Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 21, 2023

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $29.8700 (3.75%) ($29.1900 - $29.9400) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.97% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $29.8700(3.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(32%)    TBT(27%)    VXX(10%)    VIXM(-1%)    BNDX(-10%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
IWO(-99%)    IFRA(-94%)    TAN(-91%)    VFMO(-90%)    PAVE(-90%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.985% (StdDev 3.97%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.44(-61.7%)
Resistance Level   $33.87
5 Day Moving Average   $29.46(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.54(-5.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.87(-11.81%)
To recent high   -25%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 10.81% (three month std-dev: 3.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.2%(33%) Average negative next day return: -4.73%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.57%(78%) Average negative next three day return: -5.26%(22%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 7.16%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.97%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2023	29.18	33.87	31.54	29.46	29.51	29.3	29.87(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-40	4	-105	9.48	60%	0.14	-46.4	3.97%	1.4	-1.1	33	1.3
2	Nov_20_2023	29.14	34.23	31.89	29.33	29.32	29.26	28.79(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-57	-20	-29	-141	8.76	60%	0.1	-42.9	3.95%	-1.1	-1.5	29	1.4
3	Nov_17_2023	29.11	34.69	32.34	30.55	29.68	29.72	29.25(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-80	-25	-135	11.83	61%	0.07	-30.8	3.95%	-0.2	-1.6	28	1.5
4	Nov_16_2023	29.09	35.09	32.64	31.68	31.12	29.38	30.41(4.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	-440	-31	-142	17.08	62%	0.1	-21	3.94%	0.9	-1.5	29	1.5
5	Nov_15_2023	29.06	35.37	33.07	32.82	32.47	29.64	29(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-89	-640	-69	-148	14	62%	0.03	-9.3	3.92%	-0.8	-2.2	29	1.6

6	Nov_14_2023	29.05	35.66	33.94	33.91	34.02	32.86	29.18(-16.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-67	-230	-50	-119	17.77	62%	0	4.6	3.94%	-1.6	-2.4	29	1.5
7	Nov_13_2023	29.05	35.84	34.85	34.73	34.89	35.3	34.92(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	100	12	-86	8.28	69%	0.21	15.8	3.34%	-0.8	-0.4	46	1.4
8	Nov_10_2023	28.99	35.84	35.23	34.35	34.44	35.18	34.91(-3.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	160	28	-85	12.05	69%	0.24	12.5	3.34%	-0.2	-0.4	43	1.4
9	Nov_9_2023	28.92	35.76	35.68	33.73	33.73	34.49	36.1(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	160	24	-91	11.97	69%	0.31	8.3	3.31%	2.2	0.1	49	0.9
10	Nov_8_2023	28.83	35.65	35.89	33.43	33.02	33.7	34.45(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	110	-3	-100	9.41	68%	0.24	4.3	3.28%	1.6	-0.5	50	1.6

11	Nov_7_2023	28.76	35.53	36.3	34.06	33.38	32.98	33.29(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-140	-18	-70	9.05	67%	0.17	6.6	3.26%	0.7	-0.8	53	1.7
12	Nov_6_2023	28.71	35.53	36.7	35.03	34.55	32.35	32.98(3.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-490	-57	-38	9.23	67%	0.21	12.2	3.26%	-0.1	-0.9	58	1.9
13	Nov_3_2023	28.65	35.47	37.22	36.27	36.08	33.79	31.83(-8.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-64	-460	-88	7	12.69	66%	0.17	25.2	3.24%	-1.3	-1.3	52	1.9
14	Nov_2_2023	28.6	35.56	37.78	37.87	37.78	36.76	34.6(-8.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-14	-200	-48	87	11.56	72%	0.21	47.6	3.06%	-1.8	-0.4	53	1.9
15	Nov_1_2023	28.54	35.54	37.93	38.64	38.7	38.37	37.62(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-60	-12	147	9.8	77%	0.42	62.9	2.89%	-1.7	0.8	64	1.6

16	Oct_31_2023	28.42	35.35	37.59	38.85	38.75	38.8	38.12(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	46	0	1	179	8.49	77%	0.42	72.3	2.88%	-1.7	1	70	1.3
17	Oct_30_2023	28.3	35.13	37	38.61	38.65	39.03	39.18(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	70	16	185	8.99	77%	0.43	74.4	2.89%	-0.2	1.5	74	-0.1
18	Oct_27_2023	28.18	34.78	36.39	38.33	38.12	38.7	39.84(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	90	23	186	12.01	75%	0.46	76.5	2.93%	1.9	2	70	-1.7
19	Oct_26_2023	28.05	34.33	35.84	37.72	37.7	38.28	38.43(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	67	110	29	181	13.69	74%	0.47	73.9	2.94%	0.3	1.7	65	-1.1
20	Oct_25_2023	27.92	33.92	35.34	37.12	37.14	37.55	38.7(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	80	35	166	11.1	74%	0.4	69.8	2.95%	1.4	2.1	62	-0.8

21	Oct_24_2023	27.81	33.53	34.62	36.14	36.24	37.12	36.91(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	180	36	123	8.04	73%	0.25	69	2.91%	0.3	1.7	58	0.4
22	Oct_23_2023	27.74	33.28	34.07	35.11	35.33	36.74	37.78(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	63	300	56	82	12	73%	0.29	65.5	2.89%	1.4	2.4	61	-0.7
23	Oct_20_2023	27.66	32.92	33.5	34.14	34.11	35.37	36.8(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	260	41	43	11.47	73%	0.18	66.7	2.88%	1.6	2.4	64	-1.3
24	Oct_19_2023	27.61	32.63	33.08	33.7	33.42	33.92	35.42(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	80	28	35	15.88	72%	0.04	80.1	2.87%	1.8	2	66	-1.4
25	Oct_18_2023	27.6	32.41	32.89	33.34	33.27	32.84	33.78(6.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-100	10	36	9.88	68%		89.3	2.83%	1.5	1	64	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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