Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 14, 2022

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $29.9300 (-0.47%) ($29.9000 - $31.5100) on Fri. Jan. 14, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.04% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $29.9300(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(67%)    UUP(39%)    VXX(19%)    TBT(11%)    EDOC(-9%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -2.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-90%)    XRT(-87%)    XLI(-87%)    XHB(-86%)    VYM(-85%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.02% (StdDev 4.04%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.51(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.67(4.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.3(5.76%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   35.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 5.34% (three month std-dev: 4.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.35%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -10.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.77%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2022	27.94	28.3	28.67	29.51	29.53	30	29.93(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	110	14	79	26.02	54%	-0.07	-1.7	4.04%	0.7	1.1	70	0.3
2	Jan_13_2022	27.96	28.33	28.38	29.37	29.4	29.12	30.07(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-60	8	74	22.88	54%	0	3.2	4.08%	1.7	1.1	65	0.3
3	Jan_12_2022	27.96	28.27	28.05	29.01	29.2	29.06	29.3(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10	-5	54	18.96	54%	-0.04	4.2	4.07%	-0.5	0.7	57	1
4	Jan_11_2022	27.97	28.32	27.81	28.9	29.12	29.68	28.64(-3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	160	16	52	23.54	54%	-0.11	11.9	4.07%	-1.1	0.2	49	0.8
5	Jan_10_2022	28	28.38	27.63	28.4	28.64	29.34	29.59(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	200	30	20	24.72	54%	-0.14	5	4.06%	1	0.7	40	1

6	Jan_7_2022	28.04	28.32	27.31	27.68	27.62	28.56	29.25(3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	230	20	-23	20.25	53%	-0.21	-13.7	4.06%	1.3	0.6	45	0.7
7	Jan_6_2022	28.1	28.28	27.08	27.24	27.03	27.94	28.27(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	210	23	-53	22.84	53%	-0.21	-23.7	4.08%	1	-0	38	0.7
8	Jan_5_2022	28.16	28.2	27.02	26.97	26.63	26.68	28.76(10.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-20	15	-71	18.96	53%	-0.18	-41.6	4.08%	3.2	0.3	49	0.9
9	Jan_4_2022	28.21	28.13	26.98	26.59	26.46	26.13	26.11(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-100	-11	-107	13.71	49%	-0.21	-54.5	3.88%	-0.9	-1.2	33	1.4
10	Jan_3_2022	28.27	28.29	27.48	26.76	26.72	26.58	26.02(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-40	-5	-93	16.49	49%	-0.18	-51.5	3.9%	-1	-1.4	37	1.4

11	Dec_31_2021	28.32	28.55	27.89	26.85	26.8	26.79	27.04(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10	-1	-83	12.13	47%	-0.11	-42.3	3.9%	0.3	-0.9	46	1.3
12	Dec_30_2021	28.35	28.67	28.27	26.88	26.82	26.85	26.91(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	0	-5	-71	14.15	47%	-0.14	-33.3	3.95%	-0.3	-1.1	46	1.4
13	Dec_29_2021	28.39	28.91	28.51	27.08	27	26.82	26.87(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-60	-9	-57	10.5	47%	-0.11	-11.6	3.97%	0.7	-1.2	54	1.4
14	Dec_28_2021	28.42	29.07	28.89	27.45	27.36	26.79	26.95(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-160	-27	-38	11.77	50%	-0.14	6.9	3.97%	-0.4	-1.3	52	1.4
15	Dec_27_2021	28.46	29.15	29.2	28.35	28.11	27.18	26.47(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-260	-31	-12	12.22	48%	-0.21	33.2	4.05%	-1.2	-1.7	44	1.3

16	Dec_23_2021	28.52	29.26	29.46	29.09	29.3	27.94	27.21(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-300	-32	-2	12.58	47%	-0.21	63.3	4.07%	-1.3	-1.4	41	1.4
17	Dec_22_2021	28.58	29.21	29.63	29.86	30.15	29.03	27.89(-2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-16	-230	-27	18	16.08	46%	-0.1	77.1	4.1%	-1.1	-0.8	48	1.3
18	Dec_21_2021	28.61	29.11	29.55	30.12	30.49	30.67	28.74(-8.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	80	-15	6	17.24	46%	-0.1	80.9	4.12%	-1.3	-0.2	43	0.9
19	Dec_20_2021	28.64	28.96	29.43	30.51	30.65	31.27	31.44(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	160	20	20	20.4	51%	0	85.7	3.97%	0.5	1.3	54	0.5
20	Dec_17_2021	28.64	28.64	29.19	30.2	30.33	30.32	30.19(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	10	11	12	29.64	49%	-0.03	83.3	4.03%	-0.5	0.7	56	0.8

21	Dec_16_2021	28.65	28.36	29.25	29.9	30.01	30.04	31.03(6.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	20	8	16	26.25	49%	0	77	4.02%	0.5	1.2	58	0.8
22	Dec_15_2021	28.65	28.01	29.05	29.39	29.64	30.34	29.19(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	190	18	23	30.1	47%	-0.14	68.7	3.94%	-1.4	0.5	62	1
23	Dec_14_2021	28.69	27.72	29.3	28.88	29.02	29.99	30.69(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	250	33	46	19.85	50%	-0.03	59	3.91%	1	1.2	66	0.8
24	Dec_13_2021	28.7	27.36	29.2	28.18	28.14	28.94	29.91(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	190	18	43	14.66	50%	-0.07	51.8	3.93%	0.8	1	65	0.8
25	Dec_10_2021	28.72	27.01	29.04	28.05	27.61	28.05	28.69(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	60	-3	48	15.62	48%		50.6	3.9%	1.3	0.6	64	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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