Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 18, 2022

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $82.2700 (0.97%) ($81.0000 - $82.8400) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.83% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $82.2700(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 14.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VUG(64%)    VT(62%)    VWO(57%)    XLY(54%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -1.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-28%)    TBT(-12%)    VXX(-10%)    EDOC(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.415% (StdDev 2.83%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.29(3.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.82(11.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.77(21.4%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   36.5%
Market Cap   $426.658b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 11.35% (three month std-dev: 2.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.94%(44%) Average negative next day return: -3.16%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 6.84%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -5.77%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 8.65%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.58%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2022	77.2	67.77	73.82	79.29	81.01	81.41	82.27(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	127	100	60	326	18.55	53%	0.01	58.1	2.83%	1.2	1.9	87	2.1
2	Nov_17_2022	77.19	66.78	71.84	77.6	78.71	80.24	81.48(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	99	180	33	298	24.23	53%	-0.03	57.5	2.83%	0.8	2.1	85	2.4
3	Nov_16_2022	77.21	65.81	69.71	75.48	76.9	80.6	79.45(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	164	390	118	302	23.97	53%	-0.06	53.1	2.81%	0.4	2.3	85	2.5
4	Nov_15_2022	77.26	64.95	67.78	72.59	74.23	77.17	80.46(10.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	174	350	144	262	48.55	53%	-0.08	45.4	2.81%	1.3	3	88	1.8
5	Nov_14_2022	77.32	64.03	65.79	69.5	70.34	73.19	72.8(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	117	320	87	207	10.92	46%	-0.17	38.8	2.48%	0.5	2.3	82	2.3

6	Nov_11_2022	77.45	63.57	64.62	67.49	68.32	71.3	73.83(4.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	151	340	138	188	15.5	46%	-0.13	24.5	2.48%	1.3	3.2	85	2.6
7	Nov_10_2022	77.55	63.02	63.35	65.22	65.6	67.49	70.84(8.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	100	220	94	118	21.35	46%	-0.19	-4.4	2.43%	1.8	3.2	67	0.9
8	Nov_9_2022	77.7	62.74	62.29	63.11	63.77	65.33	65(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	66	200	69	55	15.06	37%	-0.28	-60.2	2.2%	0.5	1.3	54	-0.8
9	Nov_8_2022	77.92	62.68	61.85	62.21	62.37	63.72	65.02(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	45	160	55	16	14.07	37%	-0.17	-104.2	2.23%	1.3	1.4	53	-1.2
10	Nov_7_2022	78.05	62.58	61.43	61.52	61.54	62.21	62.76(0.45%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	18	80	31	-21	8.5	33%	-0.29	-123.7	2.18%	1.4	0.1	43	-0.2

11	Nov_4_2022	78.28	62.79	61.27	61.28	61.52	61.01	62.48(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-50	6	-52	12.78	33%	-0.28	-103.7	2.19%	1.1	-0.1	35	-0.6
12	Nov_3_2022	78.5	63.12	61.36	61.19	61.45	60.88	60.28(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-50	-33	-73	11.03	29%	-0.38	-73.4	2.15%	-1.1	-0.8	29	0.5
13	Nov_2_2022	78.8	63.79	61.68	61.32	61.72	62.04	60.52(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-18	60	-1	-69	16.54	29%	-0.34	-56.9	2.16%	-1.8	-0.8	22	0.5
14	Nov_1_2022	79.07	64.46	61.99	61.39	61.71	62.03	61.58(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	50	21	-62	11.55	28%	-0.3	-51.1	2.15%	0.2	-0.7	41	1.2
15	Oct_31_2022	79.31	64.99	62.19	61.3	61.34	61.41	61.55(-0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	10	5	-71	10.8	28%	-0.35	-52.2	2.16%	0.6	-0.8	44	2.2

16	Oct_28_2022	79.59	65.38	62.51	61.25	61.07	61.38	62.01(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	30	-1	-85	11.96	28%	-0.36	-57.3	2.16%	0.7	-0.8	34	1.4
17	Oct_27_2022	79.88	65.71	62.69	61.59	60.96	61.27	60.95(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	0	-1	-101	12.91	32%	-0.42	-61.3	2.15%	-0.1	-1.1	26	1.8
18	Oct_26_2022	80.22	66.14	63.24	62.12	61.3	60.76	60.84(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-43	-100	-16	-122	13.96	32%	-0.41	-64.5	2.22%	-0.4	-1.3	20	1.3
19	Oct_25_2022	80.55	66.71	63.59	62.68	62.05	60.64	61.14(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-72	-190	-43	-157	21.61	32%	-0.41	-66.7	2.23%	-0.5	-1.3	21	1.4
20	Oct_24_2022	80.88	67.3	63.86	63.2	62.73	61.85	61.29(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-91	-120	-59	-187	24.99	32%	-0.41	-70.3	2.23%	-0.9	-1.4	27	1.1

21	Oct_21_2022	81.21	67.9	64.47	63.92	63.69	63.46	63.75(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-40	-11	-164	13.37	34%	-0.4	-73	2.19%	-0.1	-1	40	0.9
22	Oct_20_2022	81.54	68.4	65.04	63.95	64.17	63.62	63.58(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-50	-21	-164	11.29	34%	-0.39	-75.2	2.2%	-0.1	-1.1	42	1.4
23	Oct_19_2022	81.86	68.99	66.06	64.56	64.58	63.93	63.66(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-70	-27	-137	12.31	37%	-0.39	-71.8	2.21%	-0.6	-1.2	41	0.3
24	Oct_18_2022	82.18	69.66	67.09	64.65	65.14	64.72	63.71(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-20	-8	-118	16.63	37%	-0.23	-72	2.25%	-1.4	-1.3	36	0.6
25	Oct_17_2022	82.37	70.37	67.99	64.6	64.94	65.23	64.89(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	50	-11	-121	11.27	37%		-72.8	2.26%	-0.5	-1.2	36	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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