Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jul. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $205.0000 (4.81%) ($194.8000 - $205.4000) on Sat. Jul. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.44% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $205.0000(4.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.22% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $194.04(5.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $190.07(7.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $192.38(6.56%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 2.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2015	198.59	192.38	190.07	194.04			205(4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	17	-12	0.69	61%	-0.06	54.2	2.44%	0	2	55	0
2	Jul_23_2015	198.7	191.17	188.71	190.2			195.6(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	11	-46	0.65	59%	-0.11	39	2.37%	0	0.7	49	0
3	Jul_22_2015	198.92	190.47	189.13	187.72			189.4(-1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	2	-57	0.41	57%	-0.13	21.3	2.34%	0	-0.2	49	0
4	Jul_21_2015	199.18	189.9	190.48	187.24			191.6(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	7	-47	0.56	57%	-0.1	10.3	2.34%	0	0.2	49	0
5	Jul_20_2015	199.38	189.26	190.8	185.72			188.6(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	1	-62	0.5	54%	-0.14	-4	2.33%	0	-0.1	43	0

6	Jul_17_2015	199.66	188.94	191.52	185.48			185.8(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-7	-52	0.36	57%	-0.14	-9.9	2.35%	0	-0.4	56	0
7	Jul_16_2015	199.94	188.77	192.56	187.04			183.2(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-16	-27	0.39	57%	-0.16	-8.3	2.41%	0	-0.7	56	0
8	Jul_15_2015	200.27	189.08	193.53	190.8			187(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10000	-15	13	0.45	57%	-0.14	3.8	2.4%	0	-0.3	59	0
9	Jul_14_2015	200.56	189.15	194.23	194.28			184(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-10	61	0.49	57%	-0.17	10.8	2.41%	0	-0.7	61	0
10	Jul_13_2015	200.9	189.56	195.54	196.56			187.4(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	21	-10000	-7	104	0.54	57%	-0.15	17.2	2.4%	0	-0.3	63	0

11	Jul_10_2015	201.2	189.72	195.25	198.28			193.6(-4.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	30	-10000	-2	125	0.63	60%	-0.13	22.1	2.37%	0	0.5	63	0
12	Jul_9_2015	201.47	189.44	194.15	198.72			202(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	9	139	0.57	64%	-0.09	19	2.31%	0	1.6	73	0
13	Jul_8_2015	201.65	188.77	192.08	196.64			204.4(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	10	117	0.93	64%	-0.08	11.5	2.31%	0	2.2	63	0
14	Jul_7_2015	201.82	188.3	189.27	194.4			195.4(-0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-1	84	1.18	61%	-0.03	3.2	2.26%	0	1.1	57	0
15	Jul_6_2015	201.88	188.23	187.54	194.52			196(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	13	74	0.84	61%	-0.26	1.4	2.27%	0	1.2	52	0

16	Jul_2_2015	202.4	188.01	186.03	191.76			195.8(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	14	42	0.45	61%	-0.19	-15.5	2.27%	0	1.2	54	0
17	Jul_1_2015	202.79	187.98	184.49	188.8			191.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	10	7	0.68	61%	-0.21	-28.7	2.26%	0	0.6	53	0
18	Jun_30_2015	203.22	187.95	184.08	186.68			193.2(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	-10000	16	-9	1.01	57%	-0.23	-39.7	2.24%	0	0.8	52	0
19	Jun_29_2015	203.68	188.09	183.42	183.32			196(7.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	2	-10000	18	-47	1.64	57%	-0.18	-55.9	2.29%	0	1.1	45	0
20	Jun_26_2015	204.05	188.13	182.79	179.68			182.2(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-96	0.65	51%	-0.25	-67.3	2.09%	0	-0.8	32	0

21	Jun_25_2015	204.56	189.02	183.54	179.52			181(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-10000	-0	-103	0.5	57%	-0.3	-65.9	2.09%	0	-1.1	35	0
22	Jun_24_2015	205.18	189.83	184.27	179.56			181(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-10000	-8	-109	0.58	57%	-0.29	-66.8	2.28%	0	-1.2	32	0
23	Jun_23_2015	205.77	190.64	185.18	181.12			176.4(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-11	-103	0.39	55%	-0.38	-59.4	2.25%	0	-1.9	35	0
24	Jun_22_2015	206.55	192.06	187.31	183.48			177.8(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-14	-88	0.48	55%	-0.4	-51.7	2.25%	0	-2.1	31	0
25	Jun_19_2015	207.37	193.14	189.13	186.32			181.4(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-8	-69	0.42	55%		-49.5	2.26%	0	-2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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