Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $31.3700 (-0.63%) ($31.2600 - $31.9700) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.63% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $31.3700(-0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(66%)    ARKK(60%)    IBUY(58%)    VUG(56%)    QQQ(53%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -1.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    TBT(-3%)    UNG(-1%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.315% (StdDev 2.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.67(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.11(4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.32(3.46%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $4.487b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 2.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 2.21%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.82%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -3.85%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 6.15%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.21%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	28.81	30.32	30.11	30.67	30.75	31.43	31.37(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	160	29	8	1.11	59%	0.21	36.7	2.63%	0	1.2	51	INF
2	Oct_3_2017	28.75	30.24	30	30.22	30.17	30.85	31.57(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	28	150	40	-7	1.3	59%	0.28	27.9	2.65%	0	1.5	55	INF
3	Oct_2_2017	28.67	30.13	29.92	29.41	29.74	30.07	30.87(3.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	110	24	-42	1.49	59%	0.24	6.7	2.64%	0	0.9	54	INF
4	Sep_29_2017	28.6	30.03	29.93	29.13	29.26	29.5	29.85(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-20	70	-5	-63	0.9	57%	0.21	-2.4	2.61%	0	-0.2	46	INF
5	Sep_28_2017	28.54	30.01	30.02	29.33	29.35	29.42	29.68(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	20	-1	-47	1.16	57%	0.25	3.7	2.62%	0	-0.4	51	INF

6	Sep_27_2017	28.47	29.99	30.15	29.49	29.69	29.03	29.14(5.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-140	-15	-38	4.74	57%	0.21	10	2.63%	0	-0.9	49	INF
7	Sep_26_2017	28.41	30	30.31	29.77	29.93	29.28	27.52(-6.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-43	-140	-46	-35	4.28	52%	0.11	18.5	2.53%	0	-2.7	36	INF
8	Sep_25_2017	28.38	30.07	30.62	30.47	30.48	30.35	29.47(-4.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-9	-30	-17	14	1.71	60%	0.21	43.6	2.42%	0	-0.8	55	INF
9	Sep_22_2017	28.32	30.05	30.75	30.8	30.77	30.57	30.83(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-50	-3	49	0.9	67%	0.21	48.9	2.39%	0	1	72	INF
10	Sep_21_2017	28.26	29.98	30.65	30.81	30.9	30.61	30.5(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-60	-12	51	0.91	67%	0.21	44.6	2.39%	0	0.7	65	INF

11	Sep_20_2017	28.2	29.9	30.58	30.92	31.02	30.97	30.51(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-0	-6	63	0.92	67%	-0.14	36.1	2.4%	0	0.7	65	INF
12	Sep_19_2017	28.24	29.83	30.53	30.94	31.06	31.19	31.04(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	9	79	0.56	71%	-0.11	26.5	2.41%	0	1.5	74	INF
13	Sep_18_2017	28.27	29.74	30.36	30.78	30.89	31.06	31.14(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	50	7	75	1.36	71%	-0.07	9.5	2.51%	0	1.8	78	INF
14	Sep_15_2017	28.29	29.66	30.15	30.68	30.74	30.93	30.88(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	50	12	74	3.36	74%	-0.07	-3	2.55%	0	1.7	70	INF
15	Sep_14_2017	28.31	29.63	29.99	30.46	30.58	30.72	31.04(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	40	13	65	0.95	74%	-0.04	-12.1	2.54%	0	2.1	66	INF

16	Sep_13_2017	28.32	29.61	29.8	30.2	30.32	30.55	30.62(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	70	8	55	1.21	74%	-0.07	-35.8	2.54%	0	1.5	66	INF
17	Sep_12_2017	28.34	29.62	29.64	30.05	30.14	30.45	30.23(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	80	14	51	1.42	74%	0	-56.8	2.56%	0	0.9	62	INF
18	Sep_11_2017	28.34	29.66	29.47	29.88	29.91	30.09	30.65(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	50	18	41	1.3	74%	-0.04	-52.3	2.55%	0	1.3	65	INF
19	Sep_8_2017	28.35	29.68	29.29	29.54	29.57	29.83	29.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	60	6	15	0.99	72%	-0.07	-48.6	2.57%	0	0.1	46	INF
20	Sep_7_2017	28.37	29.71	29.24	29.44	29.42	29.74	29.73(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	70	13	6	1.18	72%	-0.07	-44.6	2.57%	0	0	41	INF

21	Sep_6_2017	28.39	29.85	29.16	29.34	29.28	29.31	29.88(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	0	10	-15	1.7	72%	-0.04	-19.1	2.57%	0	0	36	INF
22	Sep_5_2017	28.4	30.02	29.07	29.16	29.16	29.1	29.35(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10	2	-40	1.46	72%	-0.04	-4.4	2.58%	0	-0.5	30	INF
23	Sep_1_2017	28.41	30.08	29.05	29.01	29.09	29.25	28.96(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	50	2	-62	1.23	72%	-0.04	-3.1	2.58%	0	-0.8	22	INF
24	Aug_31_2017	28.42	30.1	29.14	29	28.99	29.22	29.28(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	50	6	-73	1.57	72%	-0.04	-5.6	2.57%	0	-0.6	24	INF
25	Aug_30_2017	28.43	30.09	29.23	29.01	28.93	28.93	29.23(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10	4	-74	0.84	72%		-9.5	2.58%	0	-0.6	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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