Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: TZA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bear 3x ETF)
TZA latest price $245.0000 (-6.13%) ($245.0000 - $266.1000) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.57% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $245.0000(-6.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TZA declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TZA advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TZA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(9%)    TLT(6%)    IGOV(5%)    UNG(4%)    SHY(3%)
Factors Impacting TZA price   TZA will decline at least -1.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLB(-16%)    VT(-15%)    XLI(-14%)    VYM(-14%)    SPY(-14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.785% (StdDev 3.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.3%

Resistance Level   $250.03
5 Day Moving Average   $257.8(-4.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $254.72(-3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $250.03(-2.01%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TZA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TZA price fluctuates within 4.17% (three month std-dev: 3.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	256.94	250.03	254.72	257.8			245(-6.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	0	-10000	-5	16	0.96	39%	-0.13	4.1	3.57%	0	-0.5	55	0
2	Jan_21_2015	257.28	250	256.04	259.92			261(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	4	42	0.67	43%	0.04	-8.7	3.47%	0	1	65	0
3	Jan_20_2015	257.17	249.27	256.45	258.24			258.2(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	2	57	0.7	43%	0.01	-26.4	3.52%	0	0.9	66	0
4	Jan_16_2015	257.14	248.8	256.02	257.32			255.2(-5.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	2	67	0.87	43%	-0.02	-38.4	3.57%	0	0.6	62	0
5	Jan_15_2015	257.2	249	255.01	256.44			269.6(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	12	73	1.05	47%	0.16	-46.1	3.5%	0	2.1	66	0

6	Jan_14_2015	256.8	249.6	252.01	251.36			255.6(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-10000	-1	49	0.94	41%	-0.02	-50.5	3.41%	0	0.7	59	0
7	Jan_13_2015	256.84	250.93	250.15	251.72			252.6(-0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-6	45	1.15	41%	-0.06	-29.9	3.45%	0	0.1	56	0
8	Jan_12_2015	256.99	252.07	248.21	254.56			253.6(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	-0	49	0.69	41%	-0.05	-14.8	3.52%	0	0.1	53	0
9	Jan_9_2015	257.11	252.72	246.39	254.6			250.8(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	41	0.72	41%	-0.09	-13.4	3.57%	0	-0.1	50	0
10	Jan_8_2015	257.34	253.68	245.29	253.2			244.2(-5.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	2	22	0.83	41%	-0.2	-13	3.59%	0	-0.6	39	0

11	Jan_7_2015	257.85	254.29	245.11	252.36			257.4(-3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	-10000	10	-6	0.76	45%	-0	-18	3.53%	0	0.2	33	0
12	Jan_6_2015	257.86	254.8	243.55	248.04			266.8(5.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	16	-47	1.14	45%	0.14	-27.5	3.54%	0	0.7	36	0
13	Jan_5_2015	257.49	254.37	241.3	241.04			253.8(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-18	-10000	9	-97	0.72	39%	-0.06	0	3.44%	0	-0	35	0
14	Jan_2_2015	257.65	254.93	240.68	237.24			243.8(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-31	-10000	2	-129	0.72	33%	-0.24	0	3.38%	0	-0.6	37	0
15	Dec_31_2014	258.28	255.88	242.2	236.44			240(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-1	-139	0.55	33%	-0.34	0	3.42%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Dec_30_2014	259.15	257.4	246.58	236.84			235.8(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-4	-120	0.36	33%	-0.45	0	3.46%	0	-1.3	43	0
17	Dec_29_2014	260.32	259.61	251.45	238.32			231.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-7	-105	0.32	33%	-0.57	0	3.5%	0	-1.7	35	0
18	Dec_26_2014	261.82	259.61	256.11	241.48			234.8(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.37	33%	-0.57	0	3.6%	0	15.2	42	0
19	Dec_24_2014	263.32	259.61	259.63	244.52			239.8(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.23	33%	-0.52	0	3.69%	0	16.6	41	0
20	Dec_23_2014	264.7	259.61	262.95	248.84			242(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-19	-8	0.42	33%	-0.53	0	3.8%	0	17.7	44	0

21	Dec_22_2014	266.12	259.61	264.64	258.04			243.2(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-17	-7	0.49	33%	-0.57	0	3.93%	0	19	41	0
22	Dec_19_2014	267.65	259.61	267.48	266.8			247.6(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.79	33%	-0.53	0	4.06%	0	21.1	39	0
23	Dec_18_2014	269.08	259.61	269.04	272.96			249.98(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.24	33%	-0.54	0	4.21%	0	23.1	50	0
24	Dec_17_2014	270.55	259.61	270.9	276.64			261.4(-9.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-3	-10000	-3	-1	1.57	37%	-0.28	0	4.25%	0	26.7	50	0
25	Dec_16_2014	271.32	259.61	271.15	278.68			288(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	14	6	1.15	50%		0	3.47%	0	29.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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