Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 13, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $169500.0000 (-5.83%) ($168250.0000 - $178873.7500) on Wed. Nov. 13, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.41% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $169500.0000(-5.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.205% (StdDev 4.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

Resistance Level   $182691.85
5 Day Moving Average   $170650(-0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166734.89(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $182691.85(-7.22%)
To recent high   -30.1%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 12.29% (three month std-dev: 4.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2013	211156.54	182691.85	166734.89	170650			169500(-5.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	4	-71	0	47%	-0.4	-59.6	4.41%	0	-0.6	35	0
2	Nov_12_2013	212007.55	185372.79	167615.66	169025			180000(5.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	12	-89	0	52%	-0.43	-55.6	4.35%	0	-0.2	40	0
3	Nov_11_2013	212926.74	187868.16	167500.27	164750			170375(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	9	-116	0	50%	-0.53	-54.2	4.37%	0	-0.7	37	0
4	Nov_8_2013	214059.32	191053.59	168828.02	161525			169875(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	3	-142	0	49%	-0.63	-51.7	4.47%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Nov_7_2013	215406.54	194068.72	172543.41	160425			163500(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-5	-156	0	47%	-0.73	-46.9	4.5%	0	-1.1	24	0

6	Nov_6_2013	216987.35	197132.46	176151.92	162400			161375(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-10	-162	0	47%	-0.69	-41.5	4.56%	0	-1.3	22	0
7	Nov_5_2013	218491.14	200001.38	179788.46	166125			158625(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-12	-166	0	47%	-0.67	-36.3	4.56%	0	-1.6	20	0
8	Nov_4_2013	219964.62	203300.21	183520.6	170750			154250(-6.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-10000	-16	-173	0	47%	-0.55	-31.6	4.54%	0	-2.1	15	0
9	Nov_1_2013	221170.43	206217.96	189050	177050			164375(-5.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-59	-10000	-22	-171	0	49%	-0.58	-25.6	4.5%	0	-2	16	0
10	Oct_31_2013	222451.99	207760.77	195095.05	186425			173375(-3.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-10000	-13	-141	0	51%	-0.49	-18.1	4.49%	0	-1.8	22	0

11	Oct_30_2013	223541.64	208781.01	200242.58	191975			180000(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0	51%	-0.41	-13.9	4.47%	0	-1.6	30	0
12	Oct_29_2013	224462.08	209685.5	204839.84	195550			181750(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10000	-6	-104	0	51%	-0.47	-9.9	4.49%	0	-1.7	37	0
13	Oct_28_2013	225531.53	211008.56	210085.16	198125			185750(-12.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-10	-90	0	51%	-0.48	-4.6	4.57%	0	-1.6	36	0
14	Oct_25_2013	226623.7	211723.76	215245.06	202625			211250(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-6	-62	0	56%	-0.4	-3.2	4.4%	0	-0	55	0
15	Oct_24_2013	227523.95	211312.29	217185.99	205425			201125(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-10	-32	0	54%	-0.6	-7.2	4.38%	0	-0.7	61	0

16	Oct_23_2013	228902.74	211315.26	219619.51	210200			197875(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10000	-12	4	0	54%	-0.6	-9.7	4.38%	0	-0.9	61	0
17	Oct_22_2013	230294.15	211375.21	221769.23	215800			194625(-6.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-16	36	0	54%	-0.61	-12.2	4.41%	0	-1.1	56	0
18	Oct_21_2013	231714.61	211755.32	224819.23	223700			208250(-7.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-11	77	0	57%	-0.55	-10.5	4.44%	0	-0.2	55	0
19	Oct_18_2013	233007.54	212211.12	225072.53	229425			225250(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-3	114	0	61%	-0.52	-7.3	4.35%	0	0.8	66	0
20	Oct_17_2013	234215.87	212439.57	221728.02	230700.01			225000(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	0	108	0	61%	-0.68	-4.2	4.7%	0	0.8	62	0

21	Oct_16_2013	235826.98	212837.71	218262.64	230500.01			225875(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	4	105	0	61%	-0.73	-1.2	4.73%	0	0.8	63	0
22	Oct_15_2013	237552.99	213288.81	215112.36	228575			234125(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	5	101	0	61%	-0.01	2.6	4.71%	0	1.1	68	0
23	Oct_14_2013	237587.97	213387.64	211990.11	226100			236875.02(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	101	0	61%	-0.77	5.4	4.72%	0	1.3	67	0
24	Oct_11_2013	239420.88	213387.38	207694.51	220125			231625.02(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	17	70	0	61%	-0.8	2	4.72%	0	1	54	0
25	Oct_10_2013	241355.83	213140.69	204482.14	211450			224000(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	15	21	0	61%		-5.2	4.73%	0	0.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.