Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $180875.0000 (2.92%) ($174500.0000 - $183125.0000) on Fri. Nov. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $180875.0000(2.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $175300(3.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168907.14(7.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $178459.53(1.35%)
To recent high   -25.5%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10.34% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2013	209719.67	178459.53	168907.14	175300			180875(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	6	3	0	47%	-0.25	-63.7	4.37%	0	0.1	45	0
2	Nov_14_2013	210251.24	180426.04	167146.43	173100			175750(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-40	0	47%	-0.43	-61.4	4.42%	0	-0.2	32	0
3	Nov_13_2013	211156.54	182691.85	166734.89	170650			169500(-5.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	4	-71	0	47%	-0.4	-59.6	4.41%	0	-0.6	35	0
4	Nov_12_2013	212007.55	185372.79	167615.66	169025			180000(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	12	-89	0	52%	-0.43	-55.6	4.35%	0	-0.2	40	0
5	Nov_11_2013	212926.74	187868.16	167500.27	164750			170375(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	9	-116	0	50%	-0.53	-54.2	4.37%	0	-0.7	37	0

6	Nov_8_2013	214059.32	191053.59	168828.02	161525			169875(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	3	-142	0	49%	-0.63	-51.7	4.47%	0	-0.8	32	0
7	Nov_7_2013	215406.54	194068.72	172543.41	160425			163500(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-5	-156	0	47%	-0.73	-46.9	4.5%	0	-1.1	24	0
8	Nov_6_2013	216987.35	197132.46	176151.92	162400			161375(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-10	-162	0	47%	-0.69	-41.5	4.56%	0	-1.3	22	0
9	Nov_5_2013	218491.14	200001.38	179788.46	166125			158625(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-12	-166	0	47%	-0.67	-36.3	4.56%	0	-1.6	20	0
10	Nov_4_2013	219964.62	203300.21	183520.6	170750			154250(-6.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-10000	-16	-173	0	47%	-0.55	-31.6	4.54%	0	-2.1	15	0

11	Nov_1_2013	221170.43	206217.96	189050	177050			164375(-5.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-59	-10000	-22	-171	0	49%	-0.58	-25.6	4.5%	0	-2	16	0
12	Oct_31_2013	222451.99	207760.77	195095.05	186425			173375(-3.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-10000	-13	-141	0	51%	-0.49	-18.1	4.49%	0	-1.8	22	0
13	Oct_30_2013	223541.64	208781.01	200242.58	191975			180000(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0	51%	-0.41	-13.9	4.47%	0	-1.6	30	0
14	Oct_29_2013	224462.08	209685.5	204839.84	195550			181750(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10000	-6	-104	0	51%	-0.47	-9.9	4.49%	0	-1.7	37	0
15	Oct_28_2013	225531.53	211008.56	210085.16	198125			185750(-12.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-10	-90	0	51%	-0.48	-4.6	4.57%	0	-1.6	36	0

16	Oct_25_2013	226623.7	211723.76	215245.06	202625			211250(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-6	-62	0	56%	-0.4	-3.2	4.4%	0	-0	55	0
17	Oct_24_2013	227523.95	211312.29	217185.99	205425			201125(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-10	-32	0	54%	-0.6	-7.2	4.38%	0	-0.7	61	0
18	Oct_23_2013	228902.74	211315.26	219619.51	210200			197875(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10000	-12	4	0	54%	-0.6	-9.7	4.38%	0	-0.9	61	0
19	Oct_22_2013	230294.15	211375.21	221769.23	215800			194625(-6.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-16	36	0	54%	-0.61	-12.2	4.41%	0	-1.1	56	0
20	Oct_21_2013	231714.61	211755.32	224819.23	223700			208250(-7.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-11	77	0	57%	-0.55	-10.5	4.44%	0	-0.2	55	0

21	Oct_18_2013	233007.54	212211.12	225072.53	229425			225250(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-3	114	0	61%	-0.52	-7.3	4.35%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Oct_17_2013	234215.87	212439.57	221728.02	230700.01			225000(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	0	108	0	61%	-0.68	-4.2	4.7%	0	0.8	62	0
23	Oct_16_2013	235826.98	212837.71	218262.64	230500.01			225875(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	4	105	0	61%	-0.73	-1.2	4.73%	0	0.8	63	0
24	Oct_15_2013	237552.99	213288.81	215112.36	228575			234125(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	5	101	0	61%	-0.01	2.6	4.71%	0	1.1	68	0
25	Oct_14_2013	237587.97	213387.64	211990.11	226100			236875.02(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	101	0	61%		5.4	4.72%	0	1.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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