Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TSM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $44.9000 (-14.03%) ($44.9000 - $48.3500) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.19% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $44.9000(-14.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VUG(67%)    VT(66%)    VWO(66%)    XLY(62%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -1.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-47%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-20%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.595% (StdDev 3.19%)
Hourly BBV -1.8 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.56(-7.44%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $53.8
5 Day Moving Average   $50.51(-11.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.53(-14.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.8(-16.54%)
To recent high   -25.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $232.855b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 3.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(29%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.38%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.41%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 8.72%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.82%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2020	55.57	53.8	52.53	50.51	49.94	48.78	44.9(-14.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-70	-200	-61	-96	16.44	39%	-0.13	-67.8	3.19%	-1.8	-3.1	39	-2.7
2	Mar_13_2020	55.64	54.5	53.71	51.9	51.88	50.46	52.23(7.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-190	-22	-57	14.52	44%	0.04	-70.3	2.66%	0.4	-1	48	-1.9
3	Mar_12_2020	55.62	54.84	53.84	52.47	52.04	51.11	48.69(-6.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-81	-150	-81	-80	15.9	43%	-0.04	-57.7	2.48%	-1.5	-2.6	37	-2.6
4	Mar_11_2020	55.64	55.4	54.37	53.88	53.34	53.29	52.24(-4.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-40	-18	-34	14.47	48%	0.04	-44.1	2.42%	-1.4	-1.5	41	-2.2
5	Mar_10_2020	55.62	55.73	54.66	54.84	54.13	52.98	54.51(5.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-190	-18	-21	11.7	50%	0.07	-30.2	2.38%	1.1	-0.6	42	-2

6	Mar_9_2020	55.58	55.85	54.61	54.92	54.77	53.39	51.83(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-61	-180	-65	-49	13.78	47%	0.05	-24.7	2.29%	-1.4	-2	40	-2.7
7	Mar_6_2020	55.55	56.09	54.88	55.75	55.59	55.28	55.07(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-50	-16	-26	12.97	50%	0.11	-10.1	2.16%	-0.8	-0.6	41	-2.3
8	Mar_5_2020	55.49	56.24	54.92	55.39	55.69	56.15	55.73(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	70	26	-37	10	52%	0.09	-10	2.16%	-0.3	-0.3	40	-2.1
9	Mar_4_2020	55.44	56.34	54.92	54.9	54.83	55.91	57.08(4.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	130	32	-62	9.81	53%	0.13	-15.6	2.16%	1.8	0.4	41	-1.6
10	Mar_3_2020	55.37	56.35	54.97	54.49	54.18	55.23	54.88(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	120	41	-78	14.66	51%	0.11	-20.6	2.1%	0.4	-0.8	38	-2.3

11	Mar_2_2020	55.31	56.37	55.09	54.29	54.04	53.74	55.98(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-50	23	-98	13.79	51%	0.11	-24.6	2.08%	1.5	-0.2	47	-1.9
12	Feb_28_2020	55.25	56.28	55.27	53.92	53.93	53.13	53.29(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-66	-100	-44	-133	13.26	46%	0.09	-37.7	1.98%	-0.5	-1.5	43	-2.8
13	Feb_27_2020	55.2	56.43	55.86	54.38	54.3	54.33	53.29(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-0	-30	-109	11.71	46%	0.09	-37.8	1.99%	-2	-1.7	37	-3.1
14	Feb_26_2020	55.15	56.64	56.49	55.02	54.86	54.73	55.03(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-30	-4	-75	10.93	49%	0.13	-34.3	1.95%	1	-0.9	42	-2.4
15	Feb_25_2020	55.08	56.75	56.85	55.54	55.29	54.26	53.86(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-140	-38	-70	12.66	48%	0.11	-29.6	1.93%	-1	-1.7	39	-3.2

16	Feb_24_2020	55.02	56.84	57.21	56	56	54.99	54.12(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-57	-130	-58	-54	10	48%	0.13	-33	1.95%	-1.1	-1.7	52	-3.1
17	Feb_21_2020	54.95	57.03	57.46	56.82	56.55	56.33	55.59(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-40	-40	-12	6.82	50%	0.16	-24	1.92%	-1.2	-1	59	-0.8
18	Feb_20_2020	54.86	57.13	57.72	57.56	57.16	57	56.48(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-40	-16	32	7.19	50%	0.2	-12.9	1.91%	-0.4	-0.5	54	0.4
19	Feb_19_2020	54.75	57.22	57.72	58.19	57.83	56.77	57.64(2.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-150	-26	53	7.86	52%	0.2	-6.8	1.89%	0.4	0.3	52	1
20	Feb_18_2020	54.64	57.24	57.88	58.4	58.31	57.32	56.18(-3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-27	-120	-54	53	10.98	50%	0.35	-8.7	1.86%	-1.4	-0.7	49	0.8

21	Feb_14_2020	54.45	57.36	57.79	58.57	58.87	58.89	58.19(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	20	4	84	6.93	54%	0.22	-6.3	1.8%	-1.6	0.6	60	0.9
22	Feb_13_2020	54.33	57.38	57.39	58.17	58.41	59.3	59.33(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	120	28	62	6.46	57%	0.28	-15.1	1.79%	0.3	1.3	54	0.6
23	Feb_12_2020	54.18	57.38	57.03	57.91	57.77	58.86	59.63(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	120	50	54	5.96	57%	0.3	-22.1	1.79%	1.2	1.6	55	1
24	Feb_11_2020	54.02	57.32	56.75	57.56	57.41	57.52	58.66(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	10	30	29	6.52	57%	0.28	-21.9	1.79%	1.3	0.9	50	0.1
25	Feb_10_2020	53.87	57.37	56.57	57.34	57.29	56.67	57.02(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-80	-11	-1	4.28	55%		-17.5	1.75%	-0.1	-0.2	46	0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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