Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TSM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $21.4933 (2.48%) ($20.9267 - $21.6030) on Wed. May. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $21.4933(2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VT(66%)    VUG(66%)    VWO(66%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.61(-32.03%)
Resistance Level   $21.71
5 Day Moving Average   $21.09(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.22(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.71(-1%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $111.466b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 3.5% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2016	21.73	21.71	21.22	21.09			21.49(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	4	-49	10.03	55%	0.05	-64.6	1.38%	0	-0.3	37	0
2	May_17_2016	21.72	21.78	21.21	21.03			20.97(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-28	-10000	-6	-92	4.02	51%	0	-69.2	1.35%	0	-1	16	0
3	May_16_2016	21.72	21.87	21.24	21.11			21.12(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-4	-112	4.65	59%	-0.05	-66.6	1.35%	0	-0.9	23	0
4	May_13_2016	21.73	21.98	21.29	21.16			20.85(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-35	-10000	-7	-120	4.84	59%	0	-65.2	1.48%	0	-1.3	17	0
5	May_12_2016	21.73	22.1	21.37	21.27			21.01(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-6	-132	7.67	59%	-0.05	-63.1	1.49%	0	-1.3	17	0

6	May_11_2016	21.74	22.21	21.47	21.36			21.22(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-37	-10000	-3	-139	6.19	59%	0.05	-58.1	1.49%	0	-1.2	18	0
7	May_10_2016	21.73	22.34	21.64	21.4			21.37(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-32	-10000	1	-132	5.37	59%	0	-56.4	1.5%	0	-1.2	20	0
8	May_9_2016	21.73	22.44	21.78	21.39			21.36(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-38	-10000	-4	-140	5.19	59%	0	-57.8	1.5%	0	-1.3	19	0
9	May_6_2016	21.73	22.54	21.93	21.45			21.39(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-37	-10000	-2	-142	5.37	59%	0.05	-61.1	1.5%	0	-1.5	17	0
10	May_5_2016	21.72	22.63	22.08	21.48			21.48(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-7	-148	7.24	55%	0	-68.3	1.51%	0	-1.5	19	0

11	May_4_2016	21.72	22.72	22.23	21.6			21.4(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-20	-144	7.79	55%	0.05	-71.9	1.53%	0	-1.8	22	0
12	May_3_2016	21.71	22.83	22.39	21.93			21.31(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-46	-10000	-18	-128	9.32	55%	0.05	-71.9	1.54%	0	-2.3	15	0
13	May_2_2016	21.7	22.93	22.56	22.24			21.65(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-10000	-14	-105	6.11	58%	0.05	-71.5	1.54%	0	-2.2	30	0
14	Apr_29_2016	21.69	23.04	22.73	22.48			21.56(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-34	-10000	-16	-86	14.96	61%	0.05	-66.5	1.53%	0	-2.9	29	0
15	Apr_28_2016	21.68	23.16	22.91	22.75			22.08(-4.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-10000	-11	-56	12.17	66%	0.09	-61.6	1.55%	0	-2.6	38	0

16	Apr_27_2016	21.66	23.25	23.03	22.94			23.07(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	2	-39	7.3	75%	0.09	-48.5	1.44%	0	-0.5	49	0
17	Apr_26_2016	21.64	23.3	23.1	22.91			22.85(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	-2	-35	9.92	75%	0.05	-43.6	1.44%	0	-1.2	40	0
18	Apr_25_2016	21.63	23.35	23.15	22.94			22.85(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-5	-34	7.77	75%	0.09	-43	1.44%	0	-1.4	43	0
19	Apr_22_2016	21.61	23.38	23.2	23.03			22.91(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-30	6.45	77%	0.09	-42.2	1.45%	0	-1.3	39	0
20	Apr_21_2016	21.59	23.41	23.22	23.1			22.99(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-34	6.04	77%	0.09	-40	1.48%	0	-1.2	36	0

21	Apr_20_2016	21.57	23.44	23.25	23.13			22.96(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-11	-47	9.39	71%	0.09	-40.4	1.49%	0	-1.5	34	0
22	Apr_19_2016	21.55	23.47	23.29	23.32			22.99(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-4	-38	9.38	73%	0.09	-14.4	1.53%	0	-1.5	32	0
23	Apr_18_2016	21.53	23.51	23.33	23.39			23.3(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-1	-37	6.51	73%	0.14	1.6	1.54%	0	-0.7	44	0
24	Apr_15_2016	21.5	23.53	23.36	23.4			23.27(0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	2	-33	8.02	68%	0.09	11.4	1.56%	0	-0.9	49	0
25	Apr_14_2016	21.48	23.55	23.42	23.36			23.12(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-1	-31	13.87	72%		23.5	1.62%	0	-1.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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