Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TZA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $238.0000 (2.41%) ($230.2000 - $239.0000) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $238.0000(2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-16%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    VT(-14%)    SPY(-14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $248.02
5 Day Moving Average   $236.72(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $243.08(-2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $248.02(-4.04%)
To recent high   -17.4%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2015	253.5	248.02	243.08	236.72			238(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-7	-49	0.67	41%	-0.13	-47.2	3.54%	0	-1	41	0
2	Feb_6_2015	253.83	248.71	243.27	239.56			232.4(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-12	-51	0.83	41%	-0.18	-38.1	3.56%	0	-1.7	40	0
3	Feb_5_2015	254.3	249.43	244.69	244.76			232(-4.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-5	-43	0.87	41%	-0.2	-23.5	3.6%	0	-2	35	0
4	Feb_4_2015	254.8	250.76	246.14	247.08			242(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-42	0.82	42%	-0.11	-6	3.59%	0	-1.1	46	0
5	Feb_3_2015	255.09	251.97	247.94	249.52			239.2(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-1	-27	1.12	42%	-0.14	21	3.63%	0	-1.5	46	0

6	Feb_2_2015	255.46	252.76	249.85	250.12			252.2(-2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	6	-20	0.9	45%	-0.03	36	3.59%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Jan_30_2015	255.53	252.4	250.07	247.44			258.4(6.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	6	-27	0.8	45%	0.03	28	3.62%	0	0.7	54	0
8	Jan_29_2015	255.46	251.51	250.89	244.84			243.6(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-1	-26	0.95	41%	-0.12	18.1	3.52%	0	-1	52	0
9	Jan_28_2015	255.76	251.25	252.15	245.12			254.2(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.98	43%	-0.02	14.9	3.51%	0	0.4	49	0
10	Jan_27_2015	255.8	250.21	251.96	246.48			242.2(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-7	-33	0.85	39%	-0.14	10.4	3.46%	0	-0.9	38	0

11	Jan_26_2015	256.16	249.97	253.21	249.68			238.8(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.56	39%	-0.18	11.8	3.49%	0	-1.1	45	0
12	Jan_23_2015	256.63	250.13	254.62	252.96			245.4(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-11	-7	0.55	39%	-0.12	11	3.52%	0	-0.5	53	0
13	Jan_22_2015	256.94	250.03	254.72	257.8			245(-6.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	0	-10000	-5	16	0.96	39%	-0.13	4.1	3.57%	0	-0.5	55	0
14	Jan_21_2015	257.28	250	256.04	259.92			261(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	4	42	0.67	43%	0.04	-8.7	3.47%	0	1	65	0
15	Jan_20_2015	257.17	249.27	256.45	258.24			258.2(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	2	57	0.7	43%	0.01	-26.4	3.52%	0	0.9	66	0

16	Jan_16_2015	257.14	248.8	256.02	257.32			255.2(-5.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	2	67	0.87	43%	-0.02	-38.4	3.57%	0	0.6	62	0
17	Jan_15_2015	257.2	249	255.01	256.44			269.6(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	12	73	1.05	47%	0.16	-46.1	3.5%	0	2.1	66	0
18	Jan_14_2015	256.8	249.6	252.01	251.36			255.6(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-10000	-1	49	0.94	41%	-0.02	-50.5	3.41%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Jan_13_2015	256.84	250.93	250.15	251.72			252.6(-0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-6	45	1.15	41%	-0.06	-29.9	3.45%	0	0.1	56	0
20	Jan_12_2015	256.99	252.07	248.21	254.56			253.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	49	0.69	41%	-0.05	-14.8	3.52%	0	0.1	53	0

21	Jan_9_2015	257.11	252.72	246.39	254.6			250.8(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	41	0.72	41%	-0.09	-13.4	3.57%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Jan_8_2015	257.34	253.68	245.29	253.2			244.2(-5.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	2	22	0.83	41%	-0.2	-13	3.59%	0	-0.6	39	0
23	Jan_7_2015	257.85	254.29	245.11	252.36			257.4(-3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	-10000	10	-6	0.76	45%	-0	-18	3.53%	0	0.2	33	0
24	Jan_6_2015	257.86	254.8	243.55	248.04			266.8(5.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	16	-47	1.14	45%	0.14	-27.5	3.54%	0	0.7	36	0
25	Jan_5_2015	257.49	254.37	241.3	241.04			253.8(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-18	-10000	9	-97	0.72	39%		0	3.44%	0	-0	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.