Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $287625.0000 (-2.13%) ($282500.0000 - $302125.0000) on Mon. Jun. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   413.09% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $287625.0000(-2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -12.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(3%)    EWJ(3%)    EWP(3%)    OIH(3%)    PCY(3%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -206.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    FXI(-2%)    SHY(-1%)    LQD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -206.545% (StdDev 413.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

Resistance Level   $356025.9
5 Day Moving Average   $311025(-7.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $333259.07(-13.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $356025.9(-19.21%)
To recent high   -32.6%
To recent low   5375.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -170.64%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 170.64% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10.8% (three month std-dev: 413.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2013	292490.52	356025.9	333259.07	311025			287625(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1	-10000	-0	-2	0	99%	-0.1	-28	413.09%	0	-1.8	29	0
2	Jun_7_2013	292797.23	358832.39	345919.23	320550			293875(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	-0.01	-27.9	413.06%	0	-1.8	33	0
3	Jun_6_2013	292819.13	362064.85	358590.11	329025			300375(-11.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	0.06	-27.1	413.03%	0	-1.9	46	0
4	Jun_5_2013	292635.5	365027.07	368931.32	337925			337625(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0	99%	0.19	27.6	413%	0	-0.9	44	0
5	Jun_4_2013	292073.64	365463.33	375677.47	347300			335625(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	99%	0.24	89.8	413%	0	-1	49	0

6	Jun_3_2013	291385.5	367114.85	380248.9	359525			335250(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-0	-0	0	99%	0.27	168.8	412.98%	0	-1.1	54	0
7	May_31_2013	290589.11	369021.82	384196.7	375775			336250(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	0	-10000	-0	0	0	99%	0.38	281	416.05%	0	-1.2	55	0
8	May_30_2013	289497.61	370987.36	385513.18	392775			344875(-10.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.8	0	-10000	-0	1	0	99%	0.45	310.3	419.19%	0	-1	52	0
9	May_29_2013	288187.05	357153.11	389045.33	403875			384500(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	0	-10000	-0	1	0	99%	0.52	78.7	422.37%	0	0.3	60	0
10	May_28_2013	286710.24	341213.21	386736.26	407849.99			396750(-4.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	0	-10000	0	1	0	99%	0.65	63.3	422.36%	0	0.5	65	0

11	May_24_2013	284856.05	325023.58	381047.25	403724.99			416500(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	0	-10000	0	1	0	99%	0.66	49.9	412.86%	0	0.7	60	0
12	May_23_2013	282986.16	305632.64	372718.95	393974.99			421250(5.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	0	-10000	0	1	0	99%	0.64	45	415.93%	0	0.9	60	0
13	May_22_2013	281181.31	304249.43	365184.34	377524.99			400375(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	0	0	0	99%	0.44	58	419.09%	0	0.7	56	0
14	May_21_2013	279952.51	304308.5	359956.59	372299.99			404374.97(7.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	1	-10000	0	2	0	99%	0.48	74.3	419.08%	0	0.7	98	0
15	May_20_2013	278601.99	285766.42	353215.11	363025			376125(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	1	-10000	0	3	0	99%	0.28	71	419.12%	0	0.6	97	0

16	May_17_2013	277810.76	269102.3	351718.96	355075			367750(8.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	1	-10000	0	5	0	99%	0.3	49.1	415.94%	0	0.6	95	0
17	May_16_2013	276969.26	254754.55	351576.92	348150			339000(-9.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	2	-10000	-0	7	0	99%	0.2	50.1	419.12%	0	0.5	96	0
18	May_15_2013	276406.12	241730.71	354854.12	350325			374250(4.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	2	-10000	0	7	0	99%	0.37	34.6	422.3%	0	0.8	92	0
19	May_14_2013	275386.91	223883.93	323368.43	345725			358000(6.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	1	-10000	0	5	0	99%	0.28	18.9	422.32%	0	0.8	91	0
20	May_13_2013	274610.87	206541.16	293509.66	342250			336375(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-0	5	0	99%	0.12	6	422.39%	0	0.8	97	0

21	May_10_2013	274290.56	208893.76	266628.1	348025			333125(-4.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	2	-10000	-0	7	0	99%	0.1	7.5	416.02%	0	0.7	96	0
22	May_9_2013	274024.93	193670.12	235639.96	355425			349875(-0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	2	-10000	-0	9	0	99%	0.26	-1.8	419.15%	0	0.9	94	0
23	May_8_2013	273307.48	195269.89	239306.75	359900			351250(3.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	5	-10000	1	16	0	99%	0.21	0.2	422.37%	0	0.9	94	0
24	May_7_2013	272722.85	196029.19	243534.1	295550.65			340625(-6.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	1	16	0	99%	0.21	-7.9	422.39%	0	0.8	95	0
25	May_6_2013	272141.47	196674.06	212083.7	234576.31			365250(-1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	5	-10000	2	13	0	99%		-14.8	422.41%	0	0.9	95	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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