Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $96.0500 (1.21%) ($93.6800 - $97.0000) on Thu. Mar. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $96.0500(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(6%)    TLT(5%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    SDY(-13%)    LIT(-13%)    EWY(-13%)    XLV(-12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.98(3.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.05(5.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.37(6.29%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2017	106.97	90.37	91.05	92.98			96.05(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	12	69	2.07	47%	-0.46	-27.8	2.44%	0	2.3	62	0
2	Mar_8_2017	107.46	90.39	90.38	91.61			94.9(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	16	54	1.72	44%	-0.48	-39.3	2.44%	0	1.7	62	0
3	Mar_7_2017	107.98	90.44	89.67	89.88			93.05(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	3	18	1.77	44%	-0.52	-53.1	2.5%	0	0.9	55	0
4	Mar_6_2017	108.54	90.55	89.06	89.52			91.35(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	7	6	1.89	44%	-0.52	-57.8	2.51%	0	0.3	50	0
5	Mar_3_2017	109.11	90.66	88.8	88.75			89.55(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-1	-14	2.01	41%	-0.53	-65.6	2.59%	0	-0.3	46	0

6	Mar_2_2017	109.69	91.07	88.75	88.83			89.2(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-1	-24	2.2	41%	-0.49	-54	2.61%	0	-0.5	40	0
7	Mar_1_2017	110.23	91.47	88.65	88.96			86.25(-5.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-3	-46	3.01	38%	-0.51	-45.9	2.56%	0	-1.4	27	0
8	Feb_28_2017	110.8	92.03	89.04	89.35			91.25(4.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	8	-56	1.9	44%	-0.4	-42.4	2.46%	0	-0.2	34	0
9	Feb_27_2017	111.24	92.41	88.95	88.52			87.5(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-87	1.48	41%	-0.47	-46.7	2.44%	0	-1.2	28	0
10	Feb_24_2017	111.77	92.83	89.34	88.83			89.95(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	2	-88	1.64	42%	-0.43	-51.3	2.42%	0	-0.7	40	0

11	Feb_23_2017	112.25	93.06	89.66	88.66			89.85(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	3	-102	1.84	42%	-0.42	-61.1	2.44%	0	-0.8	31	0
12	Feb_22_2017	112.72	93.26	90.37	88.35			88.2(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	-10000	-3	-110	1.18	42%	-0.45	-70.9	2.44%	0	-1.3	30	0
13	Feb_21_2017	113.23	93.68	91.24	88.69			87.1(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-7	-108	1.57	42%	-0.62	-76.2	2.45%	0	-1.8	27	0
14	Feb_17_2017	113.94	94.38	92.15	89.44			89.05(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-4	-106	1.47	42%	-0.45	-65.2	2.42%	0	-1.4	27	0
15	Feb_16_2017	114.45	94.91	92.66	89.92			89.1(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-8	-106	2.22	42%	-0.4	-60.5	2.43%	0	-1.5	39	0

16	Feb_15_2017	114.91	95.52	93.59	90.84			88.3(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-17	-89	1.87	42%	-0.42	-51.4	2.43%	0	-2	41	0
17	Feb_14_2017	115.4	96.08	94.54	92.73			89.9(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-13	-53	1.5	40%	-0.42	-37.8	2.42%	0	-1.9	46	0
18	Feb_13_2017	115.89	96.59	95.33	94.2			90.85(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-9	-28	1.47	40%	-0.39	-27.2	2.47%	0	-2	42	0
19	Feb_10_2017	116.34	96.88	96.21	95.25			91.45(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-7	-10000	-4	-15	1.81	34%	-0.34	-21.9	2.6%	0	-2.1	36	0
20	Feb_9_2017	116.74	97.24	96.68	95.75			93.7(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-7	-18	2.45	30%	-0.38	-15.7	2.65%	0	-1.5	41	0

21	Feb_8_2017	117.19	97.37	96.82	96.71			97.75(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	0	-16	1.97	31%	-0.4	1.8	2.83%	0	0.2	43	0
22	Feb_7_2017	117.66	97.3	96.4	96.66			97.25(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-0	-27	1.7	29%	-0.39	-2.2	2.83%	0	-0	48	0
23	Feb_6_2017	118.12	97.38	96.31	96.72			96.1(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-35	1.67	29%	-0.41	-1.8	2.94%	0	-0.6	44	0
24	Feb_3_2017	118.61	97.45	96.74	97.38			93.95(-4.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-2	-17	2.06	29%	-0.43	4.4	2.91%	0	-1.6	49	0
25	Feb_2_2017	119.12	97.6	97.32	97.7			98.5(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	6	-8	1.34	33%		4.3	2.89%	0	0.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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