Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TSM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $21.2283 (1.35%) ($20.9450 - $21.2466) on Thu. Feb. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $21.2283(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VUG(66%)    VWO(66%)    VT(65%)    EEM(62%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.75(2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.33(4.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.83(7.05%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $110.092b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2016	20.16	19.83	20.33	20.75			21.23(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	-10000	17	120	6.47	57%	0.1	24.3	1.66%	0	2.1	62	0
2	Feb_3_2016	20.14	19.74	20.15	20.46			20.95(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	-10000	13	101	13.08	59%	0.1	1.7	1.71%	0	2.1	71	0
3	Feb_2_2016	20.12	19.69	19.98	20.23			20.62(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	10	84	13.49	59%	0.15	-18.6	1.74%	0	1.8	66	0
4	Feb_1_2016	20.09	19.69	19.89	20.05			20.52(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	7	77	5.39	59%	0.1	-39.8	1.74%	0	1.8	63	0
5	Jan_29_2016	20.07	19.66	19.77	19.93			20.42(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	5	71	9.01	59%	0.15	-53.3	1.74%	0	1.7	63	0

6	Jan_28_2016	20.04	19.67	19.71	19.85			19.77(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	3	77	7.17	56%	0.05	-55	1.69%	0	0.2	55	0
7	Jan_27_2016	20.03	19.73	19.61	19.8			19.81(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	7	61	6.43	56%	0.1	-49.8	1.69%	0	0.1	53	0
8	Jan_26_2016	20.01	19.78	19.53	19.69			19.73(-0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-1	30	7.71	56%	0	-48	1.69%	0	-0.1	47	0
9	Jan_25_2016	20.01	19.85	19.47	19.7			19.91(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	7	17	8.46	56%	0.1	-43	1.7%	0	0.1	47	0
10	Jan_22_2016	19.99	19.9	19.38	19.58			20.04(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	1	-26	8.37	56%	0.05	-47.4	1.7%	0	0.2	42	0

11	Jan_21_2016	19.98	19.94	19.3	19.56			19.49(1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	10	-53	9.1	54%	0.1	-43.7	1.67%	0	-0.6	36	0
12	Jan_20_2016	19.96	20.02	19.29	19.4			19.27(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-22	-10000	4	-99	10.82	54%	0.05	-43.6	1.66%	0	-0.9	33	0
13	Jan_19_2016	19.95	20.1	19.37	19.34			19.79(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	8	-123	14.81	57%	0.2	-41.6	1.63%	0	-0.4	36	0
14	Jan_15_2016	19.91	20.16	19.39	19.21			19.28(-3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	-10000	4	-160	12.07	54%	0.05	-43.8	1.58%	0	-1	29	0
15	Jan_14_2016	19.9	20.25	19.53	19.15			19.94(6.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-37	-10000	9	-174	18.69	61%	0.1	-44	1.55%	0	-0.4	34	0

16	Jan_13_2016	19.88	20.3	19.61	19.02			18.72(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-69	-10000	-13	-236	12.86	53%	0.1	-49.2	1.32%	0	-1.8	9	0
17	Jan_12_2016	19.86	20.39	19.84	19.18			18.96(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-68	-10000	-17	-219	11.63	53%	0.1	-53.7	1.32%	0	-1.8	14	0
18	Jan_11_2016	19.84	20.46	20.05	19.4			19.13(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-10000	-16	-194	9.77	53%	0.1	-58	1.32%	0	-1.8	15	0
19	Jan_8_2016	19.82	20.55	20.25	19.61			19.02(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-64	-10000	-27	-173	9.29	53%	0.05	-57.9	1.32%	0	-2.3	12	0
20	Jan_7_2016	19.81	20.64	20.47	19.96			19.28(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-52	-10000	-25	-132	11.24	60%	0.05	-56.4	1.33%	0	-2.5	12	0

21	Jan_6_2016	19.8	20.74	20.66	20.29			19.5(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-38	-10000	-22	-87	8.06	60%	0.05	-52.8	1.39%	0	-2.8	26	0
22	Jan_5_2016	19.79	20.83	20.82	20.61			20.06(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-14	-38	7.64	68%	0.1	-37.4	1.34%	0	-2.3	50	0
23	Jan_4_2016	19.77	20.89	20.91	20.8			20.19(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-10	-10000	-13	-2	9.15	68%	0.1	-13.2	1.39%	0	-2.3	53	0
24	Dec_31_2015	19.75	20.94	21	20.99			20.79(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-4	31	3.9	75%	0.1	10.5	1.34%	0	-0.6	53	0
25	Dec_30_2015	19.73	20.96	21.04	21.05			20.91(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-3	47	2.57	78%		27.1	1.34%	0	-0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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