Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $228.2000 (3.54%) ($225.8000 - $230.4000) on Tue. Mar. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.01% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $228.2000(3.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-15%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    VT(-14%)    SPY(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.505% (StdDev 3.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $220.8(3.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $217.74(4.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $219.91(3.77%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 3.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2015	243.68	219.91	217.74	220.8			228.2(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	8	20	0.62	50%	-0.09	-57.3	3.01%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Mar_9_2015	243.91	220.26	216.4	218.16			220.4(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	5	1	0.54	45%	-0.14	-68.7	3.08%	0	0	48	0
3	Mar_6_2015	244.26	220.8	215.99	216.36			223.2(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	4	-12	0.75	47%	-0.13	-86.3	3.16%	0	0.3	49	0
4	Mar_5_2015	244.59	221.17	215.32	214.96			215.2(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	1	-27	0.47	44%	-0.19	-94.1	3.15%	0	-0.8	29	0
5	Mar_4_2015	245.05	222.44	215.69	214.52			217(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.54	44%	-0.18	-91.5	3.16%	0	-0.6	23	0

6	Mar_3_2015	245.49	223.5	215.93	214.2			215(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.42	42%	-0.2	-89.4	3.16%	0	-0.9	21	0
7	Mar_2_2015	245.98	225.27	216.48	214.4			211.4(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.59	41%	-0.23	-72	3.17%	0	-1.3	11	0
8	Feb_27_2015	246.55	227.53	217.55	215.48			216.2(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-1	-71	0.35	41%	-0.21	-57.3	3.18%	0	-0.9	27	0
9	Feb_26_2015	247.06	228.89	218.5	215.76			213(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-22	-10000	-4	-76	0.5	41%	-0.23	-57.4	3.2%	0	-1.3	22	0
10	Feb_25_2015	247.63	230.92	220.55	217			215.4(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-76	0.48	41%	-0.23	-55.6	3.23%	0	-1.2	18	0

11	Feb_24_2015	248.19	232.3	222.31	217.92			216(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-21	-10000	-3	-76	0.52	41%	-0.23	-61.2	3.26%	0	-1.3	24	0
12	Feb_23_2015	248.75	233.51	224.44	218.88			216.8(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-23	-10000	-3	-82	0.46	41%	-0.23	-68.3	3.29%	0	-1.4	18	0
13	Feb_20_2015	249.32	234.98	226.02	219.92			217.6(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-28	-10000	-5	-96	0.7	41%	-0.23	-77.8	3.32%	0	-1.5	16	0
14	Feb_19_2015	249.9	236.4	227.52	221.68			219.2(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-8	-98	0.58	41%	-0.23	-82.7	3.35%	0	-1.5	35	0
15	Feb_18_2015	250.47	238.47	229.76	224.72			220(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-7	-93	0.49	41%	-0.23	-71.1	3.38%	0	-1.6	31	0

16	Feb_17_2015	251.04	240.39	231.72	227.44			220.8(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-9	-86	0.44	41%	-0.23	-65	3.41%	0	-1.7	41	0
17	Feb_13_2015	251.63	242.15	234.79	230.88			222(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.65	41%	-0.23	-59.2	3.44%	0	-1.9	44	0
18	Feb_12_2015	252.21	244.51	238.36	232.96			226.4(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0.73	41%	-0.2	-43	3.47%	0	-1.6	42	0
19	Feb_11_2015	252.72	246.03	240.19	234.08			234.4(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.59	41%	-0.15	-44.1	3.48%	0	-1.1	46	0
20	Feb_10_2015	253.1	246.98	242.11	235.6			233.6(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-3	-41	0.75	41%	-0.16	-47.7	3.51%	0	-1.3	38	0

21	Feb_9_2015	253.5	248.02	243.08	236.72			238(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-7	-49	0.67	41%	-0.13	-47.2	3.54%	0	-1	41	0
22	Feb_6_2015	253.83	248.71	243.27	239.56			232.4(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-12	-51	0.83	41%	-0.18	-38.1	3.56%	0	-1.7	40	0
23	Feb_5_2015	254.3	249.43	244.69	244.76			232(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-5	-43	0.87	41%	-0.2	-23.5	3.6%	0	-2	35	0
24	Feb_4_2015	254.8	250.76	246.14	247.08			242(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-42	0.82	42%	-0.11	-6	3.59%	0	-1.1	46	0
25	Feb_3_2015	255.09	251.97	247.94	249.52			239.2(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-1	-27	1.12	42%		21	3.63%	0	-1.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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