Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $382750.0000 (7.44%) ($357500.0000 - $385000.0000) on Tue. Mar. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.81% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $382750.0000(7.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 12.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
USO(3%)    EMHY(2%)    EWJ(2%)    OIH(2%)    PCY(2%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-5%)    XLP(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    REMX(-2%)    XLY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.905% (StdDev 5.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $373249.75(2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $363622.12(5.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $324202.2(18.06%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   78.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 14.24% (three month std-dev: 5.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2013	268483.15	324202.2	363622.12	373249.75			382750(7.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	-0	125	0	100%	-0.05	77.9	5.81%	0	1.3	86	0
2	Mar_25_2013	268619.87	318003.65	355838.05	373399.75			356250(-5.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	34	-10000	-1	140	0	100%	-0.13	83.9	5.75%	0	0.8	77	0
3	Mar_22_2013	268976.54	313383.49	351014.15	374224.75			375998.75(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	4	158	0	100%	1.44	88.3	5.79%	0	1.3	83	0
4	Mar_21_2013	265145.86	306379.2	343735.99	370075			373125(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	4	169	0	100%	1.43	88.4	5.83%	0	1.4	85	0
5	Mar_20_2013	261408.91	299138.87	335422.8	365275			378125(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-10000	13	179	0	100%	0.47	86.3	5.83%	0	1.7	83	0

6	Mar_19_2013	260180.32	291824.93	324437.09	352200			383500(6.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	16	162	0	100%	0.51	81.8	5.94%	0	2.1	87	0
7	Mar_18_2013	258868.41	284087.15	313517.31	335750			360375(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	12	139	0	100%	1.4	77.5	5.93%	0	2	81	0
8	Mar_15_2013	255288.66	276706.83	305102.47	324300			355250(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	12	126	0	100%	1.32	68.7	5.9%	0	2.1	78	0
9	Mar_14_2013	251958.9	269643.99	295607.53	313600			349125(11.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	40	-10000	14	117	0	100%	1.3	61	5.95%	0	2.3	82	0
10	Mar_13_2013	248718.25	264004.69	287079.51	301475			312750(3.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	11	112	0	100%	1.03	53.2	5.78%	0	1.7	81	0

11	Mar_12_2013	246186.37	259950.69	281154.79	292350			301250(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	6	99	0	100%	1.12	40.2	5.79%	0	1.5	75	0
12	Mar_11_2013	243465.66	256825.27	276918.25	287550			303125(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	6	102	0	100%	0.86	35.7	5.79%	0	1.8	76	0
13	Mar_8_2013	241379.26	253383.49	272717.43	282700			301750(4.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	-10000	10	113	0	100%	0.9	31.4	5.87%	0	2.1	80	0
14	Mar_7_2013	239237	250323.69	266104.8	274850.25			288500(8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	-10000	5	104	0	100%	1.01	22.7	5.89%	0	1.9	76	0
15	Mar_6_2013	236855.39	249493.78	260189.97	270725.25			267125(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	3	91	0	100%	0.98	23.5	5.87%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Mar_5_2013	234549.57	249549.66	257113.6	268000.25			277250(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	5	88	0	100%	1.04	27	5.86%	0	1.4	64	0
17	Mar_4_2013	232130.73	248098.34	252741.35	264425.25			278875(6.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	4	76	0	100%	0.89	24.1	6.05%	0	1.7	61	0
18	Mar_1_2013	230081.56	246335.24	246379.54	261275.25			262501.25(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	7	64	0	0%	0.71	9.6	5.97%	0	0.9	59	0
19	Feb_28_2013	228457.91	245843.11	241937.64	255900			267875(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	10	42	0	100%	1	-8.8	6.15%	0	1.3	57	0
20	Feb_27_2013	226197.31	245041.66	239125.83	248025.01			253500.02(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	0.95	-37.7	232.63%	0	0.5	42	0

21	Feb_26_2013	224072.34	244358.57	237093.96	244300.01			259375(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	0	-0	0	100%	1.12	-63	232.64%	0	0.9	46	0
22	Feb_25_2013	221580.35	243703.95	235026.65	239200			263125(11.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.5	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%	1.18	-90.8	232.95%	0	1.2	54	0
23	Feb_22_2013	218985.97	244702.36	232140.39	229550			235625(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	0	-2	0	100%	1.02	-93.3	232.96%	0	-0.5	48	0
24	Feb_21_2013	216770.58	247322.94	232968.41	225900			228500.02(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-10000	-0	-2	0	100%	0.98	-85.9	234.84%	0	-0.9	43	0
25	Feb_20_2013	214673.54	251317.48	237680.77	228850			234875.02(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-0	-10000	0	-1	0	100%		-65.9	234.84%	0	-0.7	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.