Trading Signals: UAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: UAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United Continental Holdings Inc)
UAL latest price $71.7000 (5.49%) ($68.8000 - $72.2300) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.52% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $71.7000(5.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UAL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UAL advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(71%)    XAR(60%)    XLF(60%)    XLI(59%)    IWM(57%)
Factors Impacting UAL price   UAL will decline at least -1.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.26% (StdDev 2.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.39(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.28(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.85(4.14%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   32.5%
Market Cap   $20.863b

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. engages in the operation of its wholly-owned subsidiary United Airlines, Inc, which offers satellite based Wi-Fi, including on long-haul overseas routes. It operates through the following geographical segments: Domestic (U.S. and Canada); Pacific; Atlantic; and Latin America. It also transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional operations. The company was founded on December 30, 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. UAL price fluctuates within 4.56% (three month std-dev: 2.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2015	57.69	68.85	71.28	70.39			71.7(5.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	2	64	6.39	74%	0.4	35.5	2.52%	0	0.9	68	0
2	Feb_3_2015	57.46	68.5	71.05	70.2			67.97(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-9	69	8.8	73%	0.33	32.8	2.44%	0	-0.2	56	0
3	Feb_2_2015	57.27	68.42	71.13	70.97			69.38(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-10	93	9.99	73%	0.33	41	2.44%	0	0.3	60	0
4	Jan_30_2015	57.08	68.27	70.84	71.82			69.37(-5.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	23	-10000	-8	116	8.06	73%	0.33	50.7	2.45%	0	0.3	61	0
5	Jan_29_2015	56.89	68.15	70.37	72.56			73.53(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	3	137	6.12	79%	0.39	63.2	2.33%	0	1.6	66	0

6	Jan_28_2015	56.67	67.75	69.44	72.33			70.77(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	37	-10000	4	134	4.49	78%	0.37	69.9	2.29%	0	1	65	0
7	Jan_27_2015	56.46	67.47	69.01	72.01			71.8(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	9	140	4.39	80%	0.37	71.1	2.28%	0	1.4	70	0
8	Jan_26_2015	56.25	67.13	68.42	71.26			73.62(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	-10000	20	129	5.6	83%	0.43	69.5	2.29%	0	2.3	68	0
9	Jan_23_2015	56.01	66.67	67.55	69.69			73.1(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	42	-10000	24	94	3.81	83%	0.41	67.6	2.29%	0	2.7	66	0
10	Jan_22_2015	55.78	66.12	66.85	67.83			72.34(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	30	-10000	22	52	9.68	83%	0.43	59.6	2.29%	0	3.2	63	0

11	Jan_21_2015	55.54	65.68	66.11	66.17			69.21(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	8	-10000	8	9	7.08	83%	0.36	53.3	2.24%	0	2.8	59	0
12	Jan_20_2015	55.34	65.41	65.62	65.61			68.03(3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	-10000	6	-7	9.47	85%	0.38	43.2	2.3%	0	2.1	59	0
13	Jan_16_2015	55.13	65.21	65.4	65.19			65.75(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	1	-15	8.14	84%	0.33	31.4	2.35%	0	0.5	53	0
14	Jan_15_2015	54.95	65.08	65.45	65.11			63.83(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-7	-16	6.26	84%	0.29	25.9	2.35%	0	-1.1	47	0
15	Jan_14_2015	54.79	64.99	65.76	65.67			64.05(-3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	0	-10000	-4	13	6.75	85%	0.31	34.4	2.36%	0	-0.8	60	0

16	Jan_13_2015	54.62	65	65.98	65.97			66.41(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	5	30	6.27	81%	0.33	34.5	2.41%	0	1	60	0
17	Jan_12_2015	54.44	64.88	65.86	65.6			65.92(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	22	5.25	81%	0.33	31.9	2.61%	0	0.7	58	0
18	Jan_9_2015	54.26	64.86	65.8	65.65			65.34(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-2	26	3.49	78%	0.33	46.7	2.65%	0	0.3	56	0
19	Jan_8_2015	54.08	64.78	65.78	65.85			66.64(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	9	-10000	-1	38	6.89	75%	0.33	65.3	2.64%	0	1.3	67	0
20	Jan_7_2015	53.9	64.58	65.38	65.9			65.53(1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-1	42	5.14	72%	0.34	80.4	2.7%	0	0.7	68	0

21	Jan_6_2015	53.72	64.51	65.24	66			64.58(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-1	45	6.05	70%	0.34	95	2.73%	0	0	53	0
22	Jan_5_2015	53.54	64.44	65.21	66.13			66.15(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	2	49	5.03	70%	0.37	105	2.74%	0	1.2	58	0
23	Jan_2_2015	53.34	64.22	65.02	65.96			66.34(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	42	6.22	71%	0.58	122.3	2.79%	0	1.5	51	0
24	Dec_31_2014	53.03	63.88	64.68	65.67			66.89(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	10	38	4.45	69%	0.45	103	2.78%	0	1.8	60	0
25	Dec_30_2014	52.79	63.51	64.15	64.79			66.05(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	5	17	2.64	69%		93	2.81%	0	1.4	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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