Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: TWLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Twilio Inc)
TWLO latest price $30.2900 (2.47%) ($29.4000 - $30.6400) on Thu. Apr. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $30.2900(2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TWLO advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TWLO advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TWLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(64%)    ARKK(59%)    IBUY(56%)    VUG(55%)    QQQ(52%)
Factors Impacting TWLO price   TWLO will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    IPO(-6%)    TBT(-3%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.17(3.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.49(6.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.97(4.56%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $4.332b

Twilio, Inc. engages in the development of communications software, cloud-based platform, and services. Its platform consists of the following layers: engagement cloud, programmable communications cloud, and super network. The engagement cloud software addresses use cases like account security and contact centers and is a set of Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) that handles the higher-level communication logic needed for nearly every type of customer engagement. The Programmable communications cloud software is a set of APIs that enables developers to embed voice, messaging, and video capabilities into their applications. The super network is a software layer that allows customers' software to communicate with connected devices globally. The company was founded by John Wolthuis, Jeffery G. Lawson, and Evan Cooke in March 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. TWLO price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -6.03%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.89%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.76%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2017	30.29	28.97	28.49	29.17	29.2	29.8	30.29(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	150	34	24	2.48	65%	-0.2	-41.3	2.51%	0	1.1	56	0
2	Apr_12_2017	30.35	29.01	28.3	28.5	28.77	29.27	29.56(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	26	150	37	-9	3.01	65%	-0.26	-53.2	2.5%	0	0.4	53	0
3	Apr_11_2017	30.43	29.08	28.2	27.97	28.09	28.6	29.35(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	140	24	-42	3.09	65%	-0.26	-61.3	2.5%	0	0.2	50	0
4	Apr_10_2017	30.51	29.16	28.17	27.55	27.67	28.28	28.47(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	170	14	-70	3.89	63%	-0.26	-62.9	2.47%	0	-0.5	40	0
5	Apr_7_2017	30.59	29.32	28.27	27.6	27.56	27.59	28.17(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	0	5	-84	5.28	63%	-0.26	-57.8	2.46%	0	-0.8	28	0

6	Apr_6_2017	30.67	29.48	28.36	27.74	27.66	27.06	26.93(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-46	-160	-26	-107	1.63	59%	-0.32	-51.6	2.41%	0	-1.7	17	0
7	Apr_5_2017	30.77	29.7	28.59	28.08	28.11	27.54	26.93(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-50	-140	-30	-111	3.01	59%	-0.26	-48.6	2.42%	0	-2	16	0
8	Apr_4_2017	30.85	29.92	28.83	28.45	28.45	28.26	27.27(-4.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-44	-50	-23	-108	3.76	59%	-0.16	-51.3	2.43%	0	-2.1	18	0
9	Apr_3_2017	30.9	30.1	29.07	28.85	28.73	28.67	28.69(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-8	-98	1.75	55%	-0.1	-53.1	2.39%	0	-1.3	27	0
10	Mar_31_2017	30.93	30.22	29.31	29.03	28.95	28.65	28.87(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-80	-6	-89	1.69	55%	-0.06	-58.4	2.61%	0	-1.3	23	0

11	Mar_30_2017	30.95	30.28	29.51	29.1	29.06	28.79	28.62(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-70	-13	-91	2.24	55%	-0.13	-69.4	2.63%	0	-1.6	31	0
12	Mar_29_2017	30.99	30.4	29.78	29.18	29.21	29.26	28.78(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	20	-4	-84	2.2	55%	-0.06	-70.5	2.63%	0	-1.6	31	0
13	Mar_28_2017	31.01	30.58	30.03	29.26	29.25	29.34	29.27(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	20	2	-78	1.66	47%	-0.06	-71.3	2.65%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Mar_27_2017	31.03	30.7	30.21	29.33	29.23	29.15	29.63(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-30	-11	-75	1.6	47%	-0.06	-69.3	2.81%	0	-1	43	0
15	Mar_24_2017	31.05	30.85	30.45	29.64	29.52	29.17	29.19(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-100	-16	-59	1.29	47%	-0.1	-60.4	2.81%	0	-1.6	38	0

16	Mar_23_2017	31.08	31.01	30.66	30.01	30.01	29.3	29.05(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-170	-26	-41	1.48	47%	-0.19	-59.5	2.83%	0	-2.1	48	0
17	Mar_22_2017	31.14	31.15	30.9	30.48	30.49	29.87	29.17(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-29	-140	-31	-24	2.34	41%	-0.22	-60.5	2.84%	0	-2.3	40	0
18	Mar_21_2017	31.21	31.3	31.11	30.91	31.06	30.72	29.6(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-60	-15	-9	3.96	53%	-0.13	-64.4	3.02%	0	-2.3	36	0
19	Mar_20_2017	31.25	31.43	31.25	31.2	31.24	31.12	31.2(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-20	-8	-2	1.64	56%	-0.16	-81.2	3.58%	0	-0.4	47	0
20	Mar_17_2017	31.3	31.48	31.22	31.38	31.32	31.39	31.03(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	10	-2	-2	4.48	56%	-0.19	-70	3.56%	0	-0.7	41	0

21	Mar_16_2017	31.36	31.58	31.12	31.42	31.48	31.37	31.41(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-20	3	-11	2.91	56%	-0.25	-58.9	3.59%	0	-0.2	45	0
22	Mar_15_2017	31.44	31.67	31.07	31.4	31.4	31.25	31.3(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-30	-4	-18	1.89	56%	-0.25	-44	3.59%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Mar_14_2017	31.52	31.78	31.16	31.35	31.45	31.59	31.07(-3.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	40	3	-16	1.66	56%	-0.32	-28.7	3.59%	0	-0.8	45	0
24	Mar_13_2017	31.62	31.78	31.22	31.29	31.32	31.55	32.07(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	50	10	-17	2.4	56%	-0.28	-13.7	3.57%	0	0.1	50	0
25	Mar_10_2017	31.71	31.96	31.25	31.05	31.08	31.31	31.23(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	50	10	-23	1.6	56%		-17.4	3.52%	0	-0.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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