Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $30.1905 (-0.8%) ($30.0399 - $30.3129) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $30.1905(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VWO(67%)    VT(66%)    VUG(66%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.28(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.7(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.44(2.55%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $156.57b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2017	28.51	29.44	29.7	30.28			30.19(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	8	114	5.3	65%	0.07	86	1.22%	0	1.3	60	0
2	Feb_21_2017	28.49	29.38	29.56	30.14			30.44(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	99	5.48	65%	0.04	91.8	1.21%	0	1.9	65	0
3	Feb_17_2017	28.48	29.29	29.42	30.02			30.44(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	17	89	7.52	65%	0.07	93.3	1.2%	0	2	60	0
4	Feb_16_2017	28.46	29.18	29.28	29.71			30.43(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	-10000	22	58	13.2	67%	0.07	85.1	1.22%	0	2.2	59	0
5	Feb_15_2017	28.44	29.05	29.12	29.31			29.89(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	15	13	4.58	65%	0.04	64.6	1.23%	0	1.5	56	0

6	Feb_14_2017	28.43	28.95	29.05	29.05			29.49(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	9	-17	5.21	57%	0.07	46.1	1.23%	0	1	49	0
7	Feb_13_2017	28.41	28.87	29	28.89			29.83(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	8	-29	10.2	57%	0.04	35.6	1.31%	0	1.7	60	0
8	Feb_10_2017	28.4	28.76	28.94	28.74			28.91(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-3	-38	6.75	49%	0	26.7	1.26%	0	0.3	57	0
9	Feb_9_2017	28.4	28.76	28.99	28.79			28.44(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-6	-18	8.55	43%	0	23.1	1.33%	0	-0.4	56	0
10	Feb_8_2017	28.4	28.7	29.08	28.9			28.55(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-7	10	7.78	43%	0.04	34.3	1.37%	0	-0.2	64	0

11	Feb_7_2017	28.39	28.69	29.17	29.04			28.73(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-4	47	6.21	48%	0	46.3	1.37%	0	0.1	68	0
12	Feb_6_2017	28.39	28.67	29.21	29.11			29.06(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-3	67	3.52	48%	0.07	58.2	1.44%	0	0.6	71	0
13	Feb_3_2017	28.37	28.61	29.16	29.17			29.16(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	-2	86	5.25	48%	0.07	63.8	1.43%	0	0.9	74	0
14	Feb_2_2017	28.35	28.56	29.09	29.22			28.98(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-3	102	5.79	48%	0.07	72.9	1.43%	0	0.7	74	0
15	Feb_1_2017	28.33	28.49	28.99	29.28			29.26(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	25	-10000	-2	104	5.04	47%	0.07	74.1	1.43%	0	1.2	60	0

16	Jan_31_2017	28.31	28.41	28.85	29.33			29.1(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	1	103	6.26	47%	0.07	78.9	1.44%	0	1	60	0
17	Jan_30_2017	28.29	28.31	28.73	29.31			29.36(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	8	102	7.25	47%	0.11	80	1.44%	0	1.6	64	0
18	Jan_27_2017	28.26	28.21	28.57	29.15			29.42(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	11	90	5.98	45%	0.04	72.6	1.44%	0	1.8	69	0
19	Jan_26_2017	28.25	28.11	28.39	28.93			29.29(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	14	67	8.31	45%	0.04	66.5	1.45%	0	1.9	65	0
20	Jan_25_2017	28.24	28.01	28.29	28.65			29.48(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	16	57	8.03	45%	0.07	58.1	1.46%	0	2.6	72	0

21	Jan_24_2017	28.22	27.9	28.15	28.31			29.01(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	11	38	7.21	43%	0.04	46.4	1.44%	0	2.4	69	0
22	Jan_23_2017	28.21	27.8	28.07	28.08			28.55(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	8	34	6.96	41%	0.04	24.3	1.44%	0	1.9	71	0
23	Jan_20_2017	28.2	27.74	28	27.91			28.31(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	7	28	7.4	41%	0.04	5.1	1.43%	0	1.5	62	0
24	Jan_19_2017	28.19	27.7	27.97	27.77			27.89(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-5	20	8.49	39%	0.04	-17	1.42%	0	0.5	58	0
25	Jan_18_2017	28.18	27.68	27.94	27.87			27.76(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	32	7.69	39%		-16.3	1.42%	0	0.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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