Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $195.4000 (-0.31%) ($195.0000 - $206.7000) on Tue. Jul. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $195.4000(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    VT(-14%)    SPY(-14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $194.4(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $189.27(3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $188.3(3.77%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2015	201.82	188.3	189.27	194.4			195.4(-0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	-1	84	1.18	61%	-0.03	3.2	2.26%	0	1.1	57	0
2	Jul_6_2015	201.88	188.23	187.54	194.52			196(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	13	74	0.84	61%	-0.26	1.4	2.27%	0	1.2	52	0
3	Jul_2_2015	202.4	188.01	186.03	191.76			195.8(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	14	42	0.45	61%	-0.19	-15.5	2.27%	0	1.2	54	0
4	Jul_1_2015	202.79	187.98	184.49	188.8			191.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	10	7	0.68	61%	-0.21	-28.7	2.26%	0	0.6	53	0
5	Jun_30_2015	203.22	187.95	184.08	186.68			193.2(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	-10000	16	-9	1.01	57%	-0.23	-39.7	2.24%	0	0.8	52	0

6	Jun_29_2015	203.68	188.09	183.42	183.32			196(7.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	2	-10000	18	-47	1.64	57%	-0.18	-55.9	2.29%	0	1.1	45	0
7	Jun_26_2015	204.05	188.13	182.79	179.68			182.2(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-96	0.65	51%	-0.25	-67.3	2.09%	0	-0.8	32	0
8	Jun_25_2015	204.56	189.02	183.54	179.52			181(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-10000	-0	-103	0.5	57%	-0.3	-65.9	2.09%	0	-1.1	35	0
9	Jun_24_2015	205.18	189.83	184.27	179.56			181(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-10000	-8	-109	0.58	57%	-0.29	-66.8	2.28%	0	-1.2	32	0
10	Jun_23_2015	205.77	190.64	185.18	181.12			176.4(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-11	-103	0.39	55%	-0.38	-59.4	2.25%	0	-1.9	35	0

11	Jun_22_2015	206.55	192.06	187.31	183.48			177.8(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-14	-88	0.48	55%	-0.4	-51.7	2.25%	0	-2.1	31	0
12	Jun_19_2015	207.37	193.14	189.13	186.32			181.4(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-8	-69	0.42	55%	-0.3	-49.5	2.26%	0	-2	32	0
13	Jun_18_2015	208	193.94	190.35	188.12			181.2(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-7	-65	1.3	55%	-0.36	-51.9	2.26%	0	-2.4	31	0
14	Jun_17_2015	208.75	194.73	191.98	189.56			188.8(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.7	59%	-0.26	-68.3	2.22%	0	-1.4	42	0
15	Jun_16_2015	209.29	195.13	192.32	189.84			188.2(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-9	-62	0.86	59%	-0.25	-83.7	2.22%	0	-1.7	41	0

16	Jun_15_2015	209.81	195.57	193.26	191.76			192(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-3	-54	0.9	59%	-0.26	-91.6	2.22%	0	-1	37	0
17	Jun_12_2015	210.36	196.09	193.9	192.48			190.4(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-2	-48	0.75	54%	-0.26	-89	2.23%	0	-1.4	43	0
18	Jun_11_2015	210.91	196.7	194.9	193			188.4(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-8	-41	0.67	54%	-0.35	-98	2.3%	0	-2.1	44	0
19	Jun_10_2015	211.65	197.7	195.82	194.72			190.2(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	-10000	-1	-25	1.1	56%	-0.33	-87.8	2.31%	0	-1.8	46	0
20	Jun_9_2015	212.35	198.61	196.55	195.04			197.8(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	0	-22	0.66	60%	-0.07	-90.6	2.31%	0	-0.2	52	0

21	Jun_8_2015	212.5	199.06	197.11	195			195.6(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-3	-14	0.55	60%	-0.29	-86.4	2.31%	0	-0.7	50	0
22	Jun_5_2015	213.11	199.66	197.4	195.64			193(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-7	-16	0.85	62%	-0.37	-82.8	2.35%	0	-1.3	40	0
23	Jun_4_2015	213.9	200.61	197.79	195.64			197(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	0	-10	1.02	62%	-0.28	-72.2	2.34%	0	-0.7	43	0
24	Jun_3_2015	214.51	201.47	197.68	197.16			191.8(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-4	-27	1.15	61%	-0.29	-55.9	2.32%	0	-1.5	30	0
25	Jun_2_2015	215.13	202.73	198.23	198.16			197.6(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-6	-36	1	64%		-36.1	2.3%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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