Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 13, 2022

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $40.2800 (-7.25%) ($39.6500 - $47.1600) on Thu. Oct. 13, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.04% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $40.2800(-7.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(54%)    UUP(37%)    VXX(16%)    TBT(15%)    EDOC(-15%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -2.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
XRT(-87%)    VT(-87%)    XLI(-86%)    VYM(-86%)    XLF(-84%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.52% (StdDev 5.04%)
Hourly BBV -1.8 ()
Intraday Trend -12.6%

Resistance Level   $41.75
5 Day Moving Average   $42.42(-5.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.48(-2.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.75(-3.52%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   48.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 8.29% (three month std-dev: 5.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2022	38.52	41.75	41.48	42.42	43.18	43.37	40.28(-7.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-4	80	6	-32	17.81	44%	-0.05	59.2	5.04%	-1.8	-0.4	43	0.2
2	Oct_12_2022	38.54	41.56	41.94	42.12	42.68	43.39	43.43(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	160	22	-24	11.44	46%	-0.05	54.3	4.96%	-0.3	0.5	54	0.8
3	Oct_11_2022	38.56	41.16	41.79	41.06	41.46	42.99	43.06(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	290	29	-32	14.75	49%	0	43.2	4.96%	1.4	0.5	59	0.6
4	Oct_10_2022	38.56	40.79	42.09	39.92	40.34	41.96	43.08(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	310	28	-28	12.16	49%	-0.03	28.4	5.01%	0.9	0.5	61	0.6
5	Oct_7_2022	38.57	40.25	42.44	39.78	39.35	39.92	42.26(9.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	70	1	-15	11.29	46%	-0.08	20.6	5.01%	1.7	0.4	63	0.6

6	Oct_6_2022	38.6	39.8	42.72	40.53	39.9	38.72	38.75(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-250	-22	8	10.89	43%	-0.16	21.8	4.96%	0.5	-0.2	56	1.1
7	Oct_5_2022	38.66	39.63	43.12	41.8	41.5	38.77	38.15(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-480	-40	39	11.4	43%	-0.05	29.5	4.97%	-0.9	-0.3	59	1.7
8	Oct_4_2022	38.68	39.54	43.36	42.6	43	41.08	37.38(-11.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-27	-280	-56	61	11.86	43%	-0.18	36.2	4.97%	-1.3	-0.5	59	1.9
9	Oct_3_2022	38.75	39.6	43.53	44.46	44.31	44.23	42.35(-7.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-20	-20	124	11.82	47%	-0.05	53.4	4.79%	-1.7	0.6	67	0.6
10	Sep_30_2022	38.77	39.33	43.01	45.42	44.95	44.93	46.02(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	-30	5	178	11.14	50%	-0.05	66.1	4.7%	0.7	1.4	80	-0.2

11	Sep_29_2022	38.79	38.82	42.15	45.28	45.21	44.39	45.08(6.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	49	-130	-1	197	12.16	50%	-0.13	77.8	4.7%	0.4	1.4	75	0.8
12	Sep_28_2022	38.84	38.3	41.23	44.71	45.25	44.97	42.19(-9.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	49	-10	-1	199	13.23	47%	-0.13	83.6	4.64%	-2	0.9	65	0.9
13	Sep_27_2022	38.89	37.91	40.55	44.16	44.52	46.02	46.65(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	260	37	212	11.53	51%	0	85	4.53%	0.9	2	71	-0
14	Sep_26_2022	38.89	37.21	39.38	42.4	42.51	45.53	47.17(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	510	65	180	11.98	51%	0.15	82.3	4.54%	1	2.6	64	0.7
15	Sep_23_2022	38.83	36.43	37.81	40.22	40.44	43.03	45.31(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	81	460	68	118	11.9	47%	0.15	82.1	4.66%	1.1	2.8	64	0.7

16	Sep_22_2022	38.77	35.61	36.51	38.62	38.52	39.49	42.21(6.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	170	39	64	13.28	44%	0.18	78.4	4.59%	1.3	2.3	62	0.7
17	Sep_21_2022	38.7	35.02	35.72	37.31	37.63	37.86	39.48(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	70	19	30	11.46	40%	0.03	76.2	4.5%	0.9	1.7	60	0.8
18	Sep_20_2022	38.69	34.6	35.3	36.39	36.97	37.56	37.83(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	160	12	12	8.94	40%	-0.03	77.5	4.51%	0.4	1.3	59	1.9
19	Sep_19_2022	38.7	34.29	35.27	35.88	36.34	37.4	36.29(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	240	28	25	8.62	40%	-0.1	82.9	4.51%	-0.3	0.8	60	1.5
20	Sep_16_2022	38.74	33.97	35.33	34.95	35.66	36.38	37.3(4.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	200	33	25	12.41	47%	-0.03	72.6	4.5%	1.2	1.3	65	0.3

21	Sep_15_2022	38.75	33.51	35.19	34.05	34.28	35.28	35.67(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	220	9	19	11.45	45%	-0.1	56.3	4.81%	1.8	0.8	70	0.9
22	Sep_14_2022	38.79	33.16	35.13	33.89	33.79	34.94	34.86(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	230	14	33	10.15	45%	-0.1	50.7	4.82%	1	0.6	63	0.9
23	Sep_13_2022	38.83	32.8	35.11	34.06	33.95	33.28	35.3(11.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-150	-4	41	10.57	51%	0	41.3	4.82%	1.9	0.8	61	1.2
24	Sep_12_2022	38.83	32.4	34.9	34.65	34.56	32.65	31.62(-3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-20	-390	-41	44	6.95	46%	-0.13	39.4	4.93%	-1.2	-0.2	53	0.9
25	Sep_9_2022	38.88	32.21	35.03	35.75	35.97	34.63	32.78(-5.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-240	-30	81	6.58	52%		41.2	5.02%	-1.4	0.2	62	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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