%	-0.25	6.9	4.49%	0	2.1	74	0

16	Nov_25_2013	206893.22	175201.55	182249.29	187090			202375(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	13	93	0	44%	-0.17	-15	4.48%	0	2.3	74	0
17	Nov_22_2013	207244.47	174152.35	178912.64	181815			198325(6.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	9	83	0	47%	-0.04	-32.3	4.5%	0	1.9	75	0
18	Nov_21_2013	207334.57	174461.12	175914.56	178325			185625(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	5	72	0	44%	-0.27	-43.7	4.48%	0	0.8	62	0
19	Nov_20_2013	207888.86	175032.6	173703.02	176350			182250(9.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	7	59	0	44%	-0.3	-52.8	4.48%	0	0.5	54	0
20	Nov_19_2013	208523.96	175655.52	171629.67	173800			166875(-5.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-7	30	0	43%	-0.31	-64	4.33%	0	-0.6	43	0

21	Nov_18_2013	209172.95	176999.59	170985.99	176425			176000(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	3	30	0	45%	-0.26	-65.5	4.36%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	Nov_15_2013	209719.67	178459.53	168907.14	175300			180875(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	6	3	0	47%	-0.25	-63.7	4.37%	0	0.1	45	0
23	Nov_14_2013	210251.24	180426.04	167146.43	173100			175750(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-40	0	47%	-0.43	-61.4	4.42%	0	-0.2	32	0
24	Nov_13_2013	211156.54	182691.85	166734.89	170650			169500(-5.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	4	-71	0	47%	-0.4	-59.6	4.41%	0	-0.6	35	0
25	Nov_12_2013	212007.55	185372.79	167615.66	169025			180000(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	12	-89	0	52%		-55.6	4.35%	0	-0.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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