Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $186.8000 (0.03%) ($186.8000 - $195.0000) on Thu. Jun. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $186.8000(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(5%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    XLI(-13%)    VYM(-13%)    VT(-13%)    SDY(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $187.09
5 Day Moving Average   $185.3(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $180.12(3.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $187.09(-0.16%)
To recent high   -22.9%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 6.81% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2016	232.33	187.09	180.12	185.3			186.8(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	11	12	1.39	41%	-0.55	-50.7	2.88%	0	-0	41	0
2	Jun_15_2016	233.62	188.34	179.16	182.51			186.75(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	13	-21	0.9	45%	-0.5	-49.9	2.89%	0	-0.1	42	0
3	Jun_14_2016	234.79	189.76	178.55	179.07			187.3(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	11	-57	1.05	45%	-0.57	-47.6	2.95%	0	-0.2	39	0
4	Jun_13_2016	236.14	190.73	178.22	176.32			185.7(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	8	-98	1.02	45%	-0.49	-51.1	2.95%	0	-0.3	30	0
5	Jun_10_2016	237.31	192.17	178.24	174.17			179.95(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-1	-133	1.11	38%	-0.62	-50.6	3.01%	0	-0.7	24	0

6	Jun_9_2016	238.78	193.76	179.46	174.36			172.85(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-4	-159	0.8	35%	-0.63	-50.6	2.98%	0	-1.2	12	0
7	Jun_8_2016	240.29	195.62	181.44	175.36			169.55(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-51	-10000	-9	-177	0.77	41%	-0.66	-51.6	2.96%	0	-1.6	15	0
8	Jun_7_2016	241.88	197.36	184.13	177.83			173.55(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-10000	-9	-175	0.75	41%	-0.29	-53.2	3.1%	0	-1.6	15	0
9	Jun_6_2016	242.59	199.16	187.6	180.29			174.95(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-9	-161	0.81	41%	-0.58	-49.7	3.12%	0	-1.7	28	0
10	Jun_3_2016	244.01	200.97	190.94	182.85			180.9(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-9	-157	1.14	43%	-0.5	-46.8	3.1%	0	-1.5	27	0

11	Jun_2_2016	245.23	202.65	194.68	185.43			177.85(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-10	-139	0.64	43%	-0.56	-38.4	3.11%	0	-2	29	0
12	Jun_1_2016	246.6	204.41	198.38	188.49			181.9(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-10	-120	0.71	39%	-0.43	-28	3.12%	0	-2.1	34	0
13	May_31_2016	247.66	205.73	202.01	191.37			185.85(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-15	-95	0.86	43%	-0.56	-17.6	3.14%	0	-2.1	43	0
14	May_27_2016	249.05	206.42	204.38	196.08			187.75(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-13	-71	0.64	39%	-0.34	-5.5	3.2%	0	-2.2	40	0
15	May_26_2016	249.89	207.25	207.35	200.28			193.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-16	-47	0.58	39%	-0.22	13.7	3.21%	0	-1.7	42	0

16	May_25_2016	250.45	207.25	209.32	205.48			193.15(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-13	-22	0.74	39%	-0.19	29.2	3.21%	0	-1.7	39	0
17	May_24_2016	250.92	207.52	211.11	209.79			196.3(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-13	-2	1.16	39%	-0.18	40.3	3.22%	0	-1.3	43	0
18	May_23_2016	251.37	207.44	211.92	214.11			209.4(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	1	22	0.62	43%	-0.17	53	3.16%	0	0.2	54	0
19	May_20_2016	251.8	206.89	211.81	213.85			208.75(-5.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-4	29	1.09	43%	-0.07	50	3.18%	0	0.2	61	0
20	May_19_2016	251.97	206.19	211.93	215.39			219.8(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	48	1.11	46%	0.01	50.5	3.15%	0	1.6	62	0

21	May_18_2016	251.94	205.14	211.17	213.88			214.7(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	55	1.28	46%	0.02	45.8	3.13%	0	1.1	63	0
22	May_17_2016	251.89	204.21	210.74	212.74			217.9(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	10	71	1.22	43%	0	39.5	3.14%	0	1.7	69	0
23	May_16_2016	251.89	203.14	209.48	209.49			208.1(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	64	0.82	35%	-0.18	18.7	3.12%	0	0.7	64	0
24	May_13_2016	252.35	202.64	208.44	209.39			216.45(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	4	64	0.91	37%	0.01	2.5	3.2%	0	1.9	63	0
25	May_12_2016	252.33	201.87	206.94	207.97			212.25(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	15	-10000	-1	64	0.93	34%		-16.6	3.21%	0	1.5	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.