Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: TSN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Tyson Foods Inc. Class A)
TSN latest price $15.1600 (-3.25%) ($15.1300 - $15.8600) on Wed. Nov. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $15.1600(-3.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSN advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSN advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(13%)    FXI(12%)    SPY(12%)    VWO(12%)    EWJ(11%)
Factors Impacting TSN price   TSN will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-4%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(-2%)    USO(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.89(1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.62(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.53(4.34%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $5.416b

Tyson Foods, Inc. engages in the production of processed food. It operates through the following segments: Chicken, Beef, Pork, and Prepared Foods. The Chicken segment involves in domestic operations related to raising and processing live chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, as well as sales from allied products. The Beef segment includes operations related to processing live fed cattle and fabricating dressed beef carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts and case-ready products. The Pork segment comprises operations related to processing live market hogs and fabricating pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal cuts and case-ready products. The Prepared Foods segment manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products and logistic operations to move products through the supply chain. The company was founded by John W. Tyson in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, AR.

$. TSN price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2006	14.73	14.53	14.62	14.89			15.16(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	15	79	7.76	75%	0.07	-1.2	1.54%	0	1.8	64	0
2	Nov_14_2006	14.72	14.52	14.53	14.72			15.67(4.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	33	-10000	24	61	10.06	84%	0.07	-14.5	1.47%	0	3.3	76	0
3	Nov_13_2006	14.71	14.48	14.4	14.47			14.93(4.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	16	-10000	13	23	4.44	80%	0	-46.1	1.35%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Nov_10_2006	14.71	14.47	14.4	14.34			14.35(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	3	-3	2.57	76%	-0.07	-57.7	1.27%	0	-0.4	43	0
5	Nov_9_2006	14.72	14.51	14.4	14.31			14.36(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	2	-15	2.38	76%	0	-61	1.28%	0	-0.5	42	0

6	Nov_8_2006	14.72	14.54	14.4	14.29			14.28(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-2	-36	2.22	76%	0	-66	1.28%	0	-0.9	30	0
7	Nov_7_2006	14.72	14.57	14.35	14.29			14.45(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	0	-51	3.51	76%	-0.07	-68.5	1.27%	0	-0.4	30	0
8	Nov_6_2006	14.73	14.6	14.34	14.31			14.28(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-5	-74	1.57	76%	0	-73.5	1.28%	0	-1	22	0
9	Nov_3_2006	14.73	14.64	14.36	14.36			14.2(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-21	-10000	-2	-78	2.49	67%	0	-76	1.29%	0	-1.3	19	0
10	Nov_2_2006	14.73	14.69	14.4	14.38			14.24(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-25	-10000	-3	-89	1.88	67%	-0.07	-81.4	1.32%	0	-1.3	18	0

11	Nov_1_2006	14.74	14.74	14.45	14.41			14.37(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	-10000	1	-89	1.76	59%	0	-90.5	1.33%	0	-1.1	27	0
12	Oct_31_2006	14.74	14.79	14.51	14.4			14.45(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	-10000	3	-86	2.39	53%	-0.07	-101.2	1.37%	0	-0.9	32	0
13	Oct_30_2006	14.75	14.84	14.56	14.4			14.53(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	0	-91	2.01	53%	-0.07	-108.4	1.41%	0	-0.8	31	0
14	Oct_27_2006	14.76	14.89	14.6	14.37			14.33(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-27	-10000	-4	-96	2.26	58%	-0.07	-101	1.45%	0	-1.3	20	0
15	Oct_26_2006	14.77	14.97	14.68	14.41			14.35(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-9	-94	2.4	58%	-0.07	-93.9	1.46%	0	-1.3	18	0

16	Oct_25_2006	14.78	15.05	14.75	14.51			14.34(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-12	-89	2.07	58%	-0.07	-76.3	1.46%	0	-1.3	16	0
17	Oct_24_2006	14.79	15.16	14.81	14.64			14.32(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-30	-10000	-13	-80	2.5	58%	-0.14	-60.7	1.47%	0	-1.4	15	0
18	Oct_23_2006	14.81	15.27	14.88	14.78			14.51(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-24	-10000	-8	-70	2.03	58%	-0.07	-52.1	1.48%	0	-1.3	15	0
19	Oct_20_2006	14.82	15.35	14.94	14.87			14.55(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-25	-10000	-10	-71	2.86	52%	-0.13	-49	1.52%	0	-1.4	12	0
20	Oct_19_2006	14.84	15.42	15.01	14.98			14.84(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-20	-10000	-3	-70	4.58	56%	-0.07	-46	1.5%	0	-1.1	13	0

21	Oct_18_2006	14.85	15.48	15.05	15.01			14.99(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	-10000	1	-83	2.19	56%	-0.07	-45.8	1.52%	0	-0.9	12	0
22	Oct_17_2006	14.86	15.52	15.08	15.01			15(0.13%)	BT	CloseShort	10	0	-29	-10000	0	-114	1.73	56%	0	-41.5	1.52%	0	-1	9	0
23	Oct_16_2006	14.86	15.58	15.13	15			14.98(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-37	-10000	-3	-140	1.73	56%	-0.07	-33.3	1.53%	0	-1.2	8	0
24	Oct_13_2006	14.87	15.63	15.2	15.03			15.1(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-2	-146	1.36	47%	-0.07	-23.8	1.55%	0	-1.1	29	0
25	Oct_12_2006	14.88	15.68	15.27	15.05			14.99(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-10000	-5	-145	1.38	47%		-17	1.59%	0	-1.4	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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