Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $94.2000 (-0.16%) ($93.9000 - $96.5800) on Tue. Apr. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $94.2000(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(6%)    TLT(5%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    SDY(-13%)    PAVE(-13%)    LIT(-13%)    EWY(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $94.43
5 Day Moving Average   $94.45(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.36(-0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.43(-0.24%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2017	95.52	94.43	94.36	94.45			94.2(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	30	2.01	48%	-0.15	28.5	2.51%	0	-0.1	51	0
2	Apr_17_2017	95.66	94.29	94.25	94.3			94.35(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	1	22	1.93	51%	-0.1	19.6	2.51%	0	0	47	0
3	Apr_13_2017	95.76	94.08	93.88	94.23			97.8(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	7	9	2.65	54%	-0.07	8.8	2.52%	0	1.4	51	0
4	Apr_12_2017	95.83	93.72	93.14	93.45			94.7(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-3	-20	2.33	52%	-0.14	-8.3	2.51%	0	0.4	44	0
5	Apr_11_2017	95.96	93.56	92.93	93.81			91.2(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-4	-29	3.14	49%	-0.2	-11.1	2.48%	0	-0.9	32	0

6	Apr_10_2017	96.15	93.78	93.21	94.25			93.45(-0.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	-10000	1	-32	2.16	46%	-0.2	-2.2	2.46%	0	-0.1	36	0
7	Apr_7_2017	96.34	93.81	93.42	94.15			94(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	7	-20	2.33	46%	-0.21	1.8	2.48%	0	0.1	58	0
8	Apr_6_2017	96.54	93.85	93.63	93.39			93.9(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	6	-16	2.97	46%	-0.23	2.5	2.5%	0	0	61	0
9	Apr_5_2017	96.76	93.94	93.88	92.74			96.5(3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	-10000	7	-11	3.11	51%	-0.2	7.2	2.48%	0	1	63	0
10	Apr_4_2017	96.95	93.84	93.99	91.99			93.4(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-10000	-1	-9	1.56	45%	-0.25	14.7	2.48%	0	-0.2	57	0

11	Apr_3_2017	97.19	93.83	94.44	92.07			92.95(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-3	2.44	45%	-0.3	18.6	2.57%	0	-0.3	45	0
12	Mar_31_2017	97.48	93.77	94.3	92.65			90.2(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-11	-5	1.91	43%	-0.43	30.3	2.54%	0	-1.3	44	0
13	Mar_30_2017	97.9	93.78	94.35	93.91			90.65(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-10000	-10	2	1.61	43%	-0.5	41.7	2.56%	0	-1.1	43	0
14	Mar_29_2017	98.39	93.75	94.43	95.13			92.75(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-9	7	1.47	43%	-0.61	47.9	2.55%	0	-0.3	44	0
15	Mar_28_2017	98.99	93.47	94.33	96.25			93.8(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-7	16	1.87	45%	-0.61	55.3	2.55%	0	0.1	49	0

16	Mar_27_2017	99.6	93.35	94.5	97.14			95.85(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	8	41	2.74	45%	-0.71	65.6	2.56%	0	0.7	57	0
17	Mar_24_2017	100.31	92.95	94.31	96.16			96.5(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	11	35	2.5	45%	-0.73	55.7	2.57%	0	1	62	0
18	Mar_23_2017	101.05	92.61	94.11	94.81			96.75(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	10	28	2.54	45%	-0.7	47	2.59%	0	1.2	65	0
19	Mar_22_2017	101.76	92.26	93.99	93.59			98.35(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	12	28	2.91	45%	-0.62	39.8	2.59%	0	1.8	69	0
20	Mar_21_2017	102.39	91.74	93.58	92.16			98.25(8.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	9	-10000	4	24	3.86	45%	-0.56	26.9	2.61%	0	2.1	73	0

21	Mar_20_2017	102.97	91.16	93.01	91.63			90.96(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-6	19	1.69	38%	-0.65	19.2	2.41%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Mar_17_2017	103.64	91.08	93.09	92.27			89.75(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-9	38	1.63	38%	-0.63	21.5	2.41%	0	-0.5	57	0
23	Mar_16_2017	104.3	91.06	93.15	93.28			90.65(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-9	53	1.66	38%	-0.58	24.2	2.43%	0	-0.1	53	0
24	Mar_15_2017	104.91	90.96	93.07	94.36			91.2(-4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	13	-10000	-6	71	2.5	38%	-0.52	19.9	2.43%	0	0.1	54	0
25	Mar_14_2017	105.46	90.9	92.67	95.1			95.6(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	86	1.92	45%		15.6	2.38%	0	1.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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