Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $187.3000 (0.86%) ($184.2500 - $191.2000) on Tue. Jun. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $187.3000(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(5%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-14%)    XLI(-13%)    VYM(-13%)    VT(-13%)    SDY(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $189.76
5 Day Moving Average   $179.07(4.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $178.55(4.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $189.76(-1.3%)
To recent high   -24.1%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 8.09% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2016	234.79	189.76	178.55	179.07			187.3(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	11	-57	1.05	45%	-0.57	-47.6	2.95%	0	-0.2	39	0
2	Jun_13_2016	236.14	190.73	178.22	176.32			185.7(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	8	-98	1.02	45%	-0.49	-51.1	2.95%	0	-0.3	30	0
3	Jun_10_2016	237.31	192.17	178.24	174.17			179.95(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-1	-133	1.11	38%	-0.62	-50.6	3.01%	0	-0.7	24	0
4	Jun_9_2016	238.78	193.76	179.46	174.36			172.85(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-4	-159	0.8	35%	-0.63	-50.6	2.98%	0	-1.2	12	0
5	Jun_8_2016	240.29	195.62	181.44	175.36			169.55(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-51	-10000	-9	-177	0.77	41%	-0.66	-51.6	2.96%	0	-1.6	15	0

6	Jun_7_2016	241.88	197.36	184.13	177.83			173.55(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-10000	-9	-175	0.75	41%	-0.29	-53.2	3.1%	0	-1.6	15	0
7	Jun_6_2016	242.59	199.16	187.6	180.29			174.95(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-9	-161	0.81	41%	-0.58	-49.7	3.12%	0	-1.7	28	0
8	Jun_3_2016	244.01	200.97	190.94	182.85			180.9(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-9	-157	1.14	43%	-0.5	-46.8	3.1%	0	-1.5	27	0
9	Jun_2_2016	245.23	202.65	194.68	185.43			177.85(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-10	-139	0.64	43%	-0.56	-38.4	3.11%	0	-2	29	0
10	Jun_1_2016	246.6	204.41	198.38	188.49			181.9(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-10	-120	0.71	39%	-0.43	-28	3.12%	0	-2.1	34	0

11	May_31_2016	247.66	205.73	202.01	191.37			185.85(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-15	-95	0.86	43%	-0.56	-17.6	3.14%	0	-2.1	43	0
12	May_27_2016	249.05	206.42	204.38	196.08			187.75(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-13	-71	0.64	39%	-0.34	-5.5	3.2%	0	-2.2	40	0
13	May_26_2016	249.89	207.25	207.35	200.28			193.8(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-10000	-16	-47	0.58	39%	-0.22	13.7	3.21%	0	-1.7	42	0
14	May_25_2016	250.45	207.25	209.32	205.48			193.15(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-13	-22	0.74	39%	-0.19	29.2	3.21%	0	-1.7	39	0
15	May_24_2016	250.92	207.52	211.11	209.79			196.3(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-13	-2	1.16	39%	-0.18	40.3	3.22%	0	-1.3	43	0

16	May_23_2016	251.37	207.44	211.92	214.11			209.4(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	1	22	0.62	43%	-0.17	53	3.16%	0	0.2	54	0
17	May_20_2016	251.8	206.89	211.81	213.85			208.75(-5.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-4	29	1.09	43%	-0.07	50	3.18%	0	0.2	61	0
18	May_19_2016	251.97	206.19	211.93	215.39			219.8(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	48	1.11	46%	0.01	50.5	3.15%	0	1.6	62	0
19	May_18_2016	251.94	205.14	211.17	213.88			214.7(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	55	1.28	46%	0.02	45.8	3.13%	0	1.1	63	0
20	May_17_2016	251.89	204.21	210.74	212.74			217.9(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	10	71	1.22	43%	0	39.5	3.14%	0	1.7	69	0

21	May_16_2016	251.89	203.14	209.48	209.49			208.1(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	0	64	0.82	35%	-0.18	18.7	3.12%	0	0.7	64	0
22	May_13_2016	252.35	202.64	208.44	209.39			216.45(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	4	64	0.91	37%	0.01	2.5	3.2%	0	1.9	63	0
23	May_12_2016	252.33	201.87	206.94	207.97			212.25(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	15	-10000	-1	64	0.93	34%	-0.01	-16.6	3.21%	0	1.5	64	0
24	May_11_2016	252.36	201.39	205.39	208.2			209(3.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-1	63	0.76	34%	-0.06	-31.6	3.25%	0	1.2	56	0
25	May_10_2016	252.52	201.06	203.57	208.56			201.65(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-2	61	0.74	31%		-35.6	3.24%	0	0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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