Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 27, 2022

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $46.6500 (-1.1%) ($44.1300 - $47.8700) on Tue. Sep. 27, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.53% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $46.6500(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 14.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(55%)    UUP(39%)    TBT(18%)    VXX(17%)    EDOC(6%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -2.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-88%)    XRT(-87%)    XLI(-87%)    VYM(-87%)    XHB(-85%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.265% (StdDev 4.53%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.16(5.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.55(15.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.91(23.05%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   72.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 11.26% (three month std-dev: 4.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.95%(55%) Average negative next day return: -3.74%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 6.94%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -1.74%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 9.54%(82%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.57%(18%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2022	38.89	37.91	40.55	44.16	44.52	46.02	46.65(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	260	37	212	11.53	51%	0	85	4.53%	0.9	2	71	-0
2	Sep_26_2022	38.89	37.21	39.38	42.4	42.51	45.53	47.17(4.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	510	65	180	11.98	51%	0.15	82.3	4.54%	1	2.6	64	0.7
3	Sep_23_2022	38.83	36.43	37.81	40.22	40.44	43.03	45.31(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	81	460	68	118	11.9	47%	0.15	82.1	4.66%	1.1	2.8	64	0.7
4	Sep_22_2022	38.77	35.61	36.51	38.62	38.52	39.49	42.21(6.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	45	170	39	64	13.28	44%	0.18	78.4	4.59%	1.3	2.3	62	0.7
5	Sep_21_2022	38.7	35.02	35.72	37.31	37.63	37.86	39.48(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	70	19	30	11.46	40%	0.03	76.2	4.5%	0.9	1.7	60	0.8

6	Sep_20_2022	38.69	34.6	35.3	36.39	36.97	37.56	37.83(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	160	12	12	8.94	40%	-0.03	77.5	4.51%	0.4	1.3	59	1.9
7	Sep_19_2022	38.7	34.29	35.27	35.88	36.34	37.4	36.29(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	240	28	25	8.62	40%	-0.1	82.9	4.51%	-0.3	0.8	60	1.5
8	Sep_16_2022	38.74	33.97	35.33	34.95	35.66	36.38	37.3(4.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	200	33	25	12.41	47%	-0.03	72.6	4.5%	1.2	1.3	65	0.3
9	Sep_15_2022	38.75	33.51	35.19	34.05	34.28	35.28	35.67(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	220	9	19	11.45	45%	-0.1	56.3	4.81%	1.8	0.8	70	0.9
10	Sep_14_2022	38.79	33.16	35.13	33.89	33.79	34.94	34.86(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	230	14	33	10.15	45%	-0.1	50.7	4.82%	1	0.6	63	0.9

11	Sep_13_2022	38.83	32.8	35.11	34.06	33.95	33.28	35.3(11.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-150	-4	41	10.57	51%	0	41.3	4.82%	1.9	0.8	61	1.2
12	Sep_12_2022	38.83	32.4	34.9	34.65	34.56	32.65	31.62(-3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-20	-390	-41	44	6.95	46%	-0.13	39.4	4.93%	-1.2	-0.2	53	0.9
13	Sep_9_2022	38.88	32.21	35.03	35.75	35.97	34.63	32.78(-5.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-240	-30	81	6.58	52%	-0.03	41.2	5.02%	-1.4	0.2	62	1
14	Sep_8_2022	38.89	32.04	34.76	36.45	36.67	36.48	34.87(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-20	-10	113	9.13	54%	0.08	42.2	5.03%	-1.5	0.8	73	1.3
15	Sep_7_2022	38.86	31.76	34.38	36.5	36.83	37.32	35.75(-6.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	120	11	135	7.94	54%	0.1	39.3	5.05%	-1.3	1.2	72	1.3

16	Sep_6_2022	38.82	31.56	33.95	36.25	36.22	36.86	38.21(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	120	22	156	9.8	57%	0.1	36.4	5.02%	1.3	2	82	1.4
17	Sep_2_2022	38.78	31.15	33.25	35.22	35.26	36.35	37.13(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	57	220	24	157	11.39	54%	0.1	27	4.98%	0.9	2.1	81	1.6
18	Sep_1_2022	38.74	30.85	32.49	34.24	34.46	35.58	36.28(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	68	250	40	153	13.98	54%	0.1	16.1	5.05%	1.1	2.1	79	1.5
19	Aug_31_2022	38.7	30.63	31.66	32.83	33.02	34.18	35.12(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	260	27	115	9.25	54%	0.03	-2.8	5.04%	1	2	67	1.9
20	Aug_30_2022	38.69	30.46	30.98	31.94	31.81	33.35	34.49(4.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	330	27	93	10.21	54%	0	-21.2	5.06%	1.3	1.8	65	2.1

21	Aug_29_2022	38.69	30.46	30.23	31.31	31.14	31.87	33.07(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	150	22	60	10.96	54%	-0.03	-39.2	5.07%	1.1	1.2	51	2.2
22	Aug_26_2022	38.7	30.39	29.63	31.01	30.7	30.28	32.22(10.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-130	4	32	12.24	48%	-0.03	-50.3	5.15%	2.1	0.8	53	2
23	Aug_25_2022	38.71	30.44	29.13	30.51	30.83	30.41	29.26(-4.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-60	-3	2	7.82	43%	-0.1	-62.1	5.04%	-1.5	-0.5	42	1.2
24	Aug_24_2022	38.75	30.69	29.11	30.24	30.71	31.13	30.65(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	140	9	-12	8.14	43%	-0.03	-63.3	5.06%	-1.5	-0	43	1.8
25	Aug_23_2022	38.76	30.93	28.96	29.81	30	31.25	31.36(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	310	25	-26	9.53	43%		-59.4	5.09%	0.5	0.1	45	2.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.