Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Tyson Foods Inc. Class A)
TSN latest price $24.1300 (0.5%) ($23.8900 - $24.3100) on Tue. Feb. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $24.1300(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSN advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(42%)    PEJ(38%)    XAR(38%)    IWM(37%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting TSN price   TSN will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-7%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(3%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.95(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.75(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.11(4.41%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $8.621b

Tyson Foods, Inc. engages in the production of processed food. It operates through the following segments: Chicken, Beef, Pork, and Prepared Foods. The Chicken segment involves in domestic operations related to raising and processing live chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, as well as sales from allied products. The Beef segment includes operations related to processing live fed cattle and fabricating dressed beef carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts and case-ready products. The Pork segment comprises operations related to processing live market hogs and fabricating pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal cuts and case-ready products. The Prepared Foods segment manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products and logistic operations to move products through the supply chain. The company was founded by John W. Tyson in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, AR.

$. TSN price fluctuates within 3.16% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2013	19.37	23.11	23.75	23.95			24.13(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	8	171	4.79	100%	0.57	106.3	1.1%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Feb_15_2013	19.26	22.99	23.63	23.85			24.01(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	2	112	5.14	100%	0.42	112.1	1.71%	0	1.4	76	0
3	Feb_14_2013	19.18	22.86	23.51	23.8			24.22(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	4	117	4.73	92%	0.42	112.6	1.7%	0	1.7	75	0
4	Feb_13_2013	19.1	22.67	23.31	23.71			23.86(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	4	108	4.46	92%	0.47	99.7	1.73%	0	1.4	74	0
5	Feb_12_2013	19.01	22.5	23.14	23.62			23.51(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	4	102	4.22	92%	0.37	90	1.73%	0	1.1	71	0

6	Feb_11_2013	18.94	22.36	23.04	23.53			23.64(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	8	103	2.7	92%	0.42	84.1	1.73%	0	1.3	75	0
7	Feb_8_2013	18.86	22.19	22.91	23.37			23.78(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	10	99	5.68	86%	0.37	77.2	1.72%	0	1.5	81	0
8	Feb_7_2013	18.79	22.01	22.77	23.17			23.77(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	16	102	9.34	86%	0.43	70.7	1.75%	0	1.7	85	0
9	Feb_6_2013	18.71	21.84	22.61	22.84			23.39(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	12	100	4.76	86%	0.38	65.7	1.76%	0	1.5	87	0
10	Feb_5_2013	18.64	21.68	22.49	22.6			23.06(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	6	106	3.69	86%	0.43	65	1.75%	0	1.4	87	0

11	Feb_4_2013	18.56	21.54	22.4	22.49			22.83(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	6	123	6.75	86%	0.32	68.7	1.76%	0	1.3	85	0
12	Feb_1_2013	18.5	21.41	22.3	22.38			22.8(3.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	-10000	4	138	8.43	87%	0.38	72.4	1.76%	0	1.4	85	0
13	Jan_31_2013	18.43	21.29	22.15	22.31			22.12(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	37	-10000	-1	152	5.96	86%	0.33	78.5	1.74%	0	0.9	84	0
14	Jan_30_2013	18.37	21.18	22	22.34			22.21(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	-0	162	6.01	86%	0.38	81.7	1.75%	0	1.1	82	0
15	Jan_29_2013	18.3	21.04	21.83	22.35			22.5(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-10000	4	172	7.73	86%	0.38	83.7	1.74%	0	1.6	87	0

16	Jan_28_2013	18.23	20.88	21.63	22.28			22.26(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-10000	4	173	3.66	86%	0.33	78.9	1.76%	0	1.5	87	0
17	Jan_25_2013	18.17	20.73	21.44	22.2			22.44(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	12	174	2.43	86%	0.44	75.4	1.75%	0	1.8	86	0
18	Jan_24_2013	18.09	20.57	21.21	21.96			22.3(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	20	156	2.5	86%	0.39	69.1	1.75%	0	1.9	85	0
19	Jan_23_2013	18.02	20.43	21	21.59			22.27(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	20	128	5	78%	0.33	60.6	1.76%	0	2.1	87	0
20	Jan_22_2013	17.96	20.28	20.8	21.22			22.15(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	40	-10000	18	107	5.03	78%	0.39	53.2	1.81%	0	2.4	90	0

21	Jan_18_2013	17.89	20.15	20.6	20.88			21.85(2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	36	-10000	17	93	13.5	78%	0.39	50.2	1.81%	0	2.6	90	0
22	Jan_17_2013	17.82	20.03	20.43	20.57			21.23(3.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	29	-10000	12	81	7.87	76%	0.34	45.8	1.78%	0	2.3	81	0
23	Jan_16_2013	17.76	19.96	20.33	20.36			20.46(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	2	76	1.35	72%	0.28	41.8	1.73%	0	1.1	77	0
24	Jan_15_2013	17.71	19.92	20.29	20.32			20.41(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	1	81	1.44	72%	0.34	42.1	1.73%	0	1.1	66	0
25	Jan_14_2013	17.65	19.88	20.19	20.31			20.45(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	3	81	1.83	72%		43.7	1.73%	0	1.4	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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