Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $94.1000 (8.1%) ($90.1000 - $94.4000) on Wed. May. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $94.1000(8.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(6%)    TLT(5%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    SDY(-13%)    PAVE(-13%)    LIT(-13%)    EWY(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.08(5.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.23(6.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.28(7.81%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2017	92.83	87.28	88.23	89.08			94.1(8.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	23	-10000	14	51	3.5	59%	-0.02	-44.3	2.61%	0	2.5	72	0
2	May_16_2017	92.85	87.16	87.53	87.5			87.05(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	37	1.51	53%	-0.06	-57.6	2.4%	0	-0	64	0
3	May_15_2017	92.91	87.48	87.47	87.64			87.2(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	45	1.74	53%	-0.11	-48.9	2.4%	0	-0.1	58	0
4	May_12_2017	93.01	87.8	87.28	87.73			89.2(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	5	45	1.41	53%	-0.1	-47.2	2.36%	0	0.4	55	0
5	May_11_2017	93.1	88.17	86.98	87.19			87.85(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	24	2.17	53%	-0.1	-38.7	2.37%	0	-0.1	43	0

6	May_10_2017	93.19	88.48	86.53	87.25			86.2(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-3	8	1.74	53%	-0.09	-38.3	2.38%	0	-0.6	41	0
7	May_9_2017	93.27	88.73	86.25	87.56			87.75(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	3	-11	1.26	50%	-0.11	-39.1	2.39%	0	-0.2	37	0
8	May_8_2017	93.37	89	85.93	87.27			87.65(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	5	-39	1.09	50%	-0.12	-39.9	2.44%	0	-0.3	34	0
9	May_5_2017	93.48	89.3	85.81	86.73			86.5(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	0	-70	1.31	50%	-0.13	-38.8	2.42%	0	-0.7	31	0
10	May_4_2017	93.6	89.67	86.13	86.7			88.15(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	10	-86	1.55	50%	-0.14	-35.8	2.43%	0	-0.4	28	0

11	May_3_2017	93.73	90.06	86.23	85.7			87.75(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	-10000	9	-114	1.7	47%	-0.1	-36.9	2.45%	0	-0.5	36	0
12	May_2_2017	93.82	90.34	86.67	84.76			86.3(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-29	-10000	3	-124	1.41	47%	-0.12	-43.2	2.51%	0	-0.9	43	0
13	May_1_2017	93.93	90.69	87.39	84.4			84.95(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-4	-132	1.64	47%	-0.1	-49.2	2.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Apr_28_2017	94.02	90.99	88.3	84.77			86.35(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10000	-7	-128	2.27	49%	-0.1	-56.1	2.52%	0	-1.1	37	0
15	Apr_27_2017	94.11	91.23	89.38	85.55			83.15(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-12	-113	1.98	47%	-0.17	-60.2	2.49%	0	-2	31	0

16	Apr_26_2017	94.27	91.75	90.56	86.86			83.05(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-10000	-18	-102	3.27	47%	-0.21	-65.4	2.5%	0	-2.4	27	0
17	Apr_25_2017	94.47	92.33	91.47	88.86			84.5(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-33	-10000	-17	-81	3.19	45%	-0.23	-68	2.49%	0	-2.6	37	0
18	Apr_24_2017	94.69	92.93	92.43	90.8			86.8(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-23	-10000	-13	-52	2.51	44%	-0.26	-53.7	2.5%	0	-2.4	41	0
19	Apr_21_2017	94.94	93.43	93.21	92.31			90.25(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-13	-22	2.09	46%	-0.23	-29.9	2.5%	0	-1.5	53	0
20	Apr_20_2017	95.16	93.75	93.6	93.82			89.7(-3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-4	-10000	-8	8	3.24	46%	-0.22	1.3	2.52%	0	-1.9	51	0

21	Apr_19_2017	95.37	94.19	94.3	94.82			93.05(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	12	-10000	3	37	2.59	48%	-0.16	29.1	2.49%	0	-0.5	52	0
22	Apr_18_2017	95.52	94.43	94.36	94.45			94.2(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	30	2.01	48%	-0.15	28.5	2.51%	0	-0.1	51	0
23	Apr_17_2017	95.66	94.29	94.25	94.3			94.35(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	1	22	1.93	51%	-0.1	19.6	2.51%	0	0	47	0
24	Apr_13_2017	95.76	94.08	93.88	94.23			97.8(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	7	9	2.65	54%	-0.07	8.8	2.52%	0	1.4	51	0
25	Apr_12_2017	95.83	93.72	93.14	93.45			94.7(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-3	-20	2.33	52%		-8.3	2.51%	0	0.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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