Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $20.3236 (-1.51%) ($20.3236 - $20.7211) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $20.3236(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VT(66%)    VUG(66%)    VWO(66%)    EEM(63%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $20.51
5 Day Moving Average   $20.67(-1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.7(-1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.51(-0.91%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $105.4b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2015	19.59	20.51	20.7	20.67			20.32(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-8	33	5.69	63%	-0.05	35	1.65%	0	-0.5	48	0
2	Nov_11_2015	19.6	20.5	20.67	20.81			20.63(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-11	36	5.26	58%	-0.05	42.2	1.63%	0	0.4	51	0
3	Nov_10_2015	19.61	20.49	20.63	20.99			20.57(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-2	55	7.39	60%	-0.05	59.5	1.7%	0	0.2	55	0
4	Nov_9_2015	19.62	20.46	20.61	21.03			20.98(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	8	62	8.63	63%	0	69.1	1.71%	0	1.3	59	0
5	Nov_6_2015	19.62	20.42	20.53	20.88			20.85(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	9	48	8.81	61%	0	69.6	1.72%	0	1.2	58	0

6	Nov_5_2015	19.62	20.38	20.5	20.72			21(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	12	39	8.35	61%	0	73.4	1.73%	0	1.7	62	0
7	Nov_4_2015	19.62	20.34	20.45	20.51			21.52(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	19	-10000	16	29	14.37	64%	0	78.4	1.7%	0	3.5	74	0
8	Nov_3_2015	19.62	20.27	20.31	20.24			20.81(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	5	-10000	7	-2	12.85	59%	0	89.5	1.66%	0	2	56	0
9	Nov_2_2015	19.62	20.2	20.26	20.13			20.2(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-1	-11	5.72	57%	0	100	1.63%	0	0	54	0
10	Oct_30_2015	19.62	20.17	20.28	20.14			20.07(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-6	-9	8.79	56%	-0.05	95.6	1.66%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	Oct_29_2015	19.63	20.12	20.3	20.24			19.94(-1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10000	-7	3	7.94	56%	-0.05	96.3	1.69%	0	-0.4	50	0
12	Oct_28_2015	19.64	20.08	20.32	20.36			20.18(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-2	13	9.91	56%	0	100.4	1.69%	0	0.2	47	0
13	Oct_27_2015	19.64	20.03	20.34	20.39			20.29(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-1	22	6.89	56%	0	85.4	1.69%	0	0.4	56	0
14	Oct_26_2015	19.64	19.93	20.34	20.41			20.25(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	35	12.35	56%	0	73.1	1.69%	0	0.4	66	0
15	Oct_23_2015	19.64	19.82	20.32	20.42			20.53(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	3	47	11.85	53%	0	64.9	1.73%	0	0.9	67	0

16	Oct_22_2015	19.64	19.71	20.27	20.37			20.57(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	61	8.21	51%	-0.05	57.7	1.73%	0	1	73	0
17	Oct_21_2015	19.65	19.6	20.24	20.26			20.31(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-2	69	8.18	51%	-0.05	50.7	1.76%	0	0.8	69	0
18	Oct_20_2015	19.66	19.5	20.21	20.29			20.39(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	4	92	6.72	51%	-0.05	47.8	1.76%	0	1	72	0
19	Oct_19_2015	19.67	19.4	20.12	20.22			20.31(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	2	107	8.94	51%	-0.05	44.7	1.76%	0	1.1	78	0
20	Oct_16_2015	19.68	19.32	20.05	20.19			20.25(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	2	134	9.6	52%	-0.1	47.9	1.76%	0	1.1	79	0

21	Oct_15_2015	19.7	19.24	19.93	20.15			20.06(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-10000	-3	143	17.87	52%	-0.1	52.6	1.76%	0	1	70	0
22	Oct_14_2015	19.72	19.18	19.83	20.21			20.42(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	5	170	22.8	52%	-0.05	61.9	1.75%	0	1.6	75	0
23	Oct_13_2015	19.73	19.1	19.69	20.13			20.05(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10000	7	181	12.74	51%	0	68.6	1.74%	0	1.3	73	0
24	Oct_12_2015	19.73	19.02	19.51	20			20.19(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	7	172	6.78	51%	-0.05	68.1	1.74%	0	1.6	76	0
25	Oct_9_2015	19.74	18.92	19.3	19.88			20.06(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	13	151	11.65	52%		69.8	1.75%	0	1.7	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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