Trading Signals: UDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 29, 2020

Trading Signals: UDOW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Dec. 21, 2023)

(ProShares UltraPro DJIA Bull 3x ETF)
UDOW latest price $56.8700 (6.4%) ($55.7000 - $57.7820) on Wed. Apr. 29, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.59% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $56.8700(6.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UDOW advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UDOW advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UDOW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(84%)    XLI(81%)    VT(80%)    DIA(78%)    XLF(78%)
Factors Impacting UDOW price   UDOW will decline at least -5.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-62%)    UUP(-30%)    VXX(-28%)    TLT(-11%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.795% (StdDev 11.59%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.93(7.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.69(10.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.83(16.47%)
To recent high   -58.5%
To recent low   110.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.13%

$. UDOW is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.13% a day on average for holding it.$. UDOW price fluctuates within 11.47% (three month std-dev: 11.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 3.29%(28%) Average negative next day return: -3.17%(72%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 4.54%(28%) Average negative next three day return: -5.76%(72%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 7.73%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.05%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2020	93.62	48.83	51.69	52.93	53.7	55.65	56.87(6.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	300	17	19	6.39	41%	-0.66	51.8	11.59%	1.6	1.4	61	1.7
2	Apr_28_2020	94.24	48.06	50.95	51.42	52.08	53.76	53.45(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	260	17	16	7.79	42%	-0.71	50.7	11.55%	0.8	1	64	1.2
3	Apr_27_2020	94.91	47.59	50.85	50.07	50.75	51.74	53.51(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	180	11	13	4.79	41%	-0.7	60.7	11.56%	1.8	1.1	65	1.4
4	Apr_24_2020	95.58	46.93	50.43	49.5	49.33	50.4	51.26(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	140	-0	18	6.13	41%	-0.68	68.6	11.55%	1.5	0.8	73	0.9
5	Apr_23_2020	96.23	46.63	50.44	50.16	49.62	49.76	49.58(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10	4	38	6	41%	-0.69	86.5	11.54%	0.8	0.6	68	0.4

6	Apr_22_2020	96.9	46.09	50.47	50.27	50.55	48.27	49.31(5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-300	-6	50	4.62	41%	-0.67	89.8	11.54%	0.1	0.6	71	0.3
7	Apr_21_2020	97.55	45.45	50.11	50.4	50.65	49.47	46.67(-7.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-150	-20	51	8.73	41%	-0.73	81.3	11.51%	-1.4	0.2	59	-0.2
8	Apr_20_2020	98.27	44.55	50.03	51.66	51.26	52.82	50.69(-7.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	190	5	73	8.86	41%	-0.72	66.5	11.47%	-0.4	0.9	59	0.6
9	Apr_17_2020	98.98	43.54	48.75	51.41	51.45	51.83	54.57(8.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	14	74	8.69	41%	-0.47	41.9	11.54%	1.7	1.5	66	1.2
10	Apr_16_2020	99.45	42.5	47.17	50.81	50.41	49.7	50.12(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-120	-7	57	7.98	41%	-0.73	33	11.47%	-0.2	1	56	1.1

11	Apr_15_2020	100.18	41.67	45.84	50.72	50.92	51.07	49.96(-5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	30	4	61	9.12	41%	-0.72	12.2	11.48%	-0.2	1.1	63	1.1
12	Apr_14_2020	100.91	41.18	45	49.74	50.49	51.13	52.96(7.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	130	10	65	7.92	41%	-0.69	-14.9	11.47%	0.8	1.7	68	1.5
13	Apr_13_2020	101.61	40.34	44.04	48.14	49.31	50.76	49.45(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	280	18	82	8.98	41%	-0.81	-42.7	11.42%	-0.3	1.4	75	1.2
14	Apr_9_2020	102.44	40.61	43.1	45.59	47.64	49.85	51.56(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	460	29	83	12.84	42%	-0.64	-63.3	11.33%	0.9	1.5	72	0.9
15	Apr_8_2020	103.1	40.23	42.37	42.98	44.02	47.85	49.66(10.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	680	30	80	9.57	42%	-0.67	-77.9	11.32%	1.1	1.1	64	0.9

16	Apr_7_2020	103.8	40.8	41.19	40.27	41.3	45.43	45.05(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	780	34	69	13.89	42%	-0.74	-72.6	11.24%	0.7	0.4	63	0.8
17	Apr_6_2020	104.57	42.24	40.28	39.62	38.57	40.18	44.96(22.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	210	14	50	10.52	42%	-0.71	-70.1	11.24%	1.8	0.2	55	0.8
18	Apr_3_2020	105.32	43.28	38.56	39.48	38.55	37.16	36.72(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-320	-6	31	8.58	38%	-0.77	-62.1	10.84%	-0.5	-0.4	53	0.1
19	Apr_2_2020	106.14	45.71	37.96	40.22	39.81	36.97	38.52(6.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-530	-23	-8	9.45	39%	-0.75	-54	10.83%	-0.4	-0.4	43	-0.1
20	Apr_1_2020	106.94	48.19	37.55	41.62	40.9	39.94	36.11(-13.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-220	-19	-10	8.89	39%	-0.75	-45.8	10.81%	-1.7	-0.6	50	-0.4

21	Mar_31_2020	107.75	51.32	37.34	42.08	42.39	42.66	41.78(-5.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	70	12	-33	12.25	40%	-0.69	-44.1	10.78%	-0.5	-0.4	45	-0.1
22	Mar_30_2020	108.5	53.62	37.18	40.9	41.3	41.87	44.25(9.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	130	22	-78	8.1	40%	-0.66	-44.4	10.77%	0.9	-0.4	42	-0.3
23	Mar_27_2020	109.22	56.21	36.39	37.46	39.17	42.13	40.43(-11.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	670	28	-126	11.83	40%	-0.69	-48	10.68%	0.2	-0.6	44	-0.6
24	Mar_26_2020	109.98	58.62	37.86	35.29	35.75	40.72	45.54(18.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	1010	41	-152	14.95	41%	-0.61	-53.6	10.61%	1.2	-0.5	41	-0.3
25	Mar_25_2020	110.66	60.77	37.72	33.01	33.24	36.22	38.42(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	650	36	-200	16.65	38%		-57.5	10.31%	1.4	-0.8	37	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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