Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 13, 2023

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $22.7300 (-10.58%) ($22.7150 - $25.9790) on Wed. Dec. 13, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.22% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $22.7300(-10.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VXX(30%)    UUP(26%)    VIXM(26%)    TBT(9%)    BNDX(0%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -2.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
ARKG(-92%)    IWO(-99%)    IFRA(-95%)    IWD(-93%)    ARKK(-93%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.11% (StdDev 4.22%)
Hourly BBV -3.6 ()
Intraday Trend -10.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.8(-48.09%)
Resistance Level   $27.47
5 Day Moving Average   $25(-9.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.78(-11.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.47(-17.26%)
To recent high   -42.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 7.39% (three month std-dev: 4.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -11.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 4.28%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -15.14%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.08%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.03%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2023	29.54	27.47	25.78	25	25.24	24.87	22.73(-10.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-49	-70	-26	-117	19.9	51%	0	-99.6	4.22%	-3.6	-2.3	20	1.4
2	Dec_12_2023	29.54	27.81	26.41	25.78	25.78	25.51	25.42(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-70	-6	-96	8.99	55%	0.07	-116.6	4.03%	-1.6	-1.4	24	1.6
3	Dec_11_2023	29.52	28.26	26.8	25.98	25.91	25.62	25.36(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-90	-7	-88	7.57	55%	0.07	-86.7	4.03%	-1.1	-1.3	33	1.4
4	Dec_8_2023	29.5	28.72	27.17	26	26.07	26.05	25.48(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	0	-5	-88	12.98	55%	0.07	-72.1	4.03%	-1.3	-1.3	32	1.2
5	Dec_7_2023	29.48	29.23	27.51	26.14	26.13	26.19	26.01(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	10	-12	-95	10.3	56%	0.1	-61	4.02%	0.2	-1.1	30	1

6	Dec_6_2023	29.45	29.65	27.85	26.69	26.47	26.09	26.63(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-130	-13	-79	15.53	56%	0.14	-59.5	4.03%	1.6	-1	41	1.2
7	Dec_5_2023	29.41	29.98	28.18	27.17	27.13	26.07	26.44(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-280	-25	-69	12.78	58%	0.1	-62.6	4.03%	0.1	-1.2	40	1.3
8	Dec_4_2023	29.38	30.32	28.43	27.78	27.76	26.85	25.42(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-47	-230	-35	-83	12.46	58%	0.03	-68.1	4.07%	-1.3	-1.7	22	1.4
9	Dec_1_2023	29.37	30.66	28.84	28.52	28.6	28.19	26.21(-8.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-34	-90	-18	-81	20.62	57%	0.07	-80	4.09%	-2	-1.7	23	1.3
10	Nov_30_2023	29.35	31.09	29.28	29.04	29	28.67	28.75(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-29	-80	-8	-90	11.74	60%	0.17	-84.9	3.92%	-0.2	-0.9	24	1.4

11	Nov_29_2023	29.3	31.51	29.31	29.17	29.11	29.02	29.02(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-30	-8	-111	11.93	59%	0.14	-77.5	3.93%	-0.3	-0.9	33	1.3
12	Nov_28_2023	29.26	31.95	29.33	29.34	29.27	29.34	29.5(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-27	10	4	-120	9.08	59%	0.1	-69	3.96%	0.9	-0.8	40	1.5
13	Nov_27_2023	29.23	32.41	29.82	29.2	29.32	29.34	29.11(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10	-0	-118	8.25	59%	0.07	-62.9	3.97%	-0.8	-1	40	1.3
14	Nov_24_2023	29.21	32.93	30.36	29.23	29.26	29.21	28.84(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10	-9	-109	4.92	60%	0.1	-55.8	3.97%	0	-1.1	44	1.4
15	Nov_22_2023	29.18	33.4	31.05	29.54	29.35	29.43	29.4(-1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-0	2	-91	10.06	60%	0	-49.6	3.98%	0.2	-1.1	38	1.2

16	Nov_21_2023	29.18	33.87	31.54	29.46	29.51	29.3	29.87(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-40	4	-105	9.48	60%	0.14	-46.4	3.97%	1.4	-1.1	33	1.3
17	Nov_20_2023	29.14	34.23	31.89	29.33	29.32	29.26	28.79(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-20	-29	-141	8.76	60%	0.1	-42.9	3.95%	-1.1	-1.5	29	1.4
18	Nov_17_2023	29.11	34.69	32.34	30.55	29.68	29.72	29.25(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-80	-25	-135	11.83	61%	0.07	-30.8	3.95%	-0.2	-1.6	28	1.5
19	Nov_16_2023	29.09	35.09	32.64	31.68	31.12	29.38	30.41(4.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-440	-31	-142	17.08	62%	0.1	-21	3.94%	0.9	-1.5	29	1.5
20	Nov_15_2023	29.06	35.37	33.07	32.82	32.47	29.64	29(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-89	-640	-69	-148	14	62%	0.03	-9.3	3.92%	-0.8	-2.2	29	1.6

21	Nov_14_2023	29.05	35.66	33.94	33.91	34.02	32.86	29.18(-16.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-67	-230	-50	-119	17.77	62%	0	4.6	3.94%	-1.6	-2.4	29	1.5
22	Nov_13_2023	29.05	35.84	34.85	34.73	34.89	35.3	34.92(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	100	12	-86	8.28	69%	0.21	15.8	3.34%	-0.8	-0.4	46	1.4
23	Nov_10_2023	28.99	35.84	35.23	34.35	34.44	35.18	34.91(-3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	160	28	-85	12.05	69%	0.24	12.5	3.34%	-0.2	-0.4	43	1.4
24	Nov_9_2023	28.92	35.76	35.68	33.73	33.73	34.49	36.1(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	160	24	-91	11.97	69%	0.31	8.3	3.31%	2.2	0.1	49	0.9
25	Nov_8_2023	28.83	35.65	35.89	33.43	33.02	33.7	34.45(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	110	-3	-100	9.41	68%		4.3	3.28%	1.6	-0.5	50	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.