Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Tyson Foods Inc. Class A)
TSN latest price $23.7400 (1.5%) ($23.5200 - $23.9700) on Thu. Jul. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $23.7400(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSN advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(13%)    FXI(12%)    SPY(12%)    VWO(12%)    EWJ(11%)
Factors Impacting TSN price   TSN will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-4%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-2%)    USO(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.66(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.55(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.45(1.24%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $8.481b

Tyson Foods, Inc. engages in the production of processed food. It operates through the following segments: Chicken, Beef, Pork, and Prepared Foods. The Chicken segment involves in domestic operations related to raising and processing live chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, as well as sales from allied products. The Beef segment includes operations related to processing live fed cattle and fabricating dressed beef carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts and case-ready products. The Pork segment comprises operations related to processing live market hogs and fabricating pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal cuts and case-ready products. The Prepared Foods segment manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products and logistic operations to move products through the supply chain. The company was founded by John W. Tyson in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, AR.

$. TSN price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2007	21.17	23.45	23.55	23.66			23.74(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	2	25	1.42	74%	0.24	78.1	1.38%	0	1	59	0
2	Jul_18_2007	21.12	23.42	23.54	23.62			23.39(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	10	-10000	2	33	1.46	73%	0.28	89.4	1.38%	0	-0.1	58	0
3	Jul_17_2007	21.06	23.4	23.57	23.58			23.47(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	2	37	2.25	69%	0.24	102.2	1.38%	0	0.2	54	0
4	Jul_16_2007	21.01	23.38	23.56	23.54			23.78(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	4	38	2	71%	0.24	114.9	1.4%	0	1.2	62	0
5	Jul_13_2007	20.96	23.32	23.49	23.48			23.91(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	3	31	1.54	72%	0.24	111.7	1.42%	0	1.6	65	0

6	Jul_12_2007	20.91	23.22	23.42	23.43			23.56(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-10000	-1	12	3.08	71%	0.24	87.4	1.42%	0	0.7	41	0
7	Jul_11_2007	20.86	23.14	23.42	23.45			23.2(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-7	12	1.25	71%	0.19	76	1.41%	0	0.1	54	0
8	Jul_10_2007	20.82	23.07	23.37	23.56			23.25(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-1	30	2.44	71%	0.14	64	1.42%	0	0.3	55	0
9	Jul_9_2007	20.79	23.01	23.36	23.57			23.47(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	5	35	1.99	71%	0.19	52.2	1.41%	0	0.7	56	0
10	Jul_6_2007	20.75	22.93	23.32	23.48			23.68(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	5	36	1.86	71%	0.24	43.5	1.41%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Jul_5_2007	20.7	22.83	23.35	23.4			23.65(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	2.18	71%	0.34	35.3	1.42%	0	1.1	69	0
12	Jul_3_2007	20.63	22.75	23.28	23.27			23.73(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	6	71	1.37	71%	0.29	32.7	1.41%	0	1.4	69	0
13	Jul_2_2007	20.57	22.69	23.21	23.18			23.32(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	3	85	1.97	70%	0.24	31.3	1.4%	0	1	69	0
14	Jun_29_2007	20.52	22.66	23.18	23.18			23.04(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	0	102	1.97	72%	0.24	34.8	1.42%	0	0.6	66	0
15	Jun_28_2007	20.47	22.62	23.14	23.13			23.24(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	21	-10000	-10	113	1.29	72%	0.24	39.9	1.42%	0	1	68	0

16	Jun_27_2007	20.42	22.57	23.01	23.3			23.03(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	36	-10000	1	142	2.53	72%	0.25	50.9	1.43%	0	0.7	68	0
17	Jun_26_2007	20.37	22.53	22.91	23.29			23.25(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	3	142	1.77	72%	0.25	55.6	1.42%	0	1.2	60	0
18	Jun_25_2007	20.32	22.49	22.76	23.29			23.07(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-10000	0	122	1.92	72%	0.25	57.6	1.42%	0	1	54	0
19	Jun_22_2007	20.27	22.44	22.64	23.24			23.07(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	7	110	4.23	74%	0.3	59.6	1.42%	0	1.1	51	0
20	Jun_21_2007	20.21	22.37	22.51	23.13			24.08(4.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	49	-10000	29	107	5.8	80%	0.3	50.7	1.34%	0	2.9	67	0

21	Jun_20_2007	20.15	22.26	22.26	22.69			23(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	16	46	2.51	78%	0.3	37.1	1.22%	0	1.6	58	0
22	Jun_19_2007	20.09	22.19	22.17	22.47			22.96(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	19	20	3.25	78%	0.3	23.7	1.23%	0	1.8	58	0
23	Jun_18_2007	20.03	22.14	22.12	22.21			23.08(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	12	-10000	19	-9	3.61	78%	0.3	12.5	1.23%	0	2.4	56	0
24	Jun_15_2007	19.97	22.09	22.08	21.95			22.53(3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	1	-10000	11	-31	3.42	78%	0.3	-2.1	1.21%	0	1.4	56	0
25	Jun_14_2007	19.91	22.07	22.04	21.81			21.86(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	3	-44	1.75	76%		-7.9	1.17%	0	-0.7	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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