Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: TVIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN)
TVIX latest price $146500.0000 (3.9%) ($138000.0000 - $153000.0000) on Wed. Aug. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.84% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $146500.0000(3.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TVIX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TVIX advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TVIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(63%)    TLT(31%)    SHY(20%)    IGOV(12%)    IYT(11%)
Factors Impacting TVIX price   TVIX will decline at least -3.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-79%)    SPY(-79%)    QQQ(-78%)    XLY(-77%)    XLK(-76%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.92% (StdDev 7.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $146364.31(-0.09%)
5 Day Moving Average   $141600(3.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142204.95(3.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144783.84(1.19%)
To recent high   -45.3%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. TVIX is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. TVIX price fluctuates within 6.01% (three month std-dev: 7.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2015	230019.13	144783.84	142204.95	141600			146500(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1	-10000	0	4	0	45%	-1.22	-23.1	7.84%	0	0.2	53	0
2	Aug_18_2015	232860.97	144734.53	141254.95	141350			141000(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1	-10000	-1	-1	0	44%	-1.14	-39.5	7.83%	0	-0.4	47	0
3	Aug_17_2015	235554.85	145058.84	141035.71	142100			137500(-2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	2	-3	0	44%	-1.25	-52.7	7.86%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Aug_14_2015	238539.54	145704.97	141203.3	141250			141500(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	-1	-24	0	43%	-1.26	-71.9	7.86%	0	-0.5	29	0
5	Aug_13_2015	241585.46	146190.75	141285.16	141700			141500(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0	43%	-1.28	-104.5	7.87%	0	-0.5	42	0

6	Aug_12_2015	244707.91	146827.35	141414.29	142850			145250(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	3	-30	0	43%	-1.1	-123.7	7.87%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Aug_11_2015	247434.95	148268.78	141351.65	141200			144750(8.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	2	-36	0	44%	-1.13	-136.1	7.87%	0	-0.3	52	0
8	Aug_10_2015	250269.13	149811.6	141773.63	139950			133250(-7.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-2	-40	0	42%	-1.21	-134	7.81%	0	-1.2	45	0
9	Aug_7_2015	253322.7	152160.08	145794.51	141000			143750(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	0	-25	0	41%	-1.21	-102.5	7.84%	0	-0.4	48	0
10	Aug_6_2015	256422.19	155907.18	147222.53	140750			147250(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	2	-22	0	41%	-1.22	-69.1	7.84%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	Aug_5_2015	259588.01	161405.94	147413.19	139900			137000(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-3	-29	0	41%	-1.38	-53.2	7.79%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Aug_4_2015	263215.56	167319.48	148441.76	141600			138500(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-39	0	41%	-1.39	-49.6	7.82%	0	-0.7	32	0
13	Aug_3_2015	266929.85	171294.48	149456.59	143950			138500(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-13	-49	0	41%	-1.43	-48.3	7.82%	0	-0.8	31	0
14	Jul_31_2015	270797.19	176421.96	150738.46	151400			142500(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-5	-40	0	40%	-1.34	-39.2	7.88%	0	-0.8	31	0
15	Jul_30_2015	274470.66	180847.79	151709.89	154700			143000(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0	40%	-1.51	-32.7	7.92%	0	-0.9	23	0

16	Jul_29_2015	278674.74	184165.47	152937.36	155950			145500(-3.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-25	-10000	-0	-98	0	41%	-1.41	-30.4	7.94%	0	-0.9	19	0
17	Jul_28_2015	282649.23	188844.75	155937.36	156000			150250(-14.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-10000	1	-125	0	40%	-1.27	-24.2	7.97%	0	-0.9	21	0
18	Jul_27_2015	286294.64	193467.82	158586.81	155400			175750(10.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-10000	9	-138	0	43%	-1.23	-19.1	7.81%	0	-0.4	41	0
19	Jul_24_2015	289858.42	193967.27	158732.42	150250			159000(6.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-41	-10000	3	-171	0	41%	-1.17	-24.6	7.73%	0	-0.8	31	0
20	Jul_23_2015	293286.99	195505.52	164710.44	148700			149250(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-10000	-2	-177	0	41%	-1.21	-27.8	7.68%	0	-1.1	32	0

21	Jul_22_2015	296891.58	197456.35	175756.59	149750			145750(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-10	-157	0	41%	-1.23	-31.5	7.67%	0	-1.3	39	0
22	Jul_21_2015	300582.91	199351.52	187004.95	156000			147250(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-10	-137	0	41%	-1.18	-33	7.67%	0	-1.4	35	0
23	Jul_20_2015	304156.89	201739.65	194467.58	162200			150000(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-10	-131	0	40%	-1.23	-34.6	7.67%	0	-1.4	34	0
24	Jul_17_2015	307932.4	204722.68	204011.54	168500			151250(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-42	-10000	-21	-106	0	41%	-1.21	-32.9	7.71%	0	-1.6	51	0
25	Jul_16_2015	311695.15	207497.83	212541.76	183300			154500(-12.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-10000	-28	-69	0	41%		-24	7.76%	0	-1.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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