Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 25, 2019

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $131.5500 (1.56%) ($127.2700 - $132.8900) on Mon. Mar. 25, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $131.5500(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(67%)    IPO(62%)    ARKK(61%)    IBUY(58%)    VUG(56%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    VIXM(-7%)    TBT(-7%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $131.55(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.02(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $124.39(5.76%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   61.9%
Market Cap   $18.816b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 5.19% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.97%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 3.9%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.27%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2019	101.61	124.39	130.02	131.55	131.43	131.28	131.55(1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10	-17	91	4.34	75%	0.59	66.1	3.55%	0	1.1	80	-0.9
2	Mar_22_2019	101.01	123.71	129.13	131.11	131.41	132.61	129.53(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	70	19	112	4.19	75%	0.56	73.9	3.56%	0	0.9	75	-1
3	Mar_21_2019	100.45	123.06	127.97	131.09	130.92	131.59	135.66(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	30	33	113	3.84	80%	0.64	79.7	3.52%	0	1.9	66	1.4
4	Mar_20_2019	99.81	121.91	125.98	129.96	129.97	130.21	130.65(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	6	87	2.77	78%	0.65	88.5	3.59%	0	1.5	64	1.3
5	Mar_19_2019	99.17	121.17	124.42	129.18	129.59	130.25	130.38(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	50	17	79	3.25	78%	0.68	87.9	3.7%	0	1.6	67	1.7

6	Mar_18_2019	98.5	120.27	122.91	128.25	128.84	129.74	129.35(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	60	29	77	3.79	78%	0.68	85.9	3.7%	0	1.6	69	1.8
7	Mar_15_2019	97.83	119.16	121.57	126.8	127.32	128.94	129.41(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	100	42	69	3.59	78%	0.68	68.6	3.75%	0	1.8	66	2.2
8	Mar_14_2019	97.17	118.05	120.86	124.27	125.02	127.95	130(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	70	180	70	70	3.83	78%	0.72	54.5	3.78%	0	2.1	69	2
9	Mar_13_2019	96.48	116.88	119.91	121.37	121.5	125.71	126.78(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	77	250	81	64	4.11	78%	0.63	36.7	3.83%	0	1.8	70	1.8
10	Mar_12_2019	95.88	116.26	119.09	118.94	118.55	122.09	125.7(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	81	200	90	53	4.19	78%	0.63	28.2	3.83%	0	1.9	62	1.8

11	Mar_11_2019	95.28	115.7	118.16	116.84	116.19	117.3	122.09(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	50	47	26	4	78%	0.61	21	3.85%	0	1.4	64	1.1
12	Mar_8_2019	94.7	115.3	118.16	115.64	114.71	115.01	116.8(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-11	-10	-17	6	2.83	77%	0.51	16.5	3.79%	0	0.4	67	-0.9
13	Mar_7_2019	94.22	114.99	117.73	116.99	115.92	115.09	115.5(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-80	-12	30	4.14	68%	0.46	23.6	3.82%	0	0.1	65	-0.8
14	Mar_6_2019	93.79	114.88	117.57	118.23	117.82	114.41	114.63(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-25	-210	-44	34	3.21	71%	0.44	41.9	3.95%	0	-0.1	65	0.2
15	Mar_5_2019	93.38	114.85	117.78	119.19	119.2	116.74	115.18(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-39	-140	-64	35	4.73	71%	0.44	64.4	4.04%	0	0.1	51	0.9

16	Mar_4_2019	92.97	114.77	117.6	119.54	120.17	121.23	116.1(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	80	-3	59	6.58	66%	0.48	79.4	4.07%	0	0.3	51	1.2
17	Mar_1_2019	92.53	114.6	116.8	119.97	119.63	121.65	123.53(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	110	45	74	3.03	71%	0.62	92.4	4.04%	0	2	60	1.8
18	Feb_28_2019	91.96	113.96	115.18	118.58	118.53	119.12	121.69(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	30	35	58	4.22	71%	0.61	106.4	4.02%	0	2	65	0.8
19	Feb_27_2019	91.4	113.07	113.69	116.87	117.26	117.62	119.46(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	30	5	26	3.26	71%	0.53	95.5	4.07%	0	1.6	57	0.9
20	Feb_26_2019	90.92	112.1	113.18	116.24	116.39	117.94	116.92(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	100	20	29	2.46	74%	0.5	78.1	4.07%	0	1	54	1

21	Feb_25_2019	90.47	111.38	112.99	115.37	115.89	116.9	118.27(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	70	51	38	4.42	74%	0.49	66.3	4.19%	0	1.4	56	1.2
22	Feb_22_2019	90.03	110.67	112.56	113.09	113.6	114.84	116.55(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	90	23	13	3.17	74%	0.45	56.3	4.22%	0	1.2	55	1.6
23	Feb_21_2019	89.63	109.93	111.89	111.23	111.36	114.89	113.16(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	230	50	9	4.67	74%	0.38	46.3	4.24%	0	0.6	54	1.3
24	Feb_20_2019	89.29	109.33	111.88	109.97	109.27	112.36	116.3(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	180	62	16	8.18	74%	0.44	37.3	4.22%	0	1.3	68	1.6
25	Feb_19_2019	88.9	108.5	111.57	109.77	108.17	107.82	112.57(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-70	6	8	7.69	63%		37.4	4.22%	0	0.7	71	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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