Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $240.1500 (6.73%) ($235.3500 - $245.6500) on Mon. Jan. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.48% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $240.1500(6.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(4%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    VT(-14%)    SDY(-14%)    LIT(-14%)    IYT(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.74% (StdDev 3.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $222(8.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $223.1(7.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $222.58(7.89%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 4.03% (three month std-dev: 3.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2016	225.27	222.58	223.1	222			240.15(6.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	6	-10000	14	-20	1.01	49%	0.19	62.3	3.48%	0	2	52	0
2	Dec_31_2015	224.85	220.97	221.43	216.88			225(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	5	-43	0.64	44%	0.06	50.2	3.41%	0	0.4	54	0
3	Dec_30_2015	224.71	219.75	220.79	215.05			216.75(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.57	39%	0.03	39.3	3.38%	0	-0.3	49	0
4	Dec_29_2015	224.65	218.7	222.02	216.6			210.4(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-11	-45	0.52	39%	0.02	33.5	3.39%	0	-0.7	51	0
5	Dec_28_2015	224.6	218.17	224.84	220.65			217.7(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-10	-9	0.62	44%	0.09	36.6	3.39%	0	-0	56	0

6	Dec_24_2015	224.39	217.13	226.5	224.32			214.55(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	30	0.25	46%	0.06	35.9	3.56%	0	-0.2	60	0
7	Dec_23_2015	224.26	216.33	227.25	226.56			215.85(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-1	51	0.69	46%	0.06	34.4	3.56%	0	-0	56	0
8	Dec_22_2015	224.12	215.67	228.08	227.14			224.5(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-2	72	0.58	50%	0.11	28.7	3.53%	0	0.6	65	0
9	Dec_21_2015	223.88	214.73	227.26	228.09			230.65(-2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-4	93	0.54	50%	0.15	26.8	3.56%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Dec_18_2015	223.55	213.56	225.46	229.72			236.05(4.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	1	117	0.78	52%	0.16	25.8	3.55%	0	1.6	70	0

11	Dec_17_2015	223.2	212.28	222.17	229.38			225.75(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	3	128	0.76	50%	0.11	24.9	3.54%	0	1	69	0
12	Dec_16_2015	222.96	211.44	220.54	228.21			218.75(-4.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	32	-10000	-2	135	0.75	50%	0.06	24.1	3.52%	0	0.6	65	0
13	Dec_15_2015	222.82	211.49	218.75	228.9			229.25(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	8	146	0.57	52%	0.09	32.3	3.49%	0	1.4	66	0
14	Dec_14_2015	222.63	210.84	215.22	225.95			238.8(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	14	129	0.88	54%	0.15	32.5	3.47%	0	2.2	67	0
15	Dec_11_2015	222.29	209.92	210.87	220.51			234.35(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	17	97	0.76	54%	0.18	33.8	3.47%	0	2.2	63	0

16	Dec_10_2015	221.9	209.01	206.74	214.08			219.9(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	50	0.59	51%	0.14	28	3.38%	0	1.1	53	0
17	Dec_9_2015	221.59	208.37	204.29	211.83			222.2(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	13	31	0.8	51%	0.14	25.2	3.38%	0	1.4	56	0
18	Dec_8_2015	221.28	207.37	202	207.11			214.5(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	-10000	13	-8	0.92	46%	0.12	12.7	3.38%	0	0.8	43	0
19	Dec_7_2015	221.02	206.85	200.94	202.76			211.6(4.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	9	-41	0.78	46%	0.12	-0.9	3.46%	0	0.5	43	0
20	Dec_4_2015	220.76	206.19	200.43	199.75			202.2(-3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	-10000	5	-70	1.03	43%	0.09	-19.9	3.44%	0	-0.4	33	0

21	Dec_3_2015	220.56	206.24	201.39	198.2			208.65(5.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-15	-10000	8	-82	1.09	43%	0.1	-31.1	3.43%	0	0.3	41	0
22	Dec_2_2015	220.35	205.94	201.4	195.68			198.6(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-2	-99	0.97	38%	0.07	-42	3.37%	0	-0.8	45	0
23	Dec_1_2015	220.2	206.19	203.56	196.21			192.75(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-8	-86	0.64	43%	0.03	-53.9	3.39%	0	-1.5	46	0
24	Nov_30_2015	220.14	206.93	206.19	198.83			196.55(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-7	-62	0.57	43%	0.01	-58	3.53%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Nov_27_2015	220.11	208.05	208.99	201.25			194.45(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-10	-34	0.36	40%		-50.6	3.54%	0	-1.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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