Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $36.9248 (1.11%) ($36.3695 - $37.0117) on Thu. Sep. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $36.9248(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VWO(67%)    VT(66%)    VUG(66%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.71(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.53(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.16(2.12%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $191.495b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2017	34.53	36.16	36.53	36.71			36.92(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	10	73	8.46	62%	0.15	96.2	0.98%	0	1.6	66	0
2	Sep_20_2017	34.48	36.07	36.46	36.54			36.52(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	3	64	7.96	61%	0.15	90.6	0.99%	0	1	63	0
3	Sep_19_2017	34.43	36.01	36.41	36.49			36.98(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	5	68	6.56	65%	0.17	86.5	0.97%	0	2	72	0
4	Sep_18_2017	34.37	35.9	36.27	36.4			36.76(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	2	62	6.18	65%	0.15	80.1	0.97%	0	1.8	71	0
5	Sep_15_2017	34.32	35.8	36.19	36.36			36.36(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	2	64	7.25	65%	0.18	71	0.98%	0	1.1	65	0

6	Sep_14_2017	34.26	35.71	36.12	36.33			36.09(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-2	63	5.8	65%	0.15	68.8	0.98%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Sep_13_2017	34.21	35.66	36.08	36.36			36.24(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	3	75	4.98	65%	0.15	68.8	0.98%	0	1	70	0
8	Sep_12_2017	34.16	35.61	36.02	36.31			36.56(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	11	81	3.52	61%	0.18	66.2	0.97%	0	1.7	79	0
9	Sep_11_2017	34.1	35.52	35.92	36.11			36.54(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	24	-10000	7	73	6.92	61%	0.18	53.3	0.99%	0	1.9	84	0
10	Sep_8_2017	34.04	35.43	35.82	35.99			36.21(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	5	73	5.58	57%	0.21	52.9	1.05%	0	1.6	83	0

11	Sep_7_2017	33.97	35.33	35.75	35.89			36.25(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	6	80	3.6	57%	0.18	40.7	1.06%	0	1.7	84	0
12	Sep_6_2017	33.91	35.27	35.65	35.77			35.99(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	4	73	4.19	57%	0.21	41.9	1.06%	0	1.5	65	0
13	Sep_5_2017	33.84	35.24	35.58	35.7			35.58(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	1	70	7.12	55%	0.15	46.9	1.05%	0	0.8	58	0
14	Sep_1_2017	33.79	35.23	35.51	35.68			35.94(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	4	70	4.1	58%	0.18	53.9	1.04%	0	1.6	71	0
15	Aug_31_2017	33.73	35.17	35.38	35.61			35.7(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	2	60	4.29	56%	0.18	53.6	1.05%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Aug_30_2017	33.67	35.12	35.27	35.58			35.66(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	3	65	2.84	56%	0.15	50	1.06%	0	1.3	75	0
17	Aug_29_2017	33.62	35.07	35.21	35.52			35.61(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	4	59	3	56%	0.15	46.2	1.07%	0	1.3	54	0
18	Aug_28_2017	33.57	35.03	35.16	35.45			35.51(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	8	51	2.2	56%	0.15	43.2	1.07%	0	1.2	50	0
19	Aug_25_2017	33.52	34.99	35.09	35.29			35.58(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	29	2.98	56%	0.12	30.3	1.07%	0	1.6	49	0
20	Aug_24_2017	33.48	34.94	35.01	35.1			35.56(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	11	14	4.54	56%	0.15	17.5	1.07%	0	1.7	57	0

21	Aug_23_2017	33.43	34.91	34.87	34.9			35.32(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	2	-14	2.96	56%	0.15	3.2	1.07%	0	1.2	58	0
22	Aug_22_2017	33.38	34.89	34.85	34.86			35.26(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	1	-13	3.2	56%	0.12	-3.3	1.07%	0	1.2	54	0
23	Aug_21_2017	33.34	34.86	34.86	34.84			34.74(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-7	3.59	53%	0.12	-1.2	1.06%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Aug_18_2017	33.3	34.87	34.93	34.85			34.63(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-3	6	3.69	55%	0.09	3.4	1.06%	0	-0.8	50	0
25	Aug_17_2017	33.27	34.88	34.95	34.9			34.56(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	7	-10000	4	16	3.32	53%		3.5	1.07%	0	-1.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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